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The Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria will hold a donor conference Wednesday in New York, where it aims to raise at least $18 billion during an event hosted by US President Joe Biden.

It is the highest ever “replenishment” goal set by the organization, and comes amid rising economic pressures — both on donor countries and recipients — following the Covid-19 pandemic and the food and energy crises caused by the Ukraine conflict.

But spokeswoman Francoise Vanni told AFP she was buoyed by recent pledges — including most recently 1.3 billion euros from Germany, which followed $6 billion from the United States and $1.08 billion from Japan — that had brought the fund “about halfway” to its target.

“There’s a lot at stake, and the $18 billion target is very much based on getting back on track to end AIDS, TB and malaria by 2030, recovering ground lost during the Covid pandemic and saving no less than 20 million lives over the next three years,” she said.

“Everything is still at play and no decision has been made until it’s been made…But we have very strong pledges already in the bag.”

The amount is 30 percent more than that raised during the organization’s sixth and most recent replenishment, hosted by President Emmanuel Macron of France in 2019, which raised a then-record $14 billion.

The Global Fund was created in 2002 and brings together governments, multilateral agencies, bilateral partners, civil society groups, and the private sector to tackle the three deadly diseases, with new funding cycles usually every three years.

Vanni said she hoped donors would look at the fund’s track record of success — last week it announced it had helped save 50 million lives over the past 20 years.

What’s more, “countries around the world realize that no one is safe until everyone is safe. We’ve been saying that during Covid-19, and we cannot lose that momentum.”

– Signs of recovery – 

Last year, the Global Fund warned that the pandemic was having a “devastating” impact on its work, leading to declining results across the board for the first time in the fund’s history.

But it said last week that the massive resources it had pumped to counter the downturn had paid off and “recovery is underway” against all three diseases.

For example, the number of people dying from TB rose for the first time in a decade in 2020, when it caused an estimated 1.5 million deaths, making it the world’s second biggest infectious disease killer behind Covid.

But the Global Fund, which provides 76 percent of all international financing for fighting TB, said the programs had shown signs of recovery last year.

Similarly, the number of people reached with HIV prevention services rose again after dropping in 2020, reaching 12.5 million people worldwide, it said. The fund provides nearly a third of all international financing to battle HIV.

Per an act of Congress, the United States cannot provide more than one-third of funding for the Global Fund — a limit that serves as a matching challenge to other nations to double the American pledge.

A US astronaut and two Russian cosmonauts are set to blast off to the International Space Station Wednesday on a Russian-operated flight despite soaring tensions between Moscow and Washington over Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

NASA’s Frank Rubio and Russia’s Sergey Prokopyev and Dmitry Petelin are scheduled to take off from the Russia-leased Baikonur cosmodrome in Kazakhstan at 1354 GMT, according to Russian space agency Roscosmos.

Rubio will become the first US astronaut to travel to the ISS on a Russian Soyuz rocket since President Vladimir Putin sent troops into pro-Western Ukraine on February 24.

In response, Western capitals including Washington have hit Moscow with unprecedented sanctions and bilateral ties have sunk to new lows. 

However, space has managed to remain an outlier of cooperation between the two countries.

Following Rubio’s flight, Russia’s only active female cosmonaut Anna Kikina is expected to travel to the orbital station in early October aboard a SpaceX Crew Dragon. 

She will become only the fifth professional woman cosmonaut from Russia or the Soviet Union to fly to space, and the first Russian to fly aboard a spacecraft of SpaceX, the company of US billionaire Elon Musk.

With both flights set to go ahead, Russian cosmonauts and Western astronauts have sought to steer clear of the conflict that is raging back on Earth, especially when in orbit together.

A collaboration among the United States, Canada, Japan, the European Space Agency and Russia, the ISS is split into two sections: the US Orbital Segment, and the Russian Orbital Segment.

– Russia leaving ISS –

At present, the ISS depends on a Russian propulsion system to maintain its orbit, about 250 miles (400 kilometres) above sea level, with the US segment responsible for electricity and life support systems.

However, tensions in the space field have grown after Washington announced sanctions on Moscow’s aerospace industry — triggering warnings from Russia’s former space chief Dmitry Rogozin, an ardent supporter of the Ukraine war.

Rogozin’s recently appointed successor Yuri Borisov later confirmed Russia’s long-mooted move to leave the ISS after 2024 in favour of creating its own orbital station.

US space agency NASA called the decision an “unfortunate development” that would hinder the scientific work performed on the ISS. 

Space analysts say that the construction of a new orbital station could take more than a decade and Russia’s space industry — a point of national pride — would not be able to flourish under heavy sanctions. 

