AFP

Stocks tank as central banks hike rates

Stock markets sank Thursday as more central banks hiked interest rates in efforts to tame runaway inflation, actions that raised fears they could spark recessions.

One day after the Federal Reserve’s biggest US interest-rate hike in nearly 30 years, the Bank of England raised borrowing costs to their highest level since the 2009 financial crisis.

The BoE jacked up its rate by a quarter-point to 1.25 percent, its fifth straight increase, but it was lower than the Fed’s more aggressive 0.75-percentage-point increase.

Adding to the sense of urgency, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) surprised the markets as it unexpectedly hiked rates for the first time since 2007.

The European Central Bank plans to hike rates next month for the first time in a decade.

“European bourses are tanking on recession fears as central banks act aggressively to tame inflation,” City Index analyst Fiona Cincotta told AFP.

“While the move by the Fed was priced in, the SNB’s hike was a shock that caught investors off guard. Harder and faster rate hikes from central banks mean that a recession will be hard to avoid.”

European stock markets closed at their lowest level in three months, with London and Frankfurt shedding more than three percent and Paris falling by 2.4 percent.

Wall Street, which had rallied following the Fed’s rate hike on Wednesday, fell sharply on Thursday.

The tech-heavy Nasdaq sank by four percent in midday trading while the broad-based S&P 500 was off by 3.2 percent and the Dow fell 2.4 percent.

Asian markets mostly closed lower.

Markets have been pummelled this year as investors fret over consumer prices, which have soared as Russia’s invasion of Ukraine sent energy and food prices through the roof.

That has intensified fear that the world economy, which is still in recovery from the deadly Covid pandemic, could lurch back into a lengthy downturn.

While rate hikes are necessary to bring down inflation, investors worry that overly aggressive action by central banks could further hurt the global economic recovery and even spark recessions.

“Equity markets are experiencing another day of pain on Thursday as central banks continue to signal a willingness to sacrifice the economy in order to get inflation under control,” said Craig Erlam, analyst at OANDA online trading platform.

Oil prices, meanwhile, stabilised after losses due to demand worries caused by new Covid containment measures in China and news of surging US production.

– Key figures at around 1400 GMT –

New York – Dow: DOWN 2.4 percent at 29,935.59 points

London – FTSE 100: DOWN 3.1 percent at 7,044.98 (close)

Frankfurt – DAX: DOWN 3.3 percent at 13,038.49 (close)

Paris – CAC 40: DOWN 2.4 percent at 5,886.24 (close)

EURO STOXX 50: DOWN 3.0 percent at 3,427.91

Tokyo – Nikkei 225: UP 0.4 percent at 26,431.20 (close)

Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: DOWN 2.2 percent at 20,845.53 (close) 

Shanghai – Composite: DOWN 0.6 percent at 3,285.38 (close)

Euro/dollar: UP at $1.0495 from $1.0444 late Wednesday

Pound/dollar: UP at $1.2280 from $1.2180

Euro/pound: DOWN at 85.48 pence from 85.75 pence

Dollar/yen: DOWN at 132.60 yen from 133.84 yen

Brent North Sea crude: DOWN 0.3 percent at $118.13 per barrel

West Texas Intermediate: UP 0.2 percent at $115.56

burs-lth/kjm

Ghislaine Maxwell pleas for mercy ahead of sex trafficking sentencing

Ghislaine Maxwell cited a traumatic childhood and vulnerability to Jeffrey Epstein in a plea for leniency two weeks before her scheduled court sentencing for child sex trafficking.

In a brief filed Wednesday evening, Maxwell’s lawyers urged Judge Alison Nathan to sentence the disgraced British socialite to less than the probation department’s recommended 20 years.

Maxwell, 60, was convicted late last year of recruiting and grooming young girls to be sexually abused by the late US financier Epstein.

A jury found her guilty on five of six counts, the most serious for sex trafficking minors.

Her sentence, which is slated to come down on June 28 in Manhattan’s federal court, could be an effective life behind bars.

“This Court cannot sentence Ms. Maxwell as if she were a proxy for Epstein simply because Epstein is no longer here,” her lawyers wrote. “Ms. Maxwell cannot and should not bear all the punishment for which Epstein should have been held responsible.”

The lawyers emphasized Maxwell’s emotional wounds, saying that “she had a difficult, traumatic childhood with an overbearing, narcissistic, and demanding father.”

“It made her vulnerable to Epstein, whom she met right after her father’s death,” the lawyers said. 

“It is the biggest mistake she made in her life and one that she has not and never will repeat.”

