Bloomberg

SoftBank Seeks $8 Billion Margin Loan as Part of Arm IPO

(Bloomberg) — SoftBank Group Corp. is asking banks jostling for roles on a potential listing of Arm Ltd. to underwrite a margin loan of about $8 billion, according to people familiar with the matter. 

The margin loan financing — linked to Arm’s IPO stock — is one option under consideration as SoftBank lines up an advisory roster for what could be the year’s biggest initial public offering, the people said, asking not to be named as the details aren’t public.

Banks are planning to pitch IPO valuations for Arm of upward of $50 billion, the people said. Arm is likely worth $25 billion to $35 billion based on the industry’s valuation metrics and analysts’ early projections, Bloomberg reported this month. Nvidia’s collapsed attempt to buy Arm for a combination of cash and stock was worth about $40 billion when announced in 2020 and rose to more than $60 billion as the bidder’s shares climbed.

Spokespeople for SoftBank and Arm declined to comment.

SoftBank founder Masayoshi Son is choosing to list Arm in the U.S. despite London’s attempts to woo technology majors to the domestic exchange because of the potential to get a better valuation for the firm, people familiar with the matter said. Son has been pitching the potential of an Arm IPO since news broke that Nvidia was walking away. “This is a return to our original plan,” he told investors and analysts last week. “We will aim for the biggest IPO ever in semiconductor history.”

Riskier Finance

SoftBank’s request for a margin loan will test banks’ appetite for riskier forms of financing after some high-profile blow ups in recent years. The Federal Reserve, in a review of the massive losses banks incurred in the collapse of Archegos Capital Management, told lenders in December they must maintain sufficient margin when dealing with investment funds and are responsible for understanding their positions.  

This isn’t the first time Son has linked IPO mandates to margin loans. In 2018 it lined up commitments for a loan of $9 billion for its Vision Fund, provided by advisory firms including arrangers of its Japanese wireless business’s initial public offering, who had been asked to lend to other parts of the parent company’s empire, Bloomberg reported. Last year, the fund arranged margin loans backed by its stakes in South Korean e-commerce giant Coupang Inc. and online food-delivery service DoorDash Inc.

Globally, IPO markets have had one of the worst starts to the year on record as a rout in technology stocks, concerns around rising interest rates and geopolotical tensions dent investor enthusiasm for new issues. That is making mandates like Arm particularly sought after by investment banks in the competitive IPO advisory business.

Against that backdrop, it’s possible the Arm valuations that banks are planning to pitch could go even higher than $50 billion, one of the people said. When SoftBank-backed WeWork made its ill-fated attempt to go public in 2019, bankers pitched valuations far in excess of the company’s $47 billion private market valuation.

(Adds context about valuation pitches in last paragraph.)

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ViacomCBS Falls 22% as Streaming Expansion Costs Wipe Out Profit

(Bloomberg) — ViacomCBS, which is changing its name to Paramount Global, fell the most in almost 11 months on Wednesday after its earnings missed Wall Street estimates by a wide margin and sparked investor concerns about the cost of its foray into streaming. 

With its cable revenue eroding, ViacomCBS is making a go-for-broke attempt to align the company behind its Paramount+ streaming service. That could make it a less likely takeover candidate in future media consolidation.

Similarly, AMC Networks Inc. fell as much as 22% — its biggest-ever intraday drop — after forecasting a 10% decline in adjusted operating income as it invests in content, including shows like “Better Call Saul” and “Killing Eve” for its streaming service. ViacomCBS, which reported earnings on Tuesday after the close of markets, also fell as much as 22% on Wednesday. 

ViacomCBS said Paramount+ added more than 7 million subscribers in the fourth quarter for a total of 32.8 million worldwide. Including BET+ and Showtime, ViacomCBS has 56 million subscribers to its full roster of streaming services.

 

Benchmark cut its 2023 free cash flow estimate for ViacomCBS to $229 million, from $1 billion, after the company’s ‘shifting of the goalposts,” according to analyst Daniel Kurnos. “At least it feels like all the cards are on the table now,” he wrote in a note to clients. 

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Hacked German Fuel Firm Is Restarting Deliveries From Hamburg

(Bloomberg) — A German fuel-distribution firm whose IT systems were hacked in late January began making deliveries again from at least one of its depots, indicating that weeks-long disruption may be about to ease.