The ISS was launched in 1998 at a time of hope for US-Russia cooperation following their Space Race competition during the Cold War.

During that era, the Soviet space programme flourished. It boasted a number of accomplishments that included sending the first man into space in 1961 and launching the first satellite four years earlier.

But experts say Roscosmos is now a shadow of its former self and has in recent years suffered a series of setbacks, including corruption scandals and the loss of a number of satellites and other spacecraft.

Russia years-long monopoly on manned flights to the ISS is also gone, to SpaceX, along with millions of dollars in revenue. 

A US destroyer and a Canadian frigate sailed through the Taiwan Strait on Tuesday in the latest joint operation aimed at reinforcing the route’s status as an international waterway.

Beijing views as its own both democratic Taiwan and the narrow body of water separating the island from mainland China — one of the world’s busiest shipping channels.

The United States has long used “freedom of navigation” passages through the Taiwan Strait to push back against Chinese claims and Western allies have increasingly joined these operations.

The USS Higgins, an Arleigh Burke-class destroyer, in cooperation with the Royal Canadian Navy’s Halifax-class frigate HMCS Vancouver “conducted a routine Taiwan Strait transit September 20 (local time)… in accordance with international law”, the US Navy’s Seventh Fleet said.

“The ship transited through a corridor in the Strait that is beyond the territorial sea of any coastal State.”

Canada said the HMCS Vancouver was en route to join an ongoing mission to enforce UN sanctions against North Korea when it transited with the USS Higgins.

“Today’s routine Taiwan Strait transit demonstrates our commitment to a free, open and inclusive Indo-Pacific,” Canadian Defense Minister Anita Anand said in a statement, using another term for the Asia-Pacific region.

A spokesman for China’s Eastern Theatre Command described the latest transit as “public hype”.

“The troops are always on high alert, resolutely counteract all threats and provocations, and resolutely defend national sovereignty and territorial integrity,” Colonel Shi Yi said, according to Chinese state broadcaster CCTV.

British, Canadian, French and Australian warships have made passages through the Taiwan Strait in recent years, sparking protests from Beijing.

They also frequently ply the South China Sea, another vital shipping area that Beijing insists comes under its domain despite a 2016 Hague ruling that dismissed its claims as well as rival ones from multiple neighbours.

The last time US and Canadian warships sailed through the Taiwan Strait was 11 months ago when the destroyer USS Dewey and frigate HMCS Winnipeg made the trip.

The latest joint passage came a day after President Joe Biden again declared that US troops would come to Taiwan’s aid in the event of a Chinese invasion.

This was the fourth time Biden made such comments, despite Washington’s longstanding official policy of “strategic ambiguity” — designed both to ward off a Chinese invasion and discourage Taiwan from provoking Beijing by formally declaring independence.

Each time after Biden’s comments, the White House said there was no change in US policy on Taiwan.

With a sunny smile to the camera Alaina Wood delivers a burst of “good climate news” to her young TikTok audience, trying to reassure them that it is not too late for action on global warming.  

This cheerfulness is not because Wood has somehow failed to notice the litany of storms, floods and heatwaves battering the world and the dire projections of what is to come if fossil fuel emissions are not slashed. 

But the 26-year-old sustainability scientist — along with others working on climate change — worries that the barrage of bad news is causing “climate doomism”, a sense of hopelessness that they fear may undermine action.

“I took a deep dive into optimism,” said Wood, whose day job is in waste and water systems and who posts to her more than 300,000 followers under the name @thegarbagequeen. 

The aim is to inspire action. 

“If I’m going to talk about the harsh realities of it, I’m going to give them something to do with that anxiety,” the American told AFP.

Her positive climate videos, filmed at home in Tennessee or while hiking in the countryside, cover everything from the recovery of a threatened species to early-stage technology for decarbonising cement.

A major new US climate and health bill, signed into law in August, has proven a useful counterpoint to those who say “voting doesn’t matter”, she said.

Wood said she sees the sentiment that it is “too late” to do anything, mainly from users in the US or other wealthy countries, adding that people in the direct path of the most severe climate impacts do not have the option to give up.  

– Doomerism –

The most downbeat tend to be teenagers, she said, echoing concerns about high levels of climate anxiety among young people worldwide.   

One survey of 16- to 25-year-olds in 10 countries found almost 60 percent were very worried about climate change. 

Because every fraction of a degree matters as the planet heats, climate scientists say it is never too late to act to cut fossil fuel emissions — although delay makes impacts worse and actions harder and more costly.

