AFP

Germany's Scholz denies influence in tax fraud probe

German Chancellor Olaf Scholz said on Friday he believed he had been exonerated after being grilled by a committee on his potential role in a huge tax fraud scam that cost the government billions.

Scholz had testified for the second time to the parliamentary committee in Hamburg, which is probing whether local political figures helped a bank to avoid paying back falsely claimed tax rebates.

Scholz was the mayor of Hamburg from 2011 to 2018 and has lately been repeatedly forced to beat back allegations he was involved in the decision to let the bank off the hook.

The hearing on Friday had produced a “clear conclusion”, Scholz said in a closing statement to the press: “There is nothing there. There was no influence.”

Scholz had answered questions for around three and a half hours — less time than expected — with the chancellor suggesting the relatively speedy finish “perhaps speaks for the fact that everything is now on the table”.

The parliamentary committee is probing why local finance authorities in 2016 dropped a bid to claw back 47 million euros ($48 million) in taxes from private bank M. M. Warburg over so-called cum-ex trades.

Arriving at the hearing, the chancellor had eyed the room with a grim expression before reiterating his innocence, declaring: “I had no influence on the Warburg tax proceedings.”

First exposed in 2017, the “cum-ex” scandal involved numerous participants swiftly exchanging company shares amongst themselves around dividend day to claim multiple tax rebates on a single payout.

The scam has seen dozens of people indicted in Germany, including bankers, stock traders, lawyers and financial consultants.

Warburg eventually had to pay back tens of millions of euros under pressure from the federal government under then chancellor Angela Merkel.

– Dismal ratings –

The grilling in Hamburg came with Scholz facing dismal popularity ratings after his first six months in office were tarnished by criticism over his perceived weak response to the war in Ukraine.

More recently, the chancellor has struggled to reassure Germans over possible energy shortages this winter and the very real prospect of a recession in Europe’s biggest economy.

Scholz also this week faced a backlash over his failure to immediately condemn comments on the Holocaust made in Berlin by Palestinian president Mahmud Abbas.

The chancellor appeared calm and confident at the hearing, standing by statements he made in his previous testimony. 

He described allegations of political influence in the Warburg case as “false and recognisably not supported by anything or anyone”. 

Some of the committee’s questions concerned conversations Scholz is alleged to have had in 2016 with Christian Olearius, then head of Warburg bank.

Critics have accused Scholz of making contradictory statements on his contacts with Olearius, initially admitting he had met the banker before later appearing to deny it. 

– ‘Lapses of memory’ –

The chancellor insisted he had no specific memories of any meetings with Olearius, pointing out that he had held a huge number of meetings with business figures during his time in Hamburg.

“There is not the slightest hint anywhere” of anything untoward being agreed in such meetings, he said, insisting he always behaved “correctly”. 

Scholz also denied exerting any influence “before or after the meetings” and said the city of Hamburg had suffered “no financial damage in this matter”.

Friedrich Merz, the leader of the opposition conservatives, told the Handelsblatt daily he did “not believe a word the chancellor says”.  

“There is hardly anyone in Germany who believes Olaf Scholz’s many lapses of memory,” he said.

Johannes Kahrs, a former MP with Scholz’s Social Democrats (SPD), is also under investigation as part of the Hamburg probe.

According to German media, investigators recently found around 200,000 euros in cash in a bank safe deposit box belonging to Kahrs, though it is unclear whether the find has anything to do with the cum-ex scandal.

Asked about the cash on Friday, Scholz said he knew “nothing about the safe deposit box, its contents or its origin”.

Stocks mostly retreat over recession fears

Stock markets mostly dropped on Friday, with investors focussed firmly on the outlook for interest rate hikes as central banks battle to bring down sky-high inflation.

The dollar rose sharply against its main rivals, while oil prices steadied as traders assessed the risk of a possible global recession.

European gas prices were heading towards a fresh record-high closing price as the Ukraine war impacts supplies.

Elsewhere, bitcoin slumped nearly nine percent as investors shunned risky assets.

A two-month equity markets rally from June lows appears to have run out of steam. 