Mabanaft, which runs a storage company in Germany called Oiltanking Deutschland, made a fuel delivery to a customer from its Hamburg site, according to a person familiar with the matter. A separate person said that all fuel loadings from that location are now up and running again. 

Mabanaft declined to comment other than to say its investigations into the cyberattack are ongoing.

Read more: ‘Black Cat’ Ransomware Tied to German Fuel Depot Hack

Mabanaft has been working to restore its operations after the breach left swaths of fuel depots unable to load trucks. It has been testing a return to operations since the end of last week.

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MTN Share Sale Shows Nigeria Bourse Can Lure Young Crypto Buyers

(Bloomberg) —  

Nigeria’s main stock exchange plans to digitize the equity sales process so companies can attract younger buyers interested in cryptocurrencies and foreign assets rather than local public companies. 

A successful offering of 575 million shares by MTN Group Ltd.’s Nigerian unit in December was “groundbreaking,” according to Temi Popoola, chief executive officer of the Lagos-based Nigeria Exchange Ltd. The South African wireless carrier offered a stock issue to investors “end to end” electronically for the first time, he said. 

The sale was 1.2 times oversubscribed, with 85% of the investors aged under 40 years. This compares with 30% of overall equity investors, Popoola said in emailed response to questions. 

“In an age where investors’ needs are becoming increasingly sophisticated and the burgeoning youth demography are depending more on technology to transact business, our goal is to spur the next wave of growth,” he said.

While young Nigerians have shied away from trading in local equities, they are actively buying and selling crypto, accounting for the largest volumes outside the U.S., according to Paxful, a Bitcoin marketplace. Africa’s most populous country also has the largest proportion of retail users conducting transactions under $10,000, according to Chainalysis.

Still, the bourse in Africa’s largest economy may struggle to match the returns offered by crypto currencies. The Nigerian Exchange 50 Index, a gauge for the nation’s biggest equities, gained 28% in the three years to 2021. Bitcoin jumped sixfold in the same period.

Digital Apps  

MTN experimented with a digital application named PrimaryOffer administered by the Nigerian Exchange. The app enabled paperless subscription, allowing investors to access the offer on electronic devices and complete the process in less than five minutes. There was also a paper-based subscription. 

“At NGX we understand the disruption new age technology-based investments have created in the financial industry,” Popoola said. “Digital transformation is the next phase of growth for the NGX.” 

The bourse plans to automate other procedures such as access to company information, engagement of market operators and resolution of complaints, according to Popoola.  

Attracting the youth to the local bourse will “create and sustain a boost” in the market as they become controllers of the economy in the future, Poopola said. “They will be primary beneficiaries of the sustainable and long-term gains that come from investing.”

 

 

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Crypto Crime Hits Highs as Thieves Track Buzz, Report Shows

(Bloomberg) — Crypto criminals made off like bandits as digital assets spiked in popularity, according to a 2022 cryptocurrency crime report. 

Illicit transactions jumped nearly 80% to $14 billion, an all-time high, in 2021, according to blockchain analytics firm Chainalysis. Overall transaction volume jumped 567%, which shows legitimate transactions outpaced crime. Yet, illegal activity is tracking popular growth categories in crypto, including decentralized finance, or DeFi projects, the data show. 

Scams and rug pulls proliferated in the year. Scamming revenue rose 82% to $7.8 billion worth of stolen cryptocurrency, with more than a third of that total procured from so-called rug pulls, according to Chainalysis. A rug pull is a type of scam in which developers of what seemed like legitimate projects merely set up wallets to take investors’ money and run.

DeFi saw the greatest year-over-year growth — 1,964% — for laundering illicit funds, the report showed; mining activity was second at less than 500%. Chainalysis attributes the growth of crime in DeFi to “hype”; outsize returns from tokens like Shiba Inu that drove speculative trading; and the ease with which new DeFi tokens can be created. 

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Tiger-Backed Flutterwave Triples in Value to Over $3 Billion

(Bloomberg) — Flutterwave Inc., an Africa and emerging markets-focused payments firm, more than tripled its valuation in less than a year to over $3 billion following its latest fund-raising. 

