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Mexico’s headline inflation seen returning to target in early July – Reuters poll

MEXICO CITY (Reuters) -Mexico’s annual headline inflation likely slowed in the first half of July, though the core index remained under pressure, fueling expectations the central bank will moderate the pace of its interest rate cuts, a Reuters poll showed on Monday. The median forecast from 11 analysts was for a 3.64% annual headline inflation …

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Nigeria’s Q1 GDP growth at 3.13% y/y – stats office

ABUJA (Reuters) -Nigeria’s economy expanded by 3.13% year-on-year in the first quarter of 2025, the statistics office said on Monday, following the rebasing of its gross domestic product (GDP) to better align with the current economic landscape. Nigeria’s economy grew to 372.822 trillion naira ($243.66 billion) after rebasing, the statistics bureau chief told a news …

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Exclusive-Brazil to establish tax advisory office in China amid deepening ties

By Marcela Ayres BRASILIA (Reuters) -Brazil will establish a tax advisory office in China, the Brazilian Finance Ministry said, highlighting the strategic importance of the move as the two nations deepen their ties. The decision underscores Brazil’s growing focus on its relationship with China, its largest trading partner, as tariffs introduced by U.S. President Donald …

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Brazil economists trim 2026 inflation forecast in boost for central bank

SAO PAULO (Reuters) -Private economists polled weekly by Brazil’s central bank trimmed their 2026 inflation outlook for the first time in over two months, according to a survey released on Monday, in a welcome development for the central bank. Consumer prices in 2026 are now expected to rise 4.45%, down from 4.50% the previous week, …

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Brazil economy on track despite U.S. tariffs, but inflation risk up – Reuters poll

By Gabriel Burin (Reuters) -Brazil’s economic growth will stay on track despite the imposition of U.S. tariffs, according to a Reuters poll of economists, but inflation appears at greater risk of worsening if trade negotiations flounder. U.S. President Donald Trump threatened this month to set a 50% duty on Brazilian goods on August 1 in …

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India’s infrastructure output accelerates to three-month high in June

NEW DELHI (Reuters) -India’s infrastructure output accelerated to a three-month high of 1.7% year-on-year in June, government data showed on Monday. The index, which tracks activity across eight sectors and makes up 40% of the country’s industrial production, rose at a revised 1.2% in May, compared to the initial estimate of 0.7%. In March, the …

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Japan’s Ishiba calls for debate on pros and cons of sales tax cut

TOKYO (Reuters) -Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba on Monday stressed the need to establish a common understanding among parties on the pros and cons of cutting the country’s sales tax rate. Cutting the sales tax could increase household income temporarily, but would raise questions on how to pay for Japan’s ballooning social welfare and pension …

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Take Five: Talking politics

(Reuters) -Slice and dice it anyway you like and the week ahead for world markets will likely be dominated by politics and central banks in some shape or form. Japan’s ruling coalition loses control of its upper house, the European Central Bank holds its pre-summer break policy meeting, U.S. President Donald Trump’s constant pressure on …

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China leaves benchmark lending rates unchanged, as expected

SHANGHAI (Reuters) -China kept benchmark lending rates unchanged on Monday, as forecast, after it reported slightly better-than-expected second-quarter economic data. WHY IT’S IMPORTANT Signs of economic resilience effectively reduced any urgency for further stimulus, while analysts widely expect persistent weak domestic demand warrants some monetary easing later this year. BY THE NUMBERS The one-year loan …

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