“Stocks will most likely struggle for direction for the rest of the summer as Wall Street is still uncertain with how aggressive the Fed will be in September,” said OANDA trading platform analyst Edward Moya.

Patrick O’Hare, analyst at Briefing.com, said the recent rally has been driven by the market “embracing a belief that the Fed won’t have to get overly restrictive with its monetary policy before ultimately shifting to an easing stance.”

The gains have come in the face of a number of problems that have caused unease on trading floors, including China-US tensions, the Ukraine war, supply chain snarls and extreme weather across much of the northern hemisphere.

The US Federal Reserve and other central banks have begun hiking interest rates to get a grip on soaring inflation, but those increases had been largely priced into the stock market in the first half of the year when equities slumped.

– Darkening clouds –

Thus, the darkening clouds on the economic horizon mean that central banks may not need to raise rates as sharply as many investors believed, triggering the rebound in stocks.

A statement by policymakers and comments from Fed chief Jerome Powell after last month’s board meeting suggested they could be considering slowing the pace of rate hikes as the economy slows.

That was followed by a drop in US inflation, which lifted markets.

But there has been downward pressure after minutes from the Fed’s most recent meeting showed policymakers are determined to keep lifting borrowing costs until prices are brought under control.

Several officials have also recently reasserted the need to continue to tighten monetary policy to get inflation down from four-decade highs, and poured cold water on hopes for possible rate cuts in the new year.

Data this week showing British inflation had jumped into the double digits, as well as German producer price inflation surging to 37 percent on higher energy costs, also dampened sentiment on the chances monetary policymakers will tap the brakes on interest rate hikes.

“The penny appears to have dropped that central banks are likely to have to go much harder on rates if they are to have any chance of getting on top of the inflation genie,” said market analyst Robert Hewson at CMC Markets. 

The longer interest rates remain higher, the greater is the risk of a possible recession. 

All eyes are now on next week’s central bankers’ symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, where finance chiefs and central bankers will speak, with all attention on the utterances of Powell.

Wall Street’s three main indices were lower in morning trading, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite slumping two percent.

In Europe, London’s blue-chip FTSE-100 index just barely managed to stay in the green, but Paris and Frankfurt stocks slumped.

Most Asian markets fell.

– Key figures at around 1530 GMT –

New York – Dow: DOWN 0.8 percent at 33,722.94 points

EURO STOXX 50: DOWN 1.3 percent at 3,727.33

London – FTSE 100: UP 0.1 percent at 7,550.37 (close)

Frankfurt – DAX: DOWN 1.1 percent at 13,544.52 (close)

Paris – CAC 40: DOWN 0.9 percent at 6,495.83 (close)

Tokyo – Nikkei 225: FLAT at 28,930.33 (close)

Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: UP 0.1 percent at 19,773.03 (close)

Shanghai – Composite: DOWN 0.6 percent at 3,3258.08 (close)

Euro/dollar: DOWN at $1.0039 from $1.0095 Thursday

Pound/dollar: DOWN at $1.1804 from $1.1937

Euro/pound: UP at 85.04 pence from 84.56 pence

Dollar/yen: UP at 137.16 yen from 135.88 yen

West Texas Intermediate: UP 0.6 percent at $91.00 per barrel

Brent North Sea crude: UP 0.2 percent at $96.81 per barrel

burs-rl/spm

Biden to headline anti-extremism conference

President Joe Biden will host a conference on combating racist, anti-democratic and other extremist threats in September, less than two months before tense midterm elections, the White House said Friday.

The “United We Stand” summit on September 15 will address “the corrosive effects of hate-fueled violence on our democracy and public safety,” said Press Secretary Karine Jean-Pierre.

In addition to laying out the Biden government’s response to what it says is a dangerous spread of extremist violence, it will “put forward a shared vision for a more united America,” she said in a statement.

Citing mass-shootings that targeted Black, Hispanic, and Asian Americans over recent years, Jean-Pierre said “Americans remain overwhelmingly united in their opposition to such violence.”

Biden has made what he calls an existential threat to the viability of democracy around the world a centerpiece of his message since taking office in January 2021.

