AFP

Oil prices tumbled back to pre-war levels Wednesday as recession fears returned to the forefront.

Stocks were also hit by the negative outlook for the global economy but perked up as energy prices and bond yields fell, while currency markets were gripped by the prospect for interest rate hikes.

Oil prices briefly climbed early on Wednesday as Russia’s President Vladimir Putin said his country would stop delivering oil and gas supplies to countries that introduce price caps.

G7 industrialised powers have vowed to move urgently towards implementing a price cap on Russian oil imports to cut off a major source of funding for Moscow’s military action in Ukraine.

But then oil prices then turned sharply lower, with Brent crude, the main international contract, passing under $90 per barrel for the first time since February.

OPEC and its allies earlier this week cut production targets for the first time in more than a year in a bid to lift prices.

“While the 100,000 barrel cut wasn’t fundamentally significant, it was clearly intended as a warning not to drive the price lower or face further cuts,” said OANDA trading platform analyst Craig Erlam.

“Unfortunately, it seems traders are in no mood to be told what to do and growth fears are instead dictating the price direction.”

Recession concerns also dampened sentiment towards equities, but Briefing.com analyst Patrick O’Hare said those worries were competing for investors’ attention with “the idea that the stock market is oversold on a short-term basis and due for a bounce”.

Recession fears have been driven in large part by central banks moving aggressively to rein in surging inflation.

The dollar continues to gain strength from expectations of a third-straight blockbuster hike to US interest rates later this month.

US Federal Reserve officials have lined up in recent weeks to say their main focus is bringing inflation down from four-decade highs, even if that means tipping the economy into recession.

The different pace in lifting rates taken by central banks is fuelling swings in currency values.

The European Central Bank is Thursday forecast to deliver another bumper rate increase, mirroring aggressive moves by the Fed and Bank of England.

Nevertheless, it has moved slower and the euro remains lodged below parity with the dollar.

Meanwhile, the dollar rose to 144.99 yen — the Japanese currency’s weakest showing since 1998.

“The reason that we are seeing this much strength in the dollar against the yen is purely because of the difference in two central banks’ policies,” noted Naeem Aslam, chief market analyst at AvaTrade. 

“The Fed is as hawkish as it can be, and the BoJ still doesn’t seem to be bothered much about inflation or changing its stance on monetary policy.”

Japan’s finance minister, Shunichi Suzuki, on Wednesday expressed concern about the yen’s drop.

“For now, we’re monitoring with a sense of urgency how it’s developing, but if this continues, it makes sense that we will take necessary measures,” he said, without detailing what the measures might be.

The greenback also struck a 37-year peak against sterling after a Bank of England official said plans by new PM Liz Truss to cap energy bills would reduce inflation pressures, leading markets to believe the central bank may let up on rate hikes. 

– Key figures at around 1530 GMT –

Brent North Sea crude: DOWN 3.4 percent at $89.80 per barrel

West Texas Intermediate: DOWN 3.8 percent at $83.55 per barrel

Dollar/yen: UP at 144.44 yen from 142.80 yen on Tuesday

Euro/yen: UP at 143.66 yen from 141.43 yen

Euro/dollar: UP at $0.9946 from $0.9905 

Pound/dollar: DOWN at $1.1444 from $1.1519

Euro/pound: UP at 86.72 pence from 85.97 pence

New York – Dow: UP 0.8 percent at 31,385.35 points

EURO STOXX 50: UP less than 0.1 percent at 3,502.09

London – FTSE 100: DOWN 0.9 percent at 7,237.83 (close)

Frankfurt – DAX: UP 0.4 percent at 12,915.97 (close)

Paris – CAC 40: FLAT at 6,105.92 (close)

Tokyo – Nikkei 225: DOWN 0.7 percent at 27,430.30 (close)

Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: DOWN 0.8 percent at 19,044.30 (close)

Shanghai – Composite: UP 0.1 percent at 3,246.29 (close)

burs-rl/jj

At her first parliamentary grilling as British prime minister, Liz Truss on Wednesday confirmed plans to stem huge rises in the cost of energy that threaten to plunge her new government into a winter of discontent.

Jousting with opposition Labour chief Keir Starmer for the first time since she succeeded Boris Johnson, Truss also revelled in her status as the UK government’s third female prime minister, noting Labour has still to elect a woman leader.

Truss ruled out a windfall tax on energy firms’ gargantuan profits, but said details of her plan would be released on Thursday to ensure consumers and businesses can still afford heating in the coming months.

