Market Wrap | JSE firmer, economists predict likely recession for SA

The JSE traded marginally firmer on Tuesday having slipped during early trade as investors weigh South Africa’s economic woes.

The All Share Index added 0.27% to close at 79,385 points.

Eskom and the government are facing court challenges over unprecedented and ongoing load-shedding while President Cyril Ramaphosa cancelled his planned working trip to the World Economic Forum hosted in Davos, Switzerland in favour of holding meetings over the blackouts.

Around 45% of economists polled in the most recent Bloomberg survey see South Africa heading for a recession in the next twelve months. This is higher than the 35% recession prediction that was made in November.

Investors are awaiting the outcome of Ramaphosa’s load-shedding meetings for some direction in the market.

In China, the economy has proven to be more resilient than was initially forecast as a coronavirus wave swept across the country. Fourth quarter figures and December data came out far better than anticipated while gross domestic product came in at 3% for 2022 – the worst since the 1970s – reports Bloomberg.

In the currency markets, the rand opened trading at R17.05 against the dollar having slipped as much as 2% at one point against the greenback on Monday. At 05.19 pm, the local unit was trading weaker at R17.10/$.

At the same time, the Nasdaq and S&P 500 were trading firmer at 0.56% and 0.37%. In Europe, Germany’s DAX (0.68%) and France’s CAC 40 (0.70%) were firmer while London’s FTSE 100 bucked the trend trading 0.095% lower.

Earlier, Asian markets were mixed with the Nikkei adding 1.23% while the Hong Kong Hang Seng (-0.78%) and Shanghai Composite (-0.10%) closed lower.

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