By Amy Lv and Colleen Howe
BEIJING (Reuters) – China’s crude steel output in August fell 6.1% from July, a third straight month of declines, as steelmakers grappled with losses from a decline in steel prices.
The world’s largest steel producing country made 77.92 million metric tons of crude steel last month, data from the National Bureau of Statistics showed on Saturday, versus 82.94 million tons in July.
That number, the lowest since last December, was also down 10.4% from the same month a year before.
In addition to seasonally sluggish demand, steel prices have been hurt by a raft of disappointing data from the property and manufacturing sectors, said analysts.
Last month’s daily output averaged about 2.51 million tons, compared with 2.68 million tons in July and 2.79 million tons in August 2023, according to Reuters calculations based on the data.
Robust steel exports last month helped ease some supply pressure domestically, analysts said.
Output over the first eight months of 2024 fell 3.3% from a year earlier to 691.41 million tons, according to the statistics bureau.
Output in September is expected to pick up as some steel mills have resumed production encouraged by improved margins this month, analysts said.
China has not made any announcements on the timing and scale of its cap on steel output cap this year. However, the chairman of Baoshan Iron & Steel Co, the country’s largest listed steelmaker, has said that flat production this year may not end oversupply.
“Output remaining at current levels is already enough to bring down the market,” said Tomas Gutierrez, head of data at consultancy Kallanish Commodities.
“The next several months will be quite bumpy. Only a big structural shift would be enough to rebalance the market. The only viable long term option is to reduce steelmaking capacity quite significantly; either the government forces that or the market will.”
Beijing paused its steel capacity replacement programme from Aug. 23 in a bid to limit capacity expansion in the sector.
(Reporting by Amy Lv and Colleen Howe; editing by Miral Fahmy and Michael Perry)
