AFP

US President Joe Biden signed into law Friday a rare intervention by Congress forcing freight rail unions to accept a salary deal, avoiding a possibly devastating strike — but putting the pro-union Democrat in an awkward political position.

Biden signed the law in a brief White House ceremony only a week before unions who had rejected the deal were expected to have gone on strike, threatening crucial supply chains across the world’s biggest economy.

The deal delivers a hefty wage increase but four of the 12 unions involved refused to accept it because there was no agreement on giving workers paid sick leave. Congress acted under a little used power to resolve disputes involving railroads.

As he signed the bill, Biden said Congress had “avoided what, without a doubt, would have been an economic catastrophe.”

“Without freight rail, many of the US industries would literally have shut down,” Biden said, adding that his advisors feared the loss of three quarters of a million jobs within two weeks if the strike had gone ahead.

The episode was awkward politically for Biden.

Trade unions constitute a major element in his electoral coalition and he frequently describes himself as a lifelong union supporter and the “most pro-union president” in history.

That brand has taken a hit from the emergency bill signing, with some on the left accusing Biden of having sold out. After the Senate came down decisively in favor of the rail management, one union leader called the situation “horrific.”

The Brotherhood of Railroad Signalmen alleged that Senators had “demonstrated they are for the corporate class.”

The issue could come up Friday when Biden does voter outreach during a visit to the International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers (IBEW) union in Boston.

– No choice –

Judging by the overwhelmingly bipartisan support in Congress for forcing through the deal, the political hit for Biden will be contained. The House easily passed the bill and on Thursday the Senate, where usually Biden’s bills are lucky to scrape through with the one-vote Democratic majority, passed 80-15.

Biden said he had no choice but to act quickly in the face of what the White House warns would have been a crippling strike right when the US economy is showing signs of stabilizing in the wake of the Covid pandemic.

In his comments at the signing ceremony, Biden said the wages deal — which his administration was heavily involved in crafting — was “a good product.”

He acknowledged the lack of sick leave but said “I’m coming back at it” with “more work to do.”

Above all, Biden said, the forceful intervention by Congress and the White House would benefit the country as a whole.

“They did one heck of a job in averting what could have been a real disaster,” he said.

Biden said “765,000 Americans, many of them union members themselves, would have been put out of work within the first two weeks of this strike alone.”

In addition, the breaking of supply chains for basic materials like chemicals and farm supplies would put clean drinking water and food at risk.

“We’ve spared the country that catastrophe,” Biden said.

US job gains were unexpectedly robust in November despite efforts to cool the economy, while unemployment held steady and wages ticked up, the government reported Friday.

The figures provide little relief to officials who have been fighting to tamp down decades-high inflation amid concerns that elevated costs could become entrenched.

The world’s biggest economy added 263,000 jobs in November, Labor Department data showed, down from a revised 284,000 figure in October.

The unemployment rate remained low at 3.7 percent.

The US central bank has raised its benchmark interest rate multiple times this year to ease demand, with higher lending costs making it more pricey to borrow funds to buy cars and homes, or expand businesses. 

While such policy tightening may ordinarily lead to job losses, economists have noted that firms are reluctant to shed workers they may have struggled to find since the Covid-19 outbreak.

Demand remains resilient as well, with recent data showing that household spending picked up in October, another reason for firms to avoid job cuts.

Average hourly earnings for private sector workers rose 18 cents to $32.82 last month and over the last 12 months, wages have grown 5.1 percent, according to Friday’s data.

The report also said there were notable job gains in leisure and hospitality, health care as well as in government.

But employment dipped in retail trade, and in transportation and warehousing.

Noting the uptick in wages, President Joe Biden told reporters Friday that things are “moving in the right direction.”

– ‘Far too hot’ –

Although the interest-sensitive housing sector has slowed on the Federal Reserve’s rate hikes and there have been job cuts in tech, economic activity has generally remained resilient.

The labor market “remains far too hot for the Fed,” said ING economist James Knightley in an analysis.

Tightness in the jobs market, as firms compete to find and retain workers, has implications on rising wages –- and these add to the costs of delivering services.

Meanwhile the jobless rate was steady as labor participation, which is still below pre-pandemic levels, fell once more, Knightley said.

“Overall, the data are signaling ongoing positive momentum in job growth and still-elevated wages,” said Rubeela Farooqi of High Frequency Economics in a note.

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin cautioned in a separate speech Friday that the US may be moving into an environment where labor supply is constrained for a longer time, adding to price pressures.