B Capital Group led the $250 million round, with participation from Alta Park Capital LP, Whale Rock Capital and Lux Capital, Flutterwave said in an emailed statement on Wednesday. The investment has enabled the company to become the “highest valued” African startup, it said.

The company will use the funds to expand through mergers and acquisitions in Africa and the Middle East in the coming months, said Co-founder and Chief Executive Officer Olugbenga Agboola. “We are thinking Egypt or Morocco” and could consider an initial public offering in the medium to short-term, Agboola said in an interview, without giving further details. 

Flutterwave’s round comes amid increasing interest in Africa as investors target a young and tech-savvy population that’s quickly adopting online financial transactions. Last year, Africa-focused startups raised a record $5 billion.

The funding announcement confirmed a Bloomberg News report in October on the company’s funding plans. Flutterwave reached a $1 billion valuation in last March after raising $170 million in a round led by Avenir Growth Capital and Tiger Global Management.

Founded in Nigeria in 2016, Flutterwave facilitates cross-border transactions in multiple currencies for companies, including Uber Technologies Inc., Booking.com and Alibaba’s Alipay. It has processed transactions valued at more than $16 billion in dozens of African countries, and has expanded beyond payments products to an online marketplace as well as lending to small businesses.

Flutterwave’s Agboola, a Nigerian software engineer, has been involved in finance and technology for more than a decade. He contributed to the development of solutions at companies including PayPal.

The San Francisco-based company, with operations from the Nigerian commercial hub of Lagos to Kenya’s capital Nairobi, will continue to grow in East Africa. It will also expand presence in Francophone African nations such as Senegal and Cameroon, said Agboola. 

“We’re also thinking beyond Africa,” Agboola said, referring to plans for Canada, the U.S., the U.K. and the Middle East.

 

(Updates with comments from chief executive throughout)

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Shopify Plummets Most Since 2020 on Slowing Growth Outlook

(Bloomberg) — Shopify Inc. plunged the most in almost two years after giving a weaker outlook for growth this year, as online spending resets after the Covid-19 induced boom and consumers face higher inflation. 

“The Covid-triggered acceleration of ecommerce that spilled into the first half of 2021 in the form of lockdowns and government stimulus will be absent from 2022,” the Canadian ecommerce giant said in a statement on Wednesday. “There is caution around inflation and consumer spend near term, for the full year.”

As a result, Shopify said full year revenue growth will be lower than the 57% increase in 2021. The U.S.-traded shares tumbled as much as 16% as the market opened in New York. It was the biggest intraday decline since March 2020. 

Shopify, which provides software and other services that underpin the websites of many small businesses, grew dramatically during the early stages of the pandemic, with sales jumping 86% in 2020. Investors, however, fear the company can’t sustain its growth as shoppers return to more normal buying patterns. Those concerns intensified last month when Shopify said it had terminated contracts with several warehouse and fulfillment partners, sending shares to a 16-month low. 

But for the fourth quarter, Shopify beat analysts estimates for revenue and profit.

Revenue increased 41% to $1.38 billion. Analysts, on average, projected $1.34 billion, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Profit, excluding some items, was $1.36 a share, compared with analysts’ average estimate of $1.26. Gross merchandise volume, the value of merchants sales flowing through Shopify’s platform, increased 32% in the fourth quarter from a year earlier to $54.1 billion. Analysts, on average, estimated $52.6 billion. 

The company’s successful fourth quarter follows a rocky previous period, when the company’s results failed to meet analysts’ estimates for the first time since Shopify went public in 2015. At the time, Shopify cited supply chain issues and rising inflation for the disappointing results. 

In its outlook for this year, Shopify also said new contract terms with apps and theme developers that would cause a “headwind” to revenue from its store subscription plans in the first half.

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Verizon Returns to Green Bond Market With $1 Billion Debt Sale

(Bloomberg) — Verizon Communications Inc. is back to the green bond market with a $1 billion offering, its fourth transaction since the largest U.S. wireless service provider first started raising funds earmarked for environmental projects in 2019.

The telecom giant is selling the bonds in one tranche maturing in 30 years, according to a person with knowledge of the matter. It may yield between 1.65 percentage points and 1.7 percentage points above Treasuries, said the person, who asked not to be identified as the details are private.