The Oxford-educated daughter of the late British press baron Robert Maxwell, the former international jetsetter grew up in wealth and privilege as a friend to royalty.

Her circle included Britain’s Prince Andrew, former US president and real estate baron Donald Trump and the Clinton family.

Prosecutors in her trial said Maxwell was “the key” to Epstein’s scheme of enticing young girls to give him massages, during which he would sexually abuse them.

Epstein killed himself in 2019 while awaiting his own sex crimes trial in New York.

In February, Prince Andrew settled a sexual abuse lawsuit with Virginia Giuffre, who said she had been trafficked to the royal by Epstein and Maxwell.

BoE unveils fifth straight rate hike as inflation soars

The Bank of England on Thursday hiked its main interest rate for the fifth straight time, as it forecast decades-high British inflation to soar further this year to above 11 percent.

BoE policymakers agreed at a regular meeting to increase the cost of borrowing by a quarter-point to 1.25 percent, the highest level since the global financial crisis in 2009.

Following the announcement, the pound slumped one percent against the dollar before rebounding.

Analysts bet that the BoE would eventually mirror the Federal Reserve by aggressively hiking rates.

– BoE lags Fed –

For now, the Bank of England is avoiding “shock and awe tactics being employed across the Atlantic”, said Laith Khalaf, head of investment analysis at AJ Bell.

“Despite the UK starting to tighten monetary policy first, interest rates are now higher in the US.”

The US Federal Reserve on Wednesday announced the most aggressive interest rate increase in nearly 30 years —  in a battle to drive down surging consumer prices.

The Fed’s rate hike of 0.75 percentage points came after US inflation rocketed to 8.6 percent in May, the highest level in more than four decades.

UK inflation currently stands at nine percent, last seen 40 years ago.

Prices are soaring worldwide as economies reopen from pandemic lockdowns and amid the Ukraine war that is pushing already high energy costs skyward.

The BoE’s latest rate hike was in response to “continuing signs of robust cost and price pressures… and the risk that those pressures become more persistent”, according to minutes of the UK meeting.

A minority of BoE policymakers had voted for an increase to 1.5 percent.

London’s benchmark FTSE 100 index closed down 3.1 percent in a global sell-off for equities as fears mount over a possible recession.

“It is a bloodbath for stock markets as recession fears have prompted traders to cut and run,” said David Madden, market analyst at Equiti Capital. 

– ‘Slow poison’ –

The BoE on Thursday forecast the UK economy to contract by 0.3 percent in the second quarter that ends on June 30 — and after growing in the first three months of the year.

A recession is defined as two consecutive quarters of negative growth.

“Inflation risks being a slow poison for the economy, so the Bank of England is trying to take an antidote now by raising interest rates,” said Susannah Streeter, senior investment and markets analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown.

“However, it can only take a small dose at a time given the ailing nature of the economy… with more hikes to follow.”

Higher interest rates, while boosting returns for savers, ramp up loan repayments for businesses and households.

British economic output declined for a second month in a row in April, weighed down by rocketing prices that are causing a cost-of-living crisis for millions of Britons, while increasing the risk of a UK recession this year.

Data this week also revealed the first rise in the UK unemployment rate since the end of 2020 — although at 3.8 percent it remains at a near 50-year low point thanks to the highest amount of job vacancies on record.

At the same time, the value of average UK wages is falling at the fastest pace in more than a decade.

Fearing fallout from surging inflation, the BoE began to raise its key interest rate in December, from a record-low level of 0.1 percent.

Almost two years earlier, as the Covid-19 pandemic began to take hold, the BoE slashed the rate to just above zero and decided to pump massive sums of new cash into the economy.

In the neighbouring eurozone, the European Central Bank is next month set to raise interest rates for the first time in more than a decade.

Switzerland’s central bank hiked its rate Thursday for the first time in 15 years.

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Italy's Po Valley rations water amid record drought

Italy’s rich northern Lombardy region prepared to declare a state of emergency Thursday over a record drought which is threatening crops and has forced towns in the Po Valley to ration water.

“It’s an extremely delicate situation,” regional chief Attilio Fontana told reporters as the valley, which stretches across the north and houses a crucial agricultural sector, suffered its worst drought in 70 years.

Fontana said a state of emergency was likely to be declared for Lombardy, home to Milan, as well as three other neighbouring regions: Piedmont, the Veneto and Emilia Romagna.

The Po River is Italy’s largest reservoir of freshwater and much of it is used by farmers. Some areas have been without rain for over 110 days, according to the Po River observatory.