He says he campaigned for the presidency to topple Donald Trump after just one term because of the Republican’s initial failure to condemn a violent, high-profile white supremacist rally in Charlottesville, Virginia, in 2017.

The 79-year-old will give the main speech at the event, also set to feature representatives from law enforcement, business and civil society. Both Democrats and Republicans are being invited, the White House said.

In addition to Biden’s address, the conference will see “inclusive, bipartisan panels and conversations on countering hate-fueled violence, preventing radicalization and mobilization to violence, and fostering unity,” Jean-Pierre said.

The conference is scheduled just over seven weeks before congressional midterms, in which Republicans, many supportive of Trump’s ongoing attempt to undermine confidence in the 2020 presidential election, are hoping to take control of Congress.

While some Democrats have taken the highly unusual step of urging Biden not to run again for a second term in 2024, citing his age, the veteran politician, who is also a former senator and vice president, says he is running.

Biden has repeatedly cast himself as a bulwark against what he sees as an anti-democratic surge both in the United States and abroad, and is believed to consider himself the best candidate to defeat Trump, should the Republican also run again.

China banks to repay more customers after protests

Chinese regulators on Friday offered repayments to more customers of rural banks whose withdrawals were frozen, in the ongoing saga of one of the country’s biggest-ever banking scandals that triggered rare mass protests. 

China’s rural banking sector has been hit hard by Beijing’s efforts to rein in a property bubble and spiralling debt, in a financial crackdown that has had ripple effects across the world’s second-largest economy.

Four banks in Henan province froze cash withdrawals in mid-April as regulators cracked down on mismanagement, locking hundreds of thousands of customers out from their funds and sparking sporadic protests.

The provincial banking regulator in mid-July said individual customers with deposits of up to 50,000 yuan ($7,341) would get their money back, after one of the largest protests erupted into violence.

Regulators have since been gradually offering repayments to more customers with deposits of higher value. 

On Friday, the Henan banking and insurance regulator promised to repay those who had deposited between 350,000 to 400,000 yuan ($51,300 to $58,600), saying in a statement that this group would begin receiving it on August 22.

The statement added that “repayments of (deposit amounts) under 350,000 will continue to be paid”, suggesting that not all customers with smaller bank balances had received their money yet.

Authorities have named the four banks as well as another rural bank in nearby Anhui province as involved in a scheme to defraud investors, and launched a police investigation.

The Henan banking scandal has dealt an unprecedented blow to public confidence in China’s financial system owing to the size and scale of the fraud, analysts say, with the banks involved allegedly operating illegally for more than a decade.

Chinese authorities are desperate to avoid disruptions to social stability just months away from a major congress of the ruling Communist Party. 

A July 10 mass demonstration in Henan’s provincial capital Zhengzhou was violently quashed, with demonstrators forced onto buses by police and beaten, according to eyewitness accounts given to AFP and verified photos on social media.

China banks to repay more customers after protests

Chinese regulators on Friday offered repayments to more customers of rural banks whose withdrawals were frozen, in the ongoing saga of one of the country’s biggest-ever banking scandals that triggered rare mass protests. 

China’s rural banking sector has been hit hard by Beijing’s efforts to rein in a property bubble and spiralling debt, in a financial crackdown that has had ripple effects across the world’s second-largest economy.

Four banks in Henan province froze cash withdrawals in mid-April as regulators cracked down on mismanagement, locking hundreds of thousands of customers out from their funds and sparking sporadic protests.

The provincial banking regulator in mid-July said individual customers with deposits of up to 50,000 yuan ($7,341) would get their money back, after one of the largest protests erupted into violence.

Regulators have since been gradually offering repayments to more customers with deposits of higher value. 

On Friday, the Henan banking and insurance regulator promised to repay those who had deposited between 350,000 to 400,000 yuan ($51,300 to $58,600), saying in a statement that this group would begin receiving it on August 22.

The statement added that “repayments of (deposit amounts) under 350,000 will continue to be paid”, suggesting that not all customers with smaller bank balances had received their money yet.

Authorities have named the four banks as well as another rural bank in nearby Anhui province as involved in a scheme to defraud investors, and launched a police investigation.