This will be the fourth $1 billion green bond transaction from the phone company since it first tapped the market in 2019, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Verizon plans to allocate an amount equal to the net proceeds to fund renewable energy facilities or purchase of renewable energy, the person said. 

Global sales of green bonds — the largest category of sustainable debt by dollar volume — reached a record $514 billion last year, from about $234 billion in 2020, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Climate Bonds Initiative, a London-based nonprofit, estimates issuance could reach fresh highs of as much as $1 trillion by the end of this year and up to $5 trillion by 2025.

Read more: Green Bonds Still Have Long Way to Go to Dent Climate Crisis

Bank of America Corp., Loop Capital Markets LLC, Ramirez & Co. and Siebert Williams Shank & Co. are managing the bond sale, the person said.

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Roblox Tumbles Most Ever as Results Take a Hit After Pandemic

(Bloomberg) — Roblox Corp. shares tumbled the most ever on Wednesday morning after the video game platform reported bookings that missed analysts’ estimates in the fourth quarter, reflecting a retreat from the pandemic-inspired boost over the last two years.

“As parts of the world began to return to a more normal way of life, our absolute numbers have continued to grow,” Chief Executive Officer David Baszucki said, but “growth rates have declined as we are comparing, in some cases, to quarters last year in which certain key metrics doubled or even nearly tripled.” 

The stock plunged as much as 24% to $55.55 as the market opened in New York. 

Bookings, which include revenue and deferred revenue and other adjustments, rose 20% from a year earlier to $770.1 million, the company said in a statement on Tuesday. Analysts were estimating $786.2 million, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. 

Average daily active users increased 33% to 49.5 million, slightly less than the 50.5 million analysts were expecting. Much of that growth comes from countries in Asia, Latin America and Europe. And, in a shift, more than half of Roblox’s user base is now over age 13.

The results mark Roblox’s first full-year report since it went public in March 2021. Baszucki acknowledged that over the course of two years of the pandemic, “our numbers have been affected in several ways,” but he urged investors to “take the long view.” 

The gaming industry had a banner year in 2020 at the height of the pandemic. Roblox, a social platform that enables players to create their own online games and worlds, captured the undivided attention of as much as two-thirds of U.S. kids ages 9 to12. That success also made the company vulnerable when tweens were called back to classrooms, sports and other activities.

As the pandemic fades, Roblox is looking to the future in the metaverse, envisioned as an immersive version of the internet where people will be able to interact, play games or work using a digital avatar. While many companies are touting the benefits and growth potential of the metaverse, Roblox has a head start because its users are already able to make their own video games and virtual worlds using its technology. In 2021, users spent more than 1 million hours inside 1,900 of its “experiences,” the company said. 

At the same time, Meta Platforms Inc. recently experienced a harsh reality check after announcing a full-force push into the metaverse. Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Amine Bensaid said the two companies “have completely different business goals. I don’t think any company is better-positioned than Roblox on the vision many have on the metaverse.” 

Roblox Chief Business Officer Craig Donato said that the fallout of Meta’s metaverse push has given Roblox “no second thoughts. We’re very, very consistent on where we want to go. I think more and more time will be spent in these digital spaces.” Donato said the company sees the metaverse as a “long-term trend we need to work on and we’ve been working on it for 15 years.” He added that it’s a matter of “if, not when” the company integrates blockchain technology. 

The ability to operate across platforms is key to traditional definitions for the metaverse, and right now, Roblox is accessible only on PC, mobile devices and Microsoft Corp.’s Xbox One console. In an interview, Donato said the company is “actively looking at all platforms but we wouldn’t announce anything we’re working on until we’re demoing it live.”

Roblox’s shares surged 130% last year, but were down 29% this year through Tuesday’s close. Matthew Ball, managing partner of venture capital firm Epyllion Co., said Roblox’s ebb and flow is in line with other metaverse-themed equities, like game-tech company Unity Software Inc. Ball expects Roblox to continue to grow.

“It has the most powerful flywheel in gaming today, and there are billions yet to join socially focused virtual worlds,” he said. “There are likely to be hitches along the way, and Roblox may end up replaced by a newer competitor, but right now Roblox looks like the virtual world platform of the West.”

