Stocks Climb, Dollar Falls on Slower Fed Rate Path: Markets Wrap

A gauge of global stocks headed for the highest level in more than two months on Thursday and the dollar fell after Federal Reserve meeting minutes showed support for tapering interest-rate increases.

(Bloomberg) — A gauge of global stocks headed for the highest level in more than two months on Thursday and the dollar fell after Federal Reserve meeting minutes showed support for tapering interest-rate increases.

Japanese, South Korean and Australian equities benchmarks advanced while Chinese gauges fluctuated.

US futures climbed after the S&P 500 closed at a two-month high Wednesday before the Thanksgiving holiday. 

The moves in Hong Kong and the mainland came as investors weighed the impact of record Covid-19 cases against signs of loosening monetary conditions.

Official comments broadcast Wednesday indicated the People’s Bank of China would allow banks to reduce capital reserves to stimulate growth.

China’s zero-Covid policy has had “a significant effect on consumption” while the property crisis is “affecting investment in the sector and affecting property developers,” Gita Gopinath, first deputy managing director for the International Monetary Fund, said in an interview with Bloomberg Television.

Government bond yields edged lower in Australia and New Zealand after Treasury yields fell Wednesday along with the dollar.

A gauge of the greenback slid further Thursday to levels not seen since August on a closing price basis. There will be no trading in Treasuries due to the US holiday.

Minutes from the Fed gathering earlier this month indicated several officials backed the need to moderate the pace of rate hikes, even as some underscored the need for a higher terminal rate.

This adds weight to expectations the central bank will raise rates by 50 basis points next month, ending a run of jumbo 75 basis point increases.

Data Wednesday also showed US business activity contracted and unemployment applications rose as the economy cools.

Oil fell as the European Union considered a higher-than-expected price cap on Russian crude and signs of a global slowdown increased. 

Gold rose for a third day on the Fed minutes.

The precious metal has been hurt by the US central bank’s aggressive monetary-tightening policy to curb inflation, which has pushed up bond yields and the dollar and in turn sent bullion tumbling about 16% from its March peak. 

Bill Ackman, founder of hedge fund Pershing Square Capital Management LP, said he’s betting against the Hong Kong dollar and its peg with the greenback.

Pershing owns a “large notional position” in Hong Kong dollar put options — bearish wagers on the currency — he said in a tweet, adding that the peg no longer made sense for Hong Kong.

The won and three-year bond futures rose after the Bank of Korea raised its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points.

The increase, which was expected, is a pivot away from bigger hikes.

Key events this week:

  • ECB publishes account of its October policy meeting, Thursday
  • US stock and bond markets are closed for the Thanksgiving holiday, Thursday
  • US stock and bond markets close early, Friday

Some of the main moves in markets:

Stocks

  • S&P 500 futures rose 0.2% as of 12:16 p.m.

    Tokyo time. The S&P 500 climbed 0.6%

  • Nasdaq 100 futures rose 0.3%. The Nasdaq 100 rose 1%
  • The Topix Index rose 1.4%
  • The S&P ASX Index rose 0.3%
  • The Hang Seng Index rose 0.1%
  • The Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.3%
  • Euro Stoxx 50 futures were little changed

Currencies

  • The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 0.3%
  • The euro rose 0.4% to $1.0438
  • The Japanese yen rose 0.6% to 138.71 per dollar
  • The offshore yuan rose 0.1% to 7.1449 per dollar

Cryptocurrencies

  • Bitcoin rose 1.6% to $16,727.5
  • Ether rose 2.6% to $1,199.29

Bonds

  • The yield on 10-year Treasuries fell six basis points to 3.69% Wednesday
  • Australia’s 10-year yield declined five basis points to 3.54%

Commodities

  • West Texas Intermediate crude fell 0.2% to $77.82 a barrel
  • Spot gold rose 0.3% to $1,755.42 an ounce

This story was produced with the assistance of Bloomberg Automation.

–With assistance from Rheaa Rao.

More stories like this are available on bloomberg.com

©2022 Bloomberg L.P.

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