The Henan banking scandal has dealt an unprecedented blow to public confidence in China’s financial system owing to the size and scale of the fraud, analysts say, with the banks involved allegedly operating illegally for more than a decade.

Chinese authorities are desperate to avoid disruptions to social stability just months away from a major congress of the ruling Communist Party. 

A July 10 mass demonstration in Henan’s provincial capital Zhengzhou was violently quashed, with demonstrators forced onto buses by police and beaten, according to eyewitness accounts given to AFP and verified photos on social media.

Chinese city dims lights in heatwave power crunch

A provincial capital in southwest China has dimmed outdoor advertisements, subway lighting and building signs to save energy, official announcements said, as the area battles a power crunch triggered by record-high temperatures.

The mercury has soared beyond 40 degrees Celsius (104 Fahrenheit) in Sichuan province this week, fuelling massive demand for air conditioning and drying up reservoirs in a region reliant on dams for most of its electricity.

Factories including a joint venture with Japanese car giant Toyota in provincial capital Chengdu have been forced to halt work, while millions in another city Dazhou grappled with rolling power cuts.

“Hot and muggy weather has caused the city’s electricity supply for production and daily life to be pushed to its limit,” Chengdu’s urban management authorities said in a notice on social media Thursday.

Faced with a “most severe situation”, the city — home to over 20 million people — ordered landscape illumination and outdoor advertising lights to be switched off in notices issued Tuesday, the statement said. 

Building name signs will also be darkened.

The Chengdu metro said in a video on China’s Twitter-like platform Weibo that it would also turn off advertisement lights and “optimise” the temperature in stations to save energy.

Photos circulating on Weibo showed dimmed lights on metro platforms, walkways and in malls, with commuters walking in partial darkness.

The searing heat is also drying up the critical Yangtze River, with water flow on its main trunk about 50 percent lower than the average over the last five years, state media outlet China News Service reported Thursday.

Sichuan’s power woes could have ripple effects on the wider Chinese economy — the province is a key supplier of energy generated by hydropower to eastern industrial powerhouses including Jiangsu and Zhejiang.

China is battling extreme weather on several fronts, with 23 people killed and eight still missing after a flash flood in the northwest of the country on Thursday sparked by torrential rains.

Weather authorities in the eastern Jiangsu province warned drivers of tyre puncture risks on Friday as the surface temperature of some roads was poised to hit 68 degrees Celsius.

The China Meteorological Administration earlier said the nation was going through its longest period of sustained high temperatures since records began in 1961.

Scientists say extreme weather across the world has become more frequent due to climate change and that urgent global cooperation is needed to slow an impending disaster.

The world’s two largest greenhouse gas emitters are the United States and China. 

But this month Beijing announced it was freezing its cooperation with Washington on global warming in protest at a visit by US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi to Taiwan.

Chinese city dims lights in heatwave power crunch

A provincial capital in southwest China has dimmed outdoor advertisements, subway lighting and building signs to save energy, official announcements said, as the area battles a power crunch triggered by record-high temperatures.

The mercury has soared beyond 40 degrees Celsius (104 Fahrenheit) in Sichuan province this week, fuelling massive demand for air conditioning and drying up reservoirs in a region reliant on dams for most of its electricity.

Factories including a joint venture with Japanese car giant Toyota in provincial capital Chengdu have been forced to halt work, while millions in another city Dazhou grappled with rolling power cuts.

“Hot and muggy weather has caused the city’s electricity supply for production and daily life to be pushed to its limit,” Chengdu’s urban management authorities said in a notice on social media Thursday.

Faced with a “most severe situation”, the city — home to over 20 million people — ordered landscape illumination and outdoor advertising lights to be switched off in notices issued Tuesday, the statement said. 

Building name signs will also be darkened.

The Chengdu metro said in a video on China’s Twitter-like platform Weibo that it would also turn off advertisement lights and “optimise” the temperature in stations to save energy.

Photos circulating on Weibo showed dimmed lights on metro platforms, walkways and in malls, with commuters walking in partial darkness.

The searing heat is also drying up the critical Yangtze River, with water flow on its main trunk about 50 percent lower than the average over the last five years, state media outlet China News Service reported Thursday.