Whereas Johnson used the weekly session of “Prime Minister’s Questions” to theatrically attack Starmer, Truss was more business-like as she pledged a right-wing programme of tax cuts to revitalise the UK economy.

Starmer cast Truss as the inheritor of 12 years of Tory government leading up to the present crisis in inflation, which is tied to Russia’s war in Ukraine, and said there was “nothing new” about her policies.

“There’s nothing new about a Labour leader who is calling for more tax rises,” Truss retorted, earning roars of approval from Conservative MPs — most of whom had initially backed her leadership rival, Rishi Sunak.

Johnson’s predecessor Theresa May archly asked Truss why only the Conservatives had managed to elect women leaders — May herself, and Margaret Thatcher. One Tory backbencher shouted “3-0!”

Starmer’s deputy Angela Rayner looked on with a pained expression as Truss said it was “extraordinary” that Labour could not find a woman leader, or one who did not live in left-leaning North London.

– Historic diversity –

Earlier Wednesday, Truss convened her new-look cabinet, which includes the most diverse top team in British history: Kwasi Kwarteng as finance minister, James Cleverly as foreign secretary and Suella Braverman as interior minister.

Under the costly plans developed by Truss and Kwarteng, gas and electricity bills for both households and businesses are expected to be capped near current levels for the coming winter at least.

The government would lend or guarantee private-sector loans to energy providers to make up the difference they pay from soaring global wholesale prices, which have driven UK inflation above 10 percent.

The spike in inflation to 40-year highs has stoked a wave of strikes, including by railway workers and criminal lawyers, with more sectors threatening to walk out in an early challenge to Truss’s administration.

On the eve of Truss’s energy plan announcement, the British pound slumped to its lowest dollar level since 1985, tanking to $1.1406 at about 1400 GMT.

Along with the urgent issue of energy prices, Truss’s government must also navigate the combustible problem of post-Brexit trading arrangements in Northern Ireland. 

In her first contacts with foreign leaders, the new Conservative leader spoke late Tuesday by phone to Ukraine’s Volodymyr Zelensky and then US President Joe Biden.

– ‘Imbecile’ –

According to Downing Street, she agreed with Biden “on the importance of protecting” peace in Northern Ireland.

In parliament, Truss said she was “determined” to break through the impasse, and favoured a “negotiated settlement” with the EU.

To Zelensky, Truss vowed to maintain the full-throated support for Ukraine against Russia given by Johnson before he was forced out following a series of scandals.

Truss, 47, won an internal ballot of Tory members on Monday, securing 57 percent of the vote, after a gruelling contest against former finance minister Sunak that began in July.

She now faces a tough challenge reuniting the ruling Tories following the leadership battle, but observers noted that she had expelled almost every Sunak supporter from the cabinet.

Ex-soldier Johnny Mercer said he was “disappointed” to be sacked as veterans affairs minister.

His wife Felicity Cornelius-Mercer went further, calling Truss an “imbecile” as she tweeted a picture mocking the new prime minister as a dim-witted character from “The Muppets”.

The Times quoted one of her incoming ministers as saying: “I doubt she’ll last two years.”

Labour has a double-digit lead in the polls but may have to wait two years to test its popularity.

A general election is due by January 2025 at the latest. Truss on Wednesday again ruled out an early election, mindful perhaps that she needs time to win over a sceptical electorate after Johnson’s defenestration.

A new poll by Ipsos found just a third of people expect Truss to do a good job as prime minister, while another third say she will do a bad job.

A US judge permitted Elon Musk to amend his complaint against Twitter on Wednesday, but rejected delaying the lawsuit over the disintegration of the billionaire’s deal to acquire the social media company.

In a mixed ruling, Kathaleen McCormick, the chancellor of the Delaware court, said Musk could add whistleblowing revelations from a Twitter ex-security chief that surfaced in August.

But she denied his request to push back the litigation, saying prolonging the suit “would risk further harm to Twitter too great to justify.”

Musk has been locked in a bitter legal battle with Twitter since announcing in July that he was pulling the plug on his $44 billion purchase of the company following a complex, volatile, months-long courtship.

Musk has said he canceled the deal because he was misled by Twitter concerning the number of bot accounts on its platform, allegations rejected by the company.

Revelations from Twitter former security chief Peiter Zatko criticizing Twitter’s security practices first became public in August following a report in the Washington Post.

In a hearing Tuesday, attorneys for Musk sought to amend his appeal and be granted additional time for document discovery to investigate Zatko’s assertions.

Twitter attorneys argued Musk’s request was another delay tactic designed to derail the takeover.

McCormick said Musk had cleared the relatively low legal bar to amend his complaint against Twitter, adding that she was “reticent” to weigh on the merits of Musk’s arguments “before they have been fully litigated.”

But she said Musk’s side would be permitted “only incremental discovery” to follow up on the new allegations in light of the need for a speedy resolution of the case.

“The longer the delay until trial, the greater the risk of irreparable harm to Twitter,” McCormick said, noting the company has suffered employee attrition while it “has been forced for months to manage under the constraints of a repudiated merger agreement.”

The five-day trial is due to go ahead beginning October 17 in the Delaware court. 

Oil prices tumbled back to pre-war levels Wednesday as recession fears returned to the forefront.

Stocks were also hit by the negative outlook for the global economy, while currency markets were gripped by the prospect for interest rate hikes.

Oil prices briefly climbed on Wednesday as Russia’s President Vladimir Putin said his country would stop delivering oil and gas supplies to countries that introduce price caps.

G7 industrialised powers have vowed to move urgently towards implementing a price cap on Russian oil imports to cut off a major source of funding for Moscow’s military action in Ukraine.

But oil prices then turned sharply lower, with Brent crude, the main international contract, passing under $90 per barrel for the first time since February.

OPEC and its allies earlier this week cut production targets for the first time in more than a year in a bid to lift prices.

“While the 100,000 barrel cut wasn’t fundamentally significant, it was clearly intended as a warning not to drive the price lower or face further cuts,” said OANDA trading platform analyst Craig Erlam.

“Unfortunately, it seems traders are in no mood to be told what to do and growth fears are instead dictating the price direction.”

Recession concerns also dampened sentiment towards equities, with European indices lower, although Wall Street managed small gains at the open.

“Investors appear reluctant to buy anything in this macro environment, where inflation is soaring, global growth is weakening, and central banks are tightening,” said City Index and FOREX.com analyst Fawad Razaqzada. 

“Something must fundamentally change before we see the onset of a serious recovery,” he added.

Recession fears are being driven in large part by central banks moving aggressively to rein in surging inflation.

The dollar continues to gain strength from expectations of a third-straight blockbuster hike to US interest rates later this month.

US Federal Reserve officials have lined up in recent weeks to say their main focus is bringing inflation down from four-decade highs, even if that means tipping the economy into recession.

The different pace in lifting rates taken by central banks is fuelling swings in currency values.

The European Central Bank is Thursday forecast to deliver another bumper rate increase, mirroring aggressive moves by the Fed and Bank of England.

Nevertheless, it has moved slower and the euro remains lodged below parity with the dollar.

Meanwhile, the dollar rose to 144.99 yen — the Japanese currency’s weakest showing since 1998.

“The reason that we are seeing this much strength in the dollar against the yen is purely because of the difference in two central banks’ policies,” noted Naeem Aslam, chief market analyst at AvaTrade. 

“The Fed is as hawkish as it can be, and the BoJ still doesn’t seem to be bothered much about inflation or changing its stance on monetary policy.”

Japan’s finance minister, Shunichi Suzuki, on Wednesday expressed concern about the yen’s drop.

“For now, we’re monitoring with a sense of urgency how it’s developing, but if this continues, it makes sense that we will take necessary measures,” he said, without detailing what the measures might be.

The greenback also struck 37-year peak against sterling, plagued by recession fears on the eve of new Prime Minister Liz Truss’s economic stimulus plan.

– Key figures at around 1330 GMT –

Brent North Sea crude: DOWN 3.1 percent at $89.92 per barrel

West Texas Intermediate: DOWN 3.5 percent at $83.86 per barrel

Dollar/yen: UP at 144.78 yen from 142.80 yen on Tuesday

Euro/yen: UP at 143.44 yen from 141.43 yen

Euro/dollar: UP at $0.9907 from $0.9905 

Pound/dollar: DOWN at $1.1478 from $1.1519

Euro/pound: UP at 86.65 pence from 85.97 pence

London – FTSE 100: DOWN 1.1 percent at 7,222.53 points

Frankfurt – DAX: DOWN 0.4 percent at 12,816.13

Paris – CAC 40: DOWN 0.6 percent at 6,066.06

EURO STOXX 50: DOWN 0.7 percent at 3,477.31

New York – Dow: DOWN 0.1 percent at 31,109.95

Tokyo – Nikkei 225: DOWN 0.7 percent at 27,430.30 (close)

Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: DOWN 0.8 percent at 19,044.30 (close)

Shanghai – Composite: UP 0.1 percent at 3,246.29 (close)

burs-rl/lth