Stocks Stumble on Hawkish Fed Path; Oil Trims Drop: Markets Wrap

Stocks in Asia fell Wednesday on the prospect of continued aggressive Federal Reserve monetary tightening and as traders evaluated data signaling China’s economy is continuing to struggle.

(Bloomberg) — Stocks in Asia fell Wednesday on the prospect of continued aggressive Federal Reserve monetary tightening and as traders evaluated data signaling China’s economy is continuing to struggle.

A drop in Chinese tech firms contributed to a retreat in an Asian share index.

Hong Kong was in the red, with BYD Co. plunging after Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway Inc. trimmed its stake in the electric vehicle maker.

The Chinese figures indicated factory activity shrank for a second month.

Power shortages, a property sector crisis and Covid outbreaks all took a toll.

Contracts for the S&P 500 and tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 stabilized after Wall Street shares hit a one-month low. Robust US labor demand and consumer confidence data added to the case for sharp interest-rate hikes to tackle inflation.

Fed officials reiterated their determination to curb price pressures.

A dollar gauge and Treasuries were steady, while a deepening yield curve inversion pointed to fears that the Fed will trigger a recession.

Oil pared a slide but was still headed for a third monthly drop — the longest losing run in more than two years — hampered by the likelihood of slower global growth.

Market bets on a shallower trajectory for Fed tightening are receding, raising the prospect of more losses for stocks and bonds in an already difficult year.

Investors are scouring incoming data for clues on the policy path, with August US jobs figures on Friday the next key report.

“What’s clear is that predicting this market is not clean cut,” Angeline Newman, a managing director at UBS Global Wealth Management, said on Bloomberg Television.

“We are living in a world where conflicting economic signals are making the path of monetary policy very difficult to determine.”

Fed officials again stressed their commitment to defeating inflation while remaining vague on how big their policy move will be next month. 

New York Fed chief John Williams said rates will need to be held in restrictive territory for “some time,” adding that this meant through 2023 — the latest official to push back on financial-market expectations of cuts later next year.

“We’re still going to see some pretty volatile times and maybe some further downside for equities in the short term,” Steve Brice, chief investment officer at Standard Chartered Wealth Management, said on Bloomberg Television.

Investors are also contending with a European energy crisis as well as mounting friction between Beijing and Taipei after Taiwanese soldiers fired shots to ward off civilian drones. 

Here are some key events to watch this week:

  • ECB Governing Council members due to speak at event Tuesday through Sept.

    2

  • Euro-area CPI, Wednesday
  • Russia’s Gazprom set to halt Nord Stream pipeline gas flows for three days of maintenance, Wednesday
  • Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester due to speak, Wednesday
  • China Caixin manufacturing PMI, Thursday
  • US nonfarm payrolls, Friday
  • UK leadership ballot closes Friday.

    Winner announced Sept. 5

Will Chinese sovereign bonds outperform Treasuries? China is the theme of this week’s MLIV Pulse survey. Click here to participate anonymously.

Some of the main moves in markets:

Stocks

  • S&P 500 futures rose 0.3% as of 11:24 a.m.

    in Tokyo. The S&P 500 fell 1.1%

  • Nasdaq 100 futures added 0.4%. The Nasdaq 100 fell 1.1%
  • Japan’s Topix index fell 0.5%
  • Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 index dropped 0.2%
  • South Korea’s Kospi index lost 0.4%
  • Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index slid 1.4%
  • China’s Shanghai Composite Index lost 1%
  • Euro Stoxx 50 futures shed 0.3%

Currencies

  • The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was steady
  • The euro traded at $1.0022, up 0.1%
  • The Japanese yen was at 138.51 per dollar, up 0.2%
  • The offshore yuan was at 6.9158 per dollar

Bonds

  • The yield on 10-year Treasuries was little changed at 3.11%
  • Australia’s 10-year bond yield was at 3.60%

Commodities

  • West Texas Intermediate crude was at $92.20 a barrel, up 0.6%
  • Gold was at $1,722.56 an ounce

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