Euro rallies as ECB signals end to negative rates

The euro jumped one percent versus the dollar Monday after European Central Bank chief Christine Lagarde signalled the end of negative interest rates.

The euro struck a one-month high at $1.0692 after Lagarde said the central bank would probably draw a line under the era of negative interest rates by September owing to soaring eurozone inflation.

“That’s something that we were waiting for, for so long,” noted Swissquote analyst Ipek Ozkardeskaya.

“Lagarde is finally showing that the (inflation) situation is serious in Europe as well,” she told AFP.

Central banks around the world are increasing interest rates to tackle the highest inflation in decades, but the ECB has so far refused to follow the likes of the Federal Reserve and Bank of England in hiking borrowing costs from record-low levels.

Eurozone inflation soared by an all-time high 7.5 percent in April.

The surge has been driven by soaring energy and food prices, as economies reopen from pandemic lockdowns and following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

Investors will be looking to the release on Wednesday of minutes from the last Federal Reserve meeting for clues on the pace of future interest rate hikes by the US central bank.

Oil prices jumped more than one percent Monday before pulling back.

Elsewhere, stock markets mostly climbed after US President Joe Biden said he was considering lifting some trade tariffs imposed on China by predecessor Donald Trump.

Tariffs on hundreds of billions of dollars of Chinese imports are due to expire in July, and Biden has faced growing calls to get rid of the punitive duties to help combat the highest US inflation in more than four decades.

Biden’s comments Monday came during a visit to Tokyo.

The president added that while a US recession was not inevitable, he acknowledged the economic pain felt by American consumers over soaring inflation.

Ending the tariffs could help cut roaring US inflation by making imports cheaper.

Biden also announced that 13 countries had joined a new, US-led Asia-Pacific trade initiative.

Wall Street may also be seeing a return of investors willing to take on risk following a huge slump in prices due to inflation and interest rate concerns.

“After seven straight weeks of declines, bargain hunters are out in force, snapping up stocks after they fell to fresh 18-month lows on Friday,” said Fiona Cincotta, senior financial markets analyst at City Index.

The Dow was up 2.1 percent in late morning trading.

– Key figures at around 1530 GMT –

Euro/dollar: UP at $1.0684 from $1.0564 on Friday

Pound/dollar: UP at $1.2577 from $1.2497

Euro/pound: UP at 84.94 pence from 84.50 pence

Dollar/yen: DOWN at 127.74 yen from 127.86 yen 

New York – Dow: UP 2.1 percent at 31,903.40 points

EURO STOXX 50: UP 1.1 percent at 3,604.75

London – FTSE 100: UP 1.7 percent at 7,513.44 (close) 

Frankfurt – DAX: UP 1.4 percent at 14,175.40 (close)

Paris – CAC 40: UP 1.2 percent at 6,358.74 (close)

Tokyo – Nikkei 225: UP 1.0 percent at 27,001.52 (close)

Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: DOWN 1.2 percent at 20,470.06 (close)

Shanghai – Composite: FLAT at 3,146.86 (close)

Brent North Sea crude: UP 0.3 percent at $112.84 per barrel

West Texas Intermediate: DOWN less than 0.1 percent at $110.23

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