Sichuan’s power woes could have ripple effects on the wider Chinese economy — the province is a key supplier of energy generated by hydropower to eastern industrial powerhouses including Jiangsu and Zhejiang.

China is battling extreme weather on several fronts, with 23 people killed and eight still missing after a flash flood in the northwest of the country on Thursday sparked by torrential rains.

Weather authorities in the eastern Jiangsu province warned drivers of tyre puncture risks on Friday as the surface temperature of some roads was poised to hit 68 degrees Celsius.

The China Meteorological Administration earlier said the nation was going through its longest period of sustained high temperatures since records began in 1961.

Scientists say extreme weather across the world has become more frequent due to climate change and that urgent global cooperation is needed to slow an impending disaster.

The world’s two largest greenhouse gas emitters are the United States and China. 

But this month Beijing announced it was freezing its cooperation with Washington on global warming in protest at a visit by US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi to Taiwan.

Chinese city dims lights in heatwave power crunch

A provincial capital in southwest China has dimmed outdoor advertisements, subway lighting and building signs to save energy, official announcements said, as the area battles a power crunch triggered by record-high temperatures.

The mercury has soared beyond 40 degrees Celsius (104 Fahrenheit) in Sichuan province this week, fuelling massive demand for air conditioning and drying up reservoirs in a region reliant on dams for most of its electricity.

Factories including a joint venture with Japanese car giant Toyota in provincial capital Chengdu have been forced to halt work, while millions in another city Dazhou grappled with rolling power cuts.

“Hot and muggy weather has caused the city’s electricity supply for production and daily life to be pushed to its limit,” Chengdu’s urban management authorities said in a notice on social media Thursday.

Faced with a “most severe situation”, the city — home to over 20 million people — ordered landscape illumination and outdoor advertising lights to be switched off in notices issued Tuesday, the statement said. 

Building name signs will also be darkened.

The Chengdu metro said in a video on China’s Twitter-like platform Weibo that it would also turn off advertisement lights and “optimise” the temperature in stations to save energy.

Photos circulating on Weibo showed dimmed lights on metro platforms, walkways and in malls, with commuters walking in partial darkness.

The searing heat is also drying up the critical Yangtze River, with water flow on its main trunk about 50 percent lower than the average over the last five years, state media outlet China News Service reported Thursday.

Sichuan’s power woes could have ripple effects on the wider Chinese economy — the province is a key supplier of energy generated by hydropower to eastern industrial powerhouses including Jiangsu and Zhejiang.

China is battling extreme weather on several fronts, with 23 people killed and eight still missing after a flash flood in the northwest of the country on Thursday sparked by torrential rains.

Weather authorities in the eastern Jiangsu province warned drivers of tyre puncture risks on Friday as the surface temperature of some roads was poised to hit 68 degrees Celsius.

The China Meteorological Administration earlier said the nation was going through its longest period of sustained high temperatures since records began in 1961.

Scientists say extreme weather across the world has become more frequent due to climate change and that urgent global cooperation is needed to slow an impending disaster.

The world’s two largest greenhouse gas emitters are the United States and China. 

But this month Beijing announced it was freezing its cooperation with Washington on global warming in protest at a visit by US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi to Taiwan.

Spain wildfire resumes, threatening natural park

A major wildfire in eastern Spain that has destroyed vast swathes of land flared up again Friday despite heavy rainfall, threatening to spread to a nearby natural park, officials said.

So far this year, Spain has suffered nearly 400 wildfires following punishing heatwaves and long dry spells that have devastated more than 283,000 hectares of land, more than three times the total area destroyed in 2021. 

Over the past week, hundreds of firefighters have been battling two major wildfires raging out of control in the Valencia region, with a bout of heavy rainfall offered some respite, almost totally extinguishing the flames. 

Although it put an end to the Vall d’Ebo fire near Benidorm, the Bejis blaze some 70 kilometres (45 miles) northwest of Valencia city flared up again and burning its way towards the Sierra Calderona natural park.

It has already destroyed 19,000 hectares (50,000 acres) of land. 

“The fire advanced slowly during the night except in… areas to the southeast where it has raged more aggressively,” the emergency services tweeted. 

Fire officials said 40 aerial firefighting teams were trying to contain the blaze after what the UME military firefighters said had been an “intense night”.

“It’s a very big fire with a perimeter stretching more than 120 kilometres,” Mariano Hernandez, one of the provincial fire chiefs, told public television. 

Early on Friday, a lightning bolt set off another blaze near Olocau inside the Sierra Calderona park, with residents confined to their homes as a preventative measure, the emergency services said. 

By midday, the flames appeared to have been quenched but firefighters had yet to declare it stabilised for fear it would flare up again, public television said. 

The emergency services confirmed all aerial fire teams had left the area.

– Train investigation –

Firefighters on Friday morning finally declared the Vall d’Ebo fire stabilised although they said aerial teams were still working there. 

It has burnt its way through more than 13,000 hectares of land, figures from the EU’s Copernicus satellite show. 

Over the past week, the Vall d’Ebo and Bejis wildfires have forced the evacuation of 3,000 people. 

Meanwhile, questions multiplied over how a train carrying some 50 passengers managed to run into the Bejis fire zone on Tuesday evening in incident that left around a dozen people injured, several seriously. 

The train left Valencia heading for the northern city of Zaragoza and the driver, who had not been alerted to the danger, was ultimately forced to turn the train around. 

But before setting off back up the track, passengers panicked on seeing the proximity of the flames, with footage showing people screaming in terror and calling for help as some broke the emergency windows to escape on foot.

An investigation has been opened by the police as well as by train operator RENFE and state track operator Adif, with the opposition Popular Party also demanding answers from the govenment. 

“We will provide all the information necessary to clarify this incident it never happens again,” Science Minister Diana Morant told public television, saying “the decisions taken by the train driver were the right ones”.

So far this year, Spain has been hit by nearly 400 wildfires, the latest figures from the European Forest Fire Information System show. 

Together they have destroyed 284,000 hectares of land — more than three times the area consumed by wildfires in the whole of 2021, which totalled over 84,000 hectares, the figures show.

UK retail sales in surprise rebound

British retail sales surprisingly rose overall in July but consumer confidence is at a record-low level as the UK heads towards recession under a new leader, data showed Friday.

Sales by volume gained 0.3 percent last month following a slight drop in June, the Office for National Statistics said, while analysts’ consensus had been for another fall.

Online purchases “were boosted by a range of offers and promotions”, said Darren Morgan, ONS director of economic statistics.

“However, fuel sales fell with some evidence suggesting the very hot weather meant fewer people travelling.”

Morgan added that another fall in sales of clothing and household goods indicated “consumers are cutting back due to increased prices and concerns around affordability and cost of living”.

Separate data Friday showed UK consumer confidence at a record low.

“With headline after headline revealing record inflation eroding household buying power, the strain on the personal finances of many in the UK is alarming,” said Joe Staton, client strategy director at GfK.

Its Consumer Confidence Index fell three points in August to -44, the lowest level since records began in 1974.

The Bank of England expects the UK economy to fall into recession by the end of the year as consumers struggle with soaring energy and food prices.

British inflation stands above 10 percent, the highest level in 40 years, triggering big rises in BoE interest rates that in turn are putting further strain on consumers.

– Soaring interest payments –

The ONS on Friday added that interest payments on UK government debt surged more than 63 percent in July from a year earlier to £5.8 billion ($7 billion).

“Since mid-2021, the cost of servicing central government debt has increased considerably,” it said.

Sam Miley, senior economist at the Centre for Economics and Business Research, said ballooning interest payments reflected “the growing size of net public debt, as well as the mounting inflationary environment”.

Foreign Secretary Liz Truss, the favourite to replace under-fire Boris Johnson after he steps downs as prime minister next month, has pledged to cut taxes should she be voted into the top job by Conservative party members.

“The balance of risks to public finances has clearly shifted to the downside,” Michal Stelmach, senior economist at KPMG UK, said following Friday’s data.

“The cost-of-living crisis will likely require further support to households, while a slowing economy will put downward pressure on receipts.”

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