Reuters US Economy

Column-Low visibility, low volatility make strange pairing :Mike Dolan

By Mike Dolan LONDON (Reuters) – Like mirages on the horizon, recession forecasts seem to be appearing and disappearing with great regularity – questioning any investment conviction, the reliability of pandemic-distorted data and still-low volatility gauges in financial markets. In just six weeks of 2023, economic forecasters have hurriedly revised away this year’s long-assumed recessions …

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Prudential Financial profit falls as market rout drags AUM

(Reuters) – Prudential Financial Inc reported a drop in fourth-quarter profit on Tuesday as a global market rout pressured the life and health insurer’s assets under management (AUM). The previous year was marked by heavy losses in the capital markets amid uncertainty triggered by the war in Ukraine, decades-high inflation and fears of an imminent …

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Brazil’s Campos Neto defends central bank independence amid Lula attacks

BRASILIA (Reuters) -Brazil’s central bank chief Roberto Campos Neto on Tuesday stepped up his defense of the institution’s independence amid mounting criticism from leftist President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and his allies about overly high interest rates. Campos Neto’s comments came shortly after the bank published minutes with a hawkish tone from its Jan.31-Feb.1 …

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Bank of Canada says no new rate hikes needed if inflation falls as expected

By Steve Scherer and David Ljunggren OTTAWA (Reuters) -Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem on Tuesday said that no further rate hikes will be needed if, as expected, the economy stalls and inflation comes down. The central bank over the last 11 months has lifted rates at a record pace to 4.5% to tame inflation, …

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Do blockbuster job gains jibe with ‘slow-flation’? Fed’s Powell faces new dilemma

By Howard Schneider and Andrea Shalal WASHINGTON (Reuters) – After vouching last week that a “gratifying” drop in inflation was underway, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will face questions on Tuesday about whether a blowout January jobs report has shaken his confidence the decline can continue without harsher steps by the U.S. central bank to …

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Kenya tweaks 2022/23 spending, deficit estimates in supplementary budget

NAIROBI (Reuters) – Kenya’s finance ministry has tweaked its spending and budget deficit estimates for the current fiscal year that ends in June to show a slight increase in overall expenditure but a narrower deficit. Supplementary budget documents submitted to parliament showed overall spending was projected at 3.37 trillion shillings ($26.98 billion), from the 3.36 …

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Australia central bank signals more tightening ahead after lifting rates to decade-high

By Stella Qiu SYDNEY (Reuters) -Australia’s central bank raised its cash rate 25 basis points to a decade-high of 3.35% on Tuesday and reiterated that further increases would be needed, a more hawkish policy tilt than many had expected. Wrapping up its February policy meeting, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) also dropped previous guidance …

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Thai shippers retain export growth outlook of 1-2% this year

BANGKOK (Reuters) – Thailand’s exports are likely to grow 1% to 2% this year, unchanged from a previous forecast, due to slowing global demand, the country’s shippers’ council said on Tuesday. Shipments, a key driver of economic growth, also face high currency volatility, Chaichan Chareonsuk, chair of the Thai National Shippers’ Council, told a news …

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