But the nearly 1.2 degrees Celsius (34 degrees Fahrenheit) of global warming since pre-industrial times has unleashed devastating extremes. It can be difficult to look on the bright side. 

“Even my most optimistic followers are turning to climate doom because of all the climate disasters this summer, and I don’t know what to do,” Wood wrote on Twitter in late August. 

The resulting online rows — over whether fear or optimism are the correct response — led her to contemplate a temporary break from social media. 

– ‘You need hope’ –

They also reflect an intense debate among scientists, activists and in the media on how to talk about the enormous scale of the threat to humans and the natural world without overwhelming people. 

“Fear will wake us up, but fear is not the motivator for long-term action,” said climate scientist Katharine Hayhoe, who has written a book on the subject. 

“You need hope when things are dark. Hope is the chance that there is a better future that’s possible if you do everything you can to work towards it.” 

While climate denial has in recent years sunk to the murkier depths of the internet as impacts become harder to ignore, Hayhoe said “doomerism” is taking its place.

“If we decide there’s nothing we can do that will make a difference, we will do nothing,” she told AFP earlier this year. 

“And if we do nothing, we are doomed.” 

Even people who feel they have done their bit — giving up meat or cutting out air travel — fall into despair, Hayhoe said, partly down to an “obsession with individual action” in the US and other wealthy countries.

The co-founder of direct action protest movement Extinction Rebellion (XR), Gail Bradbrook, can agree.

– Better, not best –

She believes that while people are “hardwired” to act for the good of the community, that is undermined by a consumerist system.

But the former research scientist said those behind XR’s creation in 2018 were not motivated by hope or despair.

“It was from a sense of determination to see change happen,” she told AFP.

Likening the need for the bitter truth to a cancer patient wanting an honest diagnosis, Bradbrook said it was important to understand the causes of the climate, biodiversity, health, inequality crises.  

And then have agency to act. 

Even if the situation were irredeemably dire, she said, “what else are you wanting to do with your life?”

Wood remains upbeat on her path of optimism and proud of the impact of her videos, including getting her TikTok followers to call the White House asking President Joe Biden to declare a climate emergency.

“We can make the future better,” she said.

“It may not be the best, because the best would have been if we prevented climate change from happening in the first place. But we can make society better and healthier.”

Ukraine will take center stage at the United Nations on Wednesday as world leaders warned of a new era of divisions over the war and other crises including climate change.

US President Joe Biden will address the UN General Assembly on Wednesday as will Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, the only leader permitted to speak by video as the massive annual summit returned in person after two years of pandemic restrictions. 

Other speakers will include Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi, who flew to New York despite protests in his nation after the death of a young woman following her arrest by “morality police.” 

Standing at the UN rostrum late Tuesday, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz said the world was “facing a new fragmentation” after years of hope following the end of the Cold War and his own nation’s reunification.

“Major global crises are piling up before us and are combining and reinforcing one another. Some have even seen this as a harbinger of a world without rules,” he said.

Scholz said that President Vladimir Putin, who invaded Ukraine in February, will “only give up his war and his imperialist ambitions if he realizes he cannot win.”

“We stand firmly at the side of those under attack — for the protection of the lives and the freedom of the Ukrainians, and for the protection of our international order,” he said.

– World forced to choose sides? –

Biden is expected also to address Ukraine and the global order. In a break with tradition for US presidents, he did not speak on the first day as he had traveled to Britain for the funeral of Queen Elizabeth II.

Just as the UN summit was getting underway with the participation of Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov, Russian-backed forces announced they were going ahead with a move the West had long warned against: referendums on annexation by Moscow.

French President Emmanuel Macron described Russia’s invasion as “a return to a new age of imperialism and colonies” and warned that inaction risked “tearing down the global order without which peace is not possible.”

“It’s not a matter of choosing one side between East and West, or North or South. It’s a matter of responsibility” to the UN Charter, he said.

“Beyond the war, there is a risk of division in the world for reasons both direct and indirect from the conflict.”

But a number of developing nations have resisted Western calls to punish Russia and have voiced unease about the billions of dollars being spent on weapons for Ukraine.

“Africa has suffered enough from the burden of history,” said Senegalese President Macky Sall, the current chair of the African Union, as he pleaded for a “negotiated solution” in Ukraine.

“It does not want to be the breeding ground of a new cold war.”

The new Philippine president, Ferdinand Marcos Jr, also alluded to tensions between the United States and China.

“In Asia, our hard-won peace and stability is under threat by increasing strategic and ideological tensions,” he said.

