Most Asian and European stocks fell in the wake of more steep losses on Wall Street Tuesday after the heads of leading US banks warned of tough times ahead in 2023
Major stock markets were hit by more selling Wednesday on growing fears that Federal Reserve monetary tightening will tip the US economy into recession, with Chinese trade data adding to the gloomy outlook.
Drops in Asia and Europe followed steep losses on Wall Street Tuesday after the heads of leading US banks warned of tough times ahead in 2023.
JPMorgan Chase chief Jamie Dimon tipped a “mild to hard recession” and Goldman Sachs’ David Solomon said jobs and pay would be hit, while Morgan Stanley and Bank of America were also uneasy about the outlook.
The comments added to the downbeat mood that has coursed through trading floors at the start of the week, after forecast-beating reports on jobs and the giant US services sector fanned worries the Fed would have to push interest rates higher than hoped.
Markets had been rising healthily after a weaker-than-expected inflation reading for October suggested the almost year-long tightening campaign was finally affecting prices.
“Any hopes that the Fed would turn more dovish in the months ahead have been dashed significantly as the vast US services industry is where sticky inflation hangs out,” said SPI Asset Management’s Stephen Innes.
He added that the latest readings suggest rates would go above five percent before the Fed stops hiking, while several observers have suggested they will not be reduced until 2024.
“It would appear the recovery in stocks — bear-market rally, or otherwise — has run out of steam, and investors are left wondering whether what follows next is another test of the lows or simply a correction of that impressive two-month surge,” said market analyst Craig Erlam at trading platform OANDA.
Major Asian and European markets ended the day down.
On Wall Street, bargain-hunting sent the main indices higher at moments, but they were all lower as European markets closed.
– China easing on Covid –
The sombre outlook overshadowed China’s moves to wind back some of its harsh Covid rules that traders hope will kickstart the world’s number two economy, which has been battered this year by months of lockdowns and other containment measures.
In a sign of the impact the zero-Covid strategy has had, data Wednesday showed that imports and exports plunged far more than expected in November.
On Wednesday, officials announced a nationwide loosening of restrictions, including a reduction in mandatory PCR tests and allowing some positive cases to quarantine at home.
But while the country edges back to normality, Zhiwei Zhang, of Pinpoint Asset Management, warned that it would take time.
“The zero-Covid policy has been loosened, but mobility has not recovered much on the national level,” he said.
“I expect exports will stay weak in the next few months as China goes through a bumpy reopening process.”
Other observers said the recent rally fuelled by the reopening may have gone too far and traders were now taking a step back as they contemplate a likely spike in infections in the country.
Oil prices remained stuck at lows not seen for around a year as demand expectations tumble.
Brent on Tuesday sank below $80 for the first time since January, and fell further on Wednesday.
“Brent crude oil prices hit their lowest levels this year earlier today as rising recession risks outweighed any optimism over a reopening of the Chinese economy,” said market analyst Michael Hewson at CMC Markets.
– Key figures around 1630 GMT –
New York – Dow: DOWN 0.2 percent at 33,542.92 points
EURO STOXX 50: DOWN 0.5 percent at 3,920.90
London – FTSE 100: DOWN 0.4 at 7,489.19 (close)
Frankfurt – DAX: DOWN 0.6 percent at 14,261.19 (close)
Paris – CAC 40: DOWN 0.4 percent at 6,660.59 (close)
Tokyo – Nikkei 225: DOWN 0.7 percent at 27,686.40 (close)
Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: DOWN 3.2 percent at 18,814.82 (close)
Shanghai – Composite: DOWN 0.4 percent at 3,199.62 (close)
Euro/dollar: UP at $1.0513 from $1.0470 on Tuesday
Dollar/yen: DOWN at 136.77 yen from 137.04 yen
Pound/dollar: UP at $1.2195 from $1.2133
Euro/pound: DOWN at 86.17 pence from 86.26 pence
Brent North Sea crude: DOWN 1.3 percent at $78.36 per barrel
West Texas Intermediate: DOWN 1.6 percent at $73.05 per barrel
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