Analysts believe the latest data supports further tightening of monetary policy by the US central bank, sending US stocks lower.

– Steep rate hikes –

While the Fed has signaled this week it might be time to moderate its aggressive campaign to cool the economy, there remain questions over how much higher rates have to go to bring inflation under control, said Fed Chair Jerome Powell.

The central bank has raised borrowing rates six times this year in hopes of easing demand, including four steep rate hikes, while walking a fine line to avoid tipping the economy into a recession.

A tight labor market has limited hiring ahead of the holiday season, but “employers are also hiring more cautiously” given uncertainty over the strength of consumer spending, said Sophia Koropeckyj of Moody’s Analytics.

Some industries have been pulling back, though not necessarily letting go of workers, in part explaining the low jobless rate, she added.

The trend of wage increases appears stable, but analysts have been “hoping to see a clear softening,” said Ian Shepherdson of Pantheon Macroeconomics.

“Even if inflation drops faster than expected over the next few months,” he said, policymakers “will be worried about a rebound in the second half of 2023 and beyond if wage growth does not slow.” 

Austria has cut its dependence on Russian gas but it must keep up efforts to diversify its supplies for the next cold season, the head of Austrian energy group OMV told AFP.

Europe has sought to reduce its reliance on Russian oil and gas since Moscow invaded Ukraine. Russia in turn has slashed gas deliveries, causing energy prices to spike across Europe.

Austria imported 80 percent of its gas from Russia before the war broke out in late February.

By October, Russia accounted for just 23 percent of Austria’s gas imports, according to the government, as the country has filled up storage tanks and sought to buy the fossil fuel elsewhere.

Experts, however, say the Alpine nation of two million still is dependent on it in the long run.

“I think we can be more confident for this winter, for this season, than we were maybe six months ago,” OMV CEO Alfred Stern told AFP on Friday in his modern office with a view over Vienna.

“But the work must go on now, also with a view to the next season,” he added.

He added the energy and chemicals group, which employs more than 22,000 people worldwide, had just signed an agreement in Abu Dhabi to try to secure gas deliveries for next winter.

– Russian exit –

Following European sanctions on Moscow, OMV froze its investments in Russia and has withdrawn from the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline project.

“Because of the changed situation, we have decided Russia will no longer be a core region for us. This means we will not invest further there and we will consider all options including sale and exit,” said Stern, the firm’s 57-year-old CEO since September 2021.

An EU embargo on Russian crude goes into effect on Monday, while European leaders also debate a $60 a barrel ceiling on Russian oil exports.

The embargo will prevent shipments of Russian crude by tanker vessel to the EU, which accounts for two thirds of imports, the rest arriving by pipeline.

OMV — known for its ties with the former Soviet Union from 1968 and for working closely with Russian giant Gazprom until the invasion of Ukraine — operates 1,800 petrol pumps in 10 European countries.

It also develops and produces oil and gas in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the North Sea and the Asia-Pacific region.

– ‘Immorally’ high profits –

The energy giant announced in October that it recorded a high third quarter profit thanks to soaring energy prices — with Stern describing OMV’s performance as “outstanding”.

Greenpeace and other activists have slammed the company’s “immorally” high profits.

Stern said profits supported the company as it seeks to reduce its carbon footprint and develop alternatives to oil and gas, saying such changes “didn’t happen overnight”.

He said in the meantime OMV was increasing its investment in gas as a “stopgap measure”, including considering developing an offshore gas field in the Black Sea off Romania.

“I actually see us as part of the solution (on climate change), because large and financially strong companies are necessary to implement such major challenges,” he said.

US President Joe Biden signed into law Friday a rare intervention by Congress forcing freight rail unions to accept a salary deal, avoiding a possibly devastating strike — but putting the pro-union Democrat in an awkward political position.

Biden signed the law in a brief White House ceremony only a week before unions who had rejected the deal were expected to have gone on strike, threatening crucial supply chains across the world’s biggest economy.

The deal delivers a hefty wage increase but four of the 12 unions involved refused to accept because there was no agreement on giving workers paid sick leave. Congress acted under a little used power to resolve disputes involving railroads.

As he signed the bill, Biden said Congress had “avoided what, without a doubt, would have been an economic catastrophe.”

“Without freight rail, many of the US industries would literally have shut down,” Biden said, adding that his advisors feared the loss of three quarters of a million jobs within two weeks if the strike had gone ahead.

The episode is awkward politically for Biden who frequently touts his pro-union credentials. He was due to meet with electrical union members later Friday in Boston.