– Anger over Iranian woman’s death –

Macron met on the UN sidelines with Raisi as he pressed for Iran to agree to the revival of a 2015 nuclear accord rejected by former US president Donald Trump.

But the nuclear issue appeared overshadowed by scenes of protests in Iran following the death of 22-year-old Mahsa Amini, who was arrested by the unit responsible for enforcing the Islamic republic’s dress code for women.

Macron said he encouraged Raisi to show “respect for women’s rights,” as dissident groups staging noisy demonstrations in New York said they were filing a new lawsuit against Raisi over previous human rights concerns.

Chilean President Gabriel Boric, a leftist former student leader, paid tribute to Amini as he called for “an end to abuses by the powerful everywhere.”

UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres opened the General Assembly by projecting images of a ship carrying grain out of Ukraine — evidence of how diplomacy can succeed.

But he warned that “divides are growing deeper.”

“A winter of global discontent is on the horizon,” he added. 

“Trust is crumbling, inequalities are exploding, our planet is burning. People are hurting — with the most vulnerable suffering the most.”

With global temperatures rising and a chunk of Pakistan the size of the United Kingdom recently under water, Guterres lashed out at fossil fuel companies and the “suicidal war against nature.”

He called on developed economies to tax profits from fossil fuels and dedicate the funds both to compensate for damage from climate change and to help people struggling with high prices.

“Polluters must pay,” he said.

Hurricane Fiona continued its slow and devastating march northward after slamming the Turks and Caicos Islands as a powerful Category 3 storm on Tuesday and leaving a trail of destruction in Puerto Rico and the Dominican Republic.

The US National Hurricane Center (NHC) said Tuesday evening that the storm had moved 75 miles (120 kilometers) north of Turks and Caicos, though it was still producing strong winds and heavy rains on portions of the British territory that is home to some 38,000 people.

NHC aircraft had also measured an uptick in Fiona’s maximum windspeeds, now at 125 miles per hour, making it a major hurricane.

At least five people have died as the storm churned across the Caribbean — one in the French overseas department of Guadeloupe and two each in Puerto Rico and the Dominican Republic.

After leaving the Turks and Caicos Islands, Fiona began a slow crawl northwards on a path that could see the strengthening storm approach Bermuda late Thursday.

“Hurricane Fiona has proven to be an unpredictable storm,” Anya Williams, the deputy governor of Turks and Caicos, said in a broadcast.

Williams said no casualties or serious injuries had been reported in Turks and Caicos, but she urged residents to continue to shelter in place.

Blackouts were reported on Grand Turk and several other islands in the archipelago and 165 people were admitted to shelters, she said, adding that Britain’s Royal Navy and the US Coast Guard are standing by to provide assistance.

Dominican Republic President Luis Abinader has declared three eastern provinces to be disaster zones: La Altagracia — home to the popular resort of Punta Cana — El Seibo and Hato Mayor.

Authorities said Tuesday that more than 10,000 people had been moved to “safe areas,” while some 400,000 are without electricity.

Footage from local media showed residents of the east coast town of Higuey waist-deep in water trying to salvage personal belongings.

“It came through at high speed,” Vicente Lopez told AFP in Punta Cana, bemoaning the destroyed businesses in the area.

– ‘I have food and water’ –

US President Joe Biden has declared a state of emergency in Puerto Rico and dispatched the head of the Federal Emergency Management Agency to the island, which is still struggling to recover from Hurricane Maria five years ago.

“We’re sending hundreds of additional personnel to support all affected communities,” FEMA Administrator Deanne Criswell said Tuesday after a tour with Pedro Pierluisi, the island’s governor. 

Pierluisi said the storm had caused catastrophic damage on the island of three million people since Sunday, with some areas receiving more than 30 inches (76 centimeters) of rain.

Michelle Carlo, medical advisor for Direct Relief in Puerto Rico, told CBS News that “a lot of people in Puerto Rico are suffering right now.”

“About 80 percent of Puerto Ricans are still without power and about 65 percent are without water service,” Carlo said.

Across Puerto Rico, Fiona caused landslides, blocked roads and toppled trees, power lines and bridges, Pierluisi said.

A man was killed as an indirect result of the power blackout — burned to death while trying to fill his generator, according to authorities.

On Monday afternoon, Nelly Marrero made her way back to her home in Toa Baja, in the north of Puerto Rico, to clear out the mud that surged inside after she evacuated.

“Thanks to God, I have food and water,” Marrero — who lost everything when Hurricane Maria devastated Puerto Rico — told AFP by telephone.

The hurricane has left around 800,000 people without drinking water as a result of power outages and flooded rivers, officials said.

After years of financial woes and recession, Puerto Rico in 2017 declared the largest bankruptcy ever by a local US administration. 

Later that year, the double hit from hurricanes Irma and Maria added to the misery, devastating the electrical grid on the island — which has suffered from major infrastructure problems for years.

The grid was privatized in June 2021 in an effort to resolve the problem of blackouts, but the issue has persisted, and the entire island lost power earlier this year.

Ensnared in legal probes as he mulls a second White House run in 2024, Donald Trump is injecting new life into the fading QAnon conspiracy cult — whose members have embraced him as a new icon.

While the anonymous founder of the conspiracy — known only as “Q” — has disappeared from view, a Trump rally last weekend in Ohio clearly showed that it remains a force, behind the former president.

Trump’s supporters solemnly thrust their index fingers into the sky as he ended his speech to the electronic strains of a song identified by Media Matters, a progressive research group, as “Where We Go One We Go All,” or WWG1WGA — the QAnon motto.

The Republican ex-president used the same work in an August 9 video released right after the FBI raid on his Florida home. And he has played it elsewhere, with QAnon followers taking note online.

Meanwhile Trump has increasingly amplified QAnon postings on his Truth Social network. On September 13 he reposted a doctored picture of himself with a prominent “Q” on his lapel.

QAnon’s original followers subscribed to bizarre theories of a Democratic satanic child sex abuse network — an outlandishness summed up by images of one of them invading the US Capitol in a shamanic headdress.

But experts say the movement is now embracing more Trump-centric theories of election denialism and the notion of an unaccountable Washington “deep state” — ideas central to Trump’s “Make America Great Again” or MAGA movement.

The overlap between QAnon and MAGA is now “hard to distinguish,” said Rachel Goldwasser, who researches right-wing extremism at the Southern Poverty Law Center.

Trump is now “sort of the hero of the conspiracy theory,” she said.

– Absence of ‘Q’ –

The QAnon movement took root in 2017 with cryptic posts on the fringes of social media by the anonymous “Q”. 

Followers, who by 2020 numbered hundreds of thousands, embraced the belief that the world was controlled by a secret cabal of the rich and powerful, and groundless conspiracy theories about Covid-19.

Many would attend Trump reelection rallies carrying  “QAnon” banners and wearing “Q” t-shirts. Trump didn’t endorse them, but never distanced himself either.

After Trump lost the election, and particularly after the January 6 attack on the US Capitol by his supporters, the movement lost momentum. “Q” messages stopped, and a person associated with the website where they had appeared urged followers to move on and accept new President Joe Biden.

Pushed off mainstream social media, QAnon followers turned to Telegram and then, when it launched in February 2022, Truth Social, in numbers far diminished.

But the movement has refocused around Trump’s campaign to convince people he was defeated due to fraud. QAnon-ists promoted the same conspiracy theories as Trump, analysts say, and explicit mentions of QAnon itself dwindled.

“The most impactful way the ideology has evolved is in its connection with things like election denialism,” said Alyssa Kann, who researches domestic violent extremism at the Atlantic Council’s Digital Forensic Research Lab.

– Influencers –

This has been helped by QAnon influencers, who organized events focused on Trump’s complaints. 

John Sabal, formerly known online as “QAnon John,” held a large “Patriot Voice” rally in Dallas, Texas last year and plans another in November. Advertised speakers: former Trump attorney Rudy Giuliani and former aide George Papadopoulos.

Trump’s one-time national security advisor Michael Flynn — who once made a video with his family swearing the WWG1WGA oath — has criss-crossed the country promoting Trump and Trump-backed election candidates and the same conspiracy theories.

He doesn’t openly mention QAnon, but also doesn’t shy away, often using the QAnon-favored phrase “the storm is coming.” A video taken at a September 18 fundraising event in California shows Flynn and others being entertained by a woman singing the words “where we go one we go all.”

– Trump goes full-Q –

It’s not exactly clear why Trump abandoned his arm’s-length treatment of QAnon, but the timeline matches the rise in legal threats against him, which he ascribes to a political campaign by the Biden administration, and his effort to get allies elected to state and national office in November. 

He and his broader circle are threatened by a criminal probe into the attack on the Capitol.

And the recent surge of Q-references follows August’s FBI raid on his Mar-a-Lago estate in a national security investigation.

While pointing fingers skyward was not a gesture until now associated with QAnon, the sight at Trump’s rally in Ohio startled many observers.

“When you combine the characteristics of a cult with all the trappings of a religion, you get a very volatile, dangerous scenario on your hands,” Frank Figliuzzi,  a former FBI counterintelligence official, told MSNBC.