With no rain forecast, councils have begun installing water tankers and imposing hosepipe pans.

Utilitalia, a federation of water companies, has asked mayors in 100 towns in Piedmont and 25 in Lombardy to suspend nighttime drinking water supplies to replenish reservoir levels.

The drought is putting over 30 percent of national agricultural production and half of livestock farming in the valley at risk, Italy’s largest agricultural association, Coldiretti, said Thursday.

The low level of the Po is also leading to salt seawater infiltration into low-lying agricultural areas, compounding farmers’ problems, it said.

US targets Chinese, Indian brokers in new Iran sanctions

The United States on Thursday imposed sanctions on Iranian petrochemical producers as well as Chinese and Indian brokers, expanding pressure amid a deadlock in negotiations on restoring a nuclear deal.

President Joe Biden’s administration said that it still remained committed to diplomacy with Iran to restore a 2015 agreement on curbing its nuclear program.

“Absent a deal, we will continue to use our sanctions authorities to limit exports of petroleum, petroleum products and petrochemical products from Iran,” said Brian Nelson, senior Treasury Department official.

The Treasury Department said it was imposing sanctions on a network of Iranian petrochemical firms including alleged front companies in China and the United Arab Emirates for Iran’s state-owned company and Triliance, a Hong Kong-based company already under US sanctions for its dealing with Iran.

It also took action against China-based broker Jeff Gao and Indian national Mohammad Shaheed Ruknooddin Bhore for allegedly managing business for Triliance.

The United States has sought to prevent any nation from buying Iranian oil since 2018 after then president Donald Trump walked away from a negotiated agreement, in which Iran drastically scaled back its nuclear program in return for promises of sanctions relief.

China has remained the top buyer of Iranian oil while India reluctantly ended imports under US pressure.

Biden has sought to restore the nuclear deal, saying that the United States would ease sanctions if Iran returns to compliance, but his chief negotiator recently said it was more likely than not that the diplomacy will fail.

Iran has insisted on the United States removing a Trump-era designation of its powerful Revolutionary Guards as a terrorist organization, a move that Biden has rejected as peripheral to discussions on the nuclear deal.

US targets Chinese, Indian brokers in new Iran sanctions

The United States on Thursday imposed sanctions on Iranian petrochemical producers as well as Chinese and Indian brokers, expanding pressure amid a deadlock in negotiations on restoring a nuclear deal.

President Joe Biden’s administration said that it still remained committed to diplomacy with Iran to restore a 2015 agreement on curbing its nuclear program.

“Absent a deal, we will continue to use our sanctions authorities to limit exports of petroleum, petroleum products and petrochemical products from Iran,” said Brian Nelson, senior Treasury Department official.

The Treasury Department said it was imposing sanctions on a network of Iranian petrochemical firms including alleged front companies in China and the United Arab Emirates for Iran’s state-owned company and Triliance, a Hong Kong-based company already under US sanctions for its dealing with Iran.

It also took action against China-based broker Jeff Gao and Indian national Mohammad Shaheed Ruknooddin Bhore for allegedly managing business for Triliance.

The United States has sought to prevent any nation from buying Iranian oil since 2018 after then president Donald Trump walked away from a negotiated agreement, in which Iran drastically scaled back its nuclear program in return for promises of sanctions relief.

China has remained the top buyer of Iranian oil while India reluctantly ended imports under US pressure.

Biden has sought to restore the nuclear deal, saying that the United States would ease sanctions if Iran returns to compliance, but his chief negotiator recently said it was more likely than not that the diplomacy will fail.

Iran has insisted on the United States removing a Trump-era designation of its powerful Revolutionary Guards as a terrorist organization, a move that Biden has rejected as peripheral to discussions on the nuclear deal.

Activision board says execs didn't ignore harassment

The board of directors of US video game publisher Activision Blizzard said Thursday that there was no evidence to suggest that management had ignored or minimized accusations of sexual harassment. 

The firm behind hits like Candy Crush and Call of Duty, which Microsoft is acquiring in a blockbuster $69 billion deal, has been roiled by lawsuits and workers’ allegations.   

Its CEO Bobby Kotick has apologized on behalf of the group and implemented a “zero tolerance” policy, while dozens of employees have been sanctioned or fired.

But according to the Wall Street Journal, the executive knew about reports of harassment for several years and sought to keep the incidents quiet.  

In a filing with US market regulators, the firm acknowledged Thursday the existence of cases of gender-based harassment.  

“The board and its external advisors have determined that there is no evidence to suggest that Activision Blizzard senior executives ever intentionally ignored or attempted to downplay the instances of gender harassment that occurred and were reported,” the document said. 

The firm and its advisors have “not unearthed any evidence, directly or indirectly, suggesting any attempt by any senior executive or employee to conceal information from the board.” 

Activision also hired Gilbert Casellas, a former chair of US discrimination watchdog Equal Employment Opportunity Commission (EEOC), for a review.  

According to the company, he concluded that there was no widespread harassment, recurring pattern or practices of harassment at Activision Blizzard or any of its subsidiaries. 

Still, the company reached an agreement last year with the EEOC to create an $18 million compensation fund for harassment victims.   

Activision also faces a case brought by California’s rights watchdog, which launched a lawsuit last year alleging sexual harassment and discrimination at the company. 

Activision board says execs didn't ignore harassment

The board of directors of US video game publisher Activision Blizzard said Thursday that there was no evidence to suggest that management had ignored or minimized accusations of sexual harassment. 

The firm behind hits like Candy Crush and Call of Duty, which Microsoft is acquiring in a blockbuster $69 billion deal, has been roiled by lawsuits and workers’ allegations.   

Its CEO Bobby Kotick has apologized on behalf of the group and implemented a “zero tolerance” policy, while dozens of employees have been sanctioned or fired.

But according to the Wall Street Journal, the executive knew about reports of harassment for several years and sought to keep the incidents quiet.  

In a filing with US market regulators, the firm acknowledged Thursday the existence of cases of gender-based harassment.  

“The board and its external advisors have determined that there is no evidence to suggest that Activision Blizzard senior executives ever intentionally ignored or attempted to downplay the instances of gender harassment that occurred and were reported,” the document said. 

The firm and its advisors have “not unearthed any evidence, directly or indirectly, suggesting any attempt by any senior executive or employee to conceal information from the board.” 

Activision also hired Gilbert Casellas, a former chair of US discrimination watchdog Equal Employment Opportunity Commission (EEOC), for a review.  

According to the company, he concluded that there was no widespread harassment, recurring pattern or practices of harassment at Activision Blizzard or any of its subsidiaries. 

Still, the company reached an agreement last year with the EEOC to create an $18 million compensation fund for harassment victims.   

Activision also faces a case brought by California’s rights watchdog, which launched a lawsuit last year alleging sexual harassment and discrimination at the company. 

EU leaders back Ukraine membership bid in trip to war-torn Kyiv

The European Union’s most powerful leaders on Thursday embraced Ukraine’s bid to be accepted as a candidate for EU membership, in a powerful symbol of support in Kyiv’s battle against Russia’s invasion.

French President Emmanuel Macron, Germany’s Chancellor Olaf Scholz and Italian premier Mario Draghi arrived in Ukraine by train and headed to the Kyiv suburb of Irpin, scene of fierce battles early in the brutal war.

They were later joined in Kyiv by Romania’s President Klaus Iohannis and met their Ukrainian counterpart Volodymyr Zelensky, who has been lobbying his western allies for most and faster weapons deliveries and the promise of a European future.

“All four of us support the status of immediate candidate for accession,” Macron told a joint press conference with his EU colleagues.

Draghi agreed: “The most important message of our visit is that Italy wants Ukraine in the EU.” 

Scholz said Ukraine “belongs in the European family” and vowed: “We are supporting Ukraine with the deliveries of weapons. We will keep doing that for as long as it is needed.” 

Zelensky promised Ukraine was ready to put in the work to become a fully-fledged EU member, and said Ukrainians has already proved themselves worthy of candidate status.

The European Commission will meet Friday to give its official opinion on Ukraine’s formal bid for EU candidacy, which must be approved by all 27 member states.

– ‘Heavy weapons’ –

Once a candidate, it may take several years for Ukraine — already a poor country with a reputation for corruption before Russia’s assault — to meets membership criteria.

The NATO alliance will also meet in Madrid before the end of the month — with Zelensky attending as a guest by videoconference.

Members will discuss weapons and training for Ukrainian forces and shoring up their own eastern flank against the Russian threat.

“I explained our essential needs in the field of defence,” Zelensky said after meeting the visiting leaders.

“We are expecting new deliveries, above all heavy weapons, modern artillery, anti-aircraft defence systems,” he said, even as Macron said France would send six Caesar self-propelled howitzers to add to the 12 already deployed on Ukraine’s eastern front.

“Every batch of these deliveries saves Ukrainians. Every day of delayed or postponed decisions is an opportunity for the Russian military to kill Ukrainians or ruin our cities,” Zelensky said.

Earlier, on a tour of Irpin, Macron had declared: “France has been alongside Ukraine since day one. We stand with the Ukrainians without ambiguity. Ukraine must resist and win.”

– ‘Rebuild everything’ –

Surrounded by the wreckage left by Ukraine’s successful but hard-fought defence of its capital in the early stages of the 113-day-old conflict, Draghi said: “We will rebuild everything.

“They destroyed kindergartens, they destroyed playgrounds. Everything will be rebuilt,” he promised.

It is the first time the three have visited Kyiv since Russia’s February 24 invasion. 

Germany, especially, has been criticised for slow weapons deliveries, but western defence ministers met in Brussels to discuss what more they can do and on Wednesday, US President Joe Biden announced $1 billion worth of new arms for Ukrainian forces.

Moscow was dismissive of the European visit, and of the arms supplies.

“Supporting Ukraine by further pumping Ukraine with weapons,” warned Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov would be “absolutely useless and will cause further damage to the country”. 

Zelensky countered: “Russia does not want peace, it never wants anything but war.”

The new US support package includes howitzers, ammunition, anti-ship missile systems, and additional rockets for new artillery systems that Ukraine will soon put in the field.

– Food crisis – 

Fighting in eastern Ukraine is focused on the industrial city of Severodonetsk, and Russians forces appear close to consolidating control after weeks of intense battles.

Sergiy Gaiday — the governor of the Lugansk region, which includes the city — said Thursday around 10,000 civilians remain trapped in the city, out of a pre-war population of some 100,000. 

Kyiv’s army is “holding back the enemy as much as possible,” he said on Telegram. “For almost four months they have dreamt of controlling Severodonetsk… and they do not count the victims.”

Elsewhere, Russia launched a missile strike in Ukraine’s north-east Sumy region, killing four people and injuring six others, governor Dmytro Zhyvytsky said on Telegram.

The United Nations warned a hunger crisis that has been worsened by the war in Ukraine, traditionally a breadbasket to the world, could swell already record global displacement numbers.

Addressing the food insecurity crisis is “of paramount importance… to prevent a larger number of people moving,” the United Nations refugee chief Filippo Grandi told reporters.

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Gazprom defends gas cuts as prices in Europe soar

Russian energy giant Gazprom on Thursday defended gas cuts to Europe as prices soared and tensions raged between Russia and the West over Ukraine.

Gazprom CEO Alexei Miller said that Moscow will play by its own rules after cutting daily gas supplies to Germany and Italy.

“Our product, our rules. We don’t play by rules we didn’t create,” Miller said during a panel discussion at the Saint Petersburg International Economic Forum in Russia’s second city.

Earlier this week, Gazprom slashed its natural gas deliveries via the Nord Stream pipeline, after saying Germany’s Siemens had delayed the repair work of compressor units at the Portovaya compression station. 

“For now, there is no way to solve the problem that arose with the compressor station,” Miller said.

“Siemens is still silent, trying to find a solution.”

Italian energy giant Eni also reported problems, saying it will receive only 65 percent of the gas requested Thursday from Gazprom.

Gazprom has said exports to countries that did not belong to the former Soviet Union were down 28.9 percent between January 1 and June 15 compared to the same period last year.

“Of course, Gazprom is reducing the volume of gas supplies to Europe,” Miller said, pointing out that the prices have increased several-fold.

“If I say we are not offended by anyone, then I am not pretending,” Miller said. 

Gas prices continued to soar on Thursday, galvanized by a sharp cut in supply from Russia. Europe’s reference natural gas price, Dutch TTF, reached almost 150 euros ($158) per megawatt/hour before falling to 134 euros in the afternoon. 

Moscow has lost several European gas clients after it demanded that all “unfriendly” countries pay for Russian natural gas in rubles in response to a barrage of Western sanctions over Russia’s military intervention in Ukraine.

Poland, Bulgaria, Finland and the Netherlands have had their natural gas deliveries suspended over refusing to pay in rubles. 

The Nord Stream pipeline was commissioned in 2012 and delivers gas from northwestern Russia to Germany via the Baltic Sea.  

The launch of the Nord Stream 2 pipeline that was set to double Russian gas deliveries to Germany was halted in response to Moscow’s military campaign in Ukraine. 

“Nord Stream 2 is under pressure and gas could be supplied to Germany even today via it. But it has not been put in operation because it is not certified,” Miller said.

EU countries have scrambled to reduce their dependency on Russian energy but are divided about imposing a natural gas embargo as several member states are heavily reliant on Moscow’s energy supplies.

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