Japan government intervenes to support cratering yen

The yen has been pummelled by the dollar as the Bank of Japan remains wedded to its ultra-loose monetary policy while the Federal Reserve hikes rates

Japan’s finance ministry said Thursday it intervened in the currency market to bolster the yen, which has plummeted against the dollar in recent months on the widening policy gap between the US and Japanese central banks.

It was the first government intervention to prop up the currency since 1998 and came after the dollar neared 146 yen earlier in the day.

“Although exchange rates are in principle determined by the market, excessive fluctuations caused by speculation cannot be tolerated,” Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki told reporters.

“Based on this, we intervened in the foreign exchange market today. We will continue to monitor developments in the market with a strong sense of urgency and take necessary action against excessive fluctuations,” he added.

He declined to detail the scale of the intervention, or its length. And he refused to confirm whether it had been coordinated with Washington or other capitals, saying only he was “in constant contact with relevant monetary authorities”.

The move, which involves selling dollars and buying yen, saw the greenback retreat as low as 140.70 before gaining slightly.

Top currency official Masato Kanda told reporters that the intervention was not triggered by the yen falling to a particular level.

“We don’t think about the level at all. In principle, (what matters) is volatility.”

The yen has been weakening against the dollar for months, but sank further on Thursday after the US Federal Reserve again hiked rates to tame inflation, while the Bank of Japan left its ultra-loose monetary policy in place.

Prices in Japan are rising, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rising by 2.8 percent year-on-year in August, the highest level since 2014.

But the central bank views the increases as temporary, and believes its dovish policy is needed to achieve a long-standing target of sustained two-percent inflation — seen as necessary to turbocharge growth in the world’s third-largest economy.

After a two-day meeting, it said it would leave its current policy in place until “CPI exceeds two percent and stays above the target in a stable manner.”

– ‘Temporary respite’ –

A weaker yen has some positive effects, particularly for Japanese exporters, but the recent rapid depreciation has begun to stir concern in Japan, pushing up the cost of imported goods for consumers and businesses.

Earlier this month, the central bank reportedly conducted a “rate check”, an operation often seen as a precursor to a currency intervention.

The move came shortly after the yen neared the 145 point, but the reports only temporarily bolstered the Japanese unit.

It has plunged from around 115 in March, and the Bank of Japan (BoJ) on Thursday repeated that “it is necessary to pay due attention to developments in financial and foreign exchange markets and their impact on Japan’s economic activity and prices”.

But BoJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda, whose term expires next year, told reporters before the intervention announcement that the bank’s role did not extend to moving foreign exchange.

“We haven’t been and will not be targeting certain levels of foreign exchange,” he said.

“It is desirable that forex rates reflect economic and financial fundamentals, however the recent rapid depreciation of the yen is not that and is negative for the economy,” he added.

He noted though that the dollar has gained against most major currencies, and analysts said that the yen’s surge after the intervention could prove little more than a “temporary respite”.

“Basically the only thing stopping USD/JPY from rising towards 150 is Japanese foreign exchange intervention, but even then it will only be a temporary respite,” said Alvin Tan, head of Asia FX Strategy at RBC Capital Markets.

“The yawning policy divergence between the Fed and the BoJ, along with the related widening USD-JPY yield spread, is exerting a powerful and fundamental force, propelling USD/JPY higher,” he told AFP, saying he anticipated the dollar breaking 150 yen by 2023.

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