China Home Sales Drop 28% as Covid Flare-Up Adds to Risks

(Bloomberg) — China’s home sales slump intensified in October, the latest sign that a recovery in the nation’s property market remains distant. 

(Bloomberg) — China’s home sales slump intensified in October, the latest sign that a recovery in the nation’s property market remains distant. 

The 100 biggest real estate developers saw new-home sales drop 28.4% from a year earlier to 556.1 billion yuan ($76.2 billion) in October, according to preliminary data from China Real Estate Information Corp. That plunge widened from a 25.4% slump in September.

China’s housing market remains fragile despite a wave of measures to restore confidence that’s been battered by Covid Zero and a debt crisis among cash-strapped developers. Builders have offered more property projects in the past two months, hoping that the traditionally fast season for sales will help them recoup more cash, CRIC said earlier. 

Investors in Chinese developers got another fright on Monday after Longfor Group Holdings Ltd.’s billionaire Chairperson Wu Yajun stepped down, triggering a plunge in its shares and bonds. The company has the highest credit rating among private Chinese peers. 

Chinese authorities have eased home ownership rules, trimmed interest rates and urged banks to step up lending in a bid to turn around the ailing property market, which remains a drag on the world’s second-largest economy. Hopes for more substantive industry support have dimmed after President Xi Jinping gave little signal of a deeper shift in policies on housing and Covid Zero during the ruling party’s congress. 

“The Covid situation remains the key factor for the home market rebound,” said Chen Wenjing, associate research director at China Index Holdings.

What Bloomberg Intelligence Says: 

China’s housing market could see only a sluggish recovery in 2023 with new-home sales growing at a low single-digit rate or slower, driven by a weak economy, falling housing prices, the sector’s liquidity crunch and the Covid-Zero policy.

— Kristy Hung and Lisa Zhou, real estate analysts 

Click here to read the research. 

China has reported a surge in cases of the virus in recent days, putting a strain on workers and families. An outbreak in the populous Henan province, the location of a major production plant for Apple Inc.’s iPhones, spurred some workers to escape hastily enacted Covid measures on their own. 

–With assistance from Yujing Liu.

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