One of those hitches bas been content moderation. Over 2021, several investigations by news outlets described an epidemic of inappropriate content on the platform, including sex clubs and fascist or white supremacist role-play. In November, when Roblox introduced a new spatial voice feature, The Washington Post reported that users made lewd noises and said slurs. To participate, users were asked to prove they were over 13 with a photo and government ID.

Roblox employs human moderators, about 80% of whom are outsourced, and sophisticated artificial intelligence and machine learning technology to review content. Baszucki implied that some headlines around inappropriate content in Roblox were exaggerated, telling Bloomberg that “we’re constantly improving AI and filtering and we’re optimistic about the direction we’re going in.” He added that Roblox has a “zero tolerance policy” on content that violates the platform’s guidelines.

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Big Tech Has a New Ally: The U.S. Chamber of Commerce

(Bloomberg) — The U.S. Chamber of Commerce, the nation’s largest business lobby, is taking up the cause of giant technology companies facing fresh antitrust threats from the Biden administration and Congress.

The organization, whose members include industry stalwarts such as AT&T Inc. and Pfizer Inc., isn’t known as a voice for Silicon Valley. But in recent months it’s stepped into the fight against tougher antitrust enforcement, repeatedly attacking the U.S. Federal Trade Commission and its chair, Lina Khan, a fierce critic of the internet giants. 

“Any time we see a big expansion in regulatory power over industry, we’re going to get involved,” said Suzanne Clark, the chamber’s chief executive officer, in an interview with Bloomberg News Tuesday. “We didn’t choose the FTC and antitrust. That battle came to us.” 

The business group, which hasn’t previously made competition policy a priority, says it’s taking on the issue today because the traditional antitrust framework that companies have relied on for decades is being turned upside down in Washington. The change affects large and small businesses and industries beyond tech, the chamber says. 

The fixation on antitrust closely aligns the chamber with tech industry heavyweights and their advocates as the companies come under intense criticism from legislators and fight investigations and lawsuits by federal watchdogs. The chamber opposes measures proposed in Congress that target the tech platforms and is preparing a lawsuit to get access to documents related to Khan’s policy changes and any communications between the FTC and the White House. 

The FTC declined to comment on the chamber’s campaign against it.

The chamber’s stance in part reflects the stronger influence of its tech members, according to people familiar with the matter. Amazon.com Inc., for example, started donating to the chamber only a year ago, one of the people said. Meta Platforms Inc.’s Chief Privacy Officer Erin Egan recently joined the chamber’s board of directors. Egan and Clark are friends from Washington lobbying circles, according to another person.

The chamber, which spent $65 million on lobbying last year, doesn’t disclose how much its members give to the organization or even their identities, though its board of directors is listed on its website. Amazon, Alphabet Inc. and Microsoft Corp., which is also on the chamber’s board, declined to comment or didn’t respond to requests for comment. Microsoft has been at odds with its big tech peers over antitrust reforms. Last week, the company announced app store principles that it says align with legislation proposed in Congress.

Tech companies have put more muscle behind the chamber after one of their main trade groups, the Internet Association, disbanded last year following divisions among its members over proposed antitrust regulations aimed at the industry’s giants. The organization had declined to take a stand in the policy debate even as Google and Amazon expressed concern during internal conversations among members that the association wasn’t tackling what they saw as the rising threat of antitrust reform, according to another person familiar with the matter.

“The chamber is now just another tool of Google, Facebook and Amazon, and they should be ashamed for allowing themselves to be captured by the most powerful corporations,” said Barry Lynn, the director of Open Markets Institute in Washington and an ally of the FTC’s Khan.

Clark said the tech companies are bringing “an important voice” to the chamber’s work, but insisted that it’s very hard for one industry or company to determine the organization’s priorities. Clark added that other types of companies are concerned about how aggressive antitrust enforcement is making it harder to sell their businesses.

“We’re really hearing from small and medium-sized enterprises whose exits just got all screwed up,” Clark said in the interview. “It really puts their future at jeopardy.”

‘Aggressive Stance’

Clark in January devoted much of the chamber’s annual State of American Business speech to echoing tech’s message that antitrust reforms threaten innovation in the economy. She criticized President Joe Biden’s initiatives to boost competition and proposals by Democrats and Republicans to impose new rules on tech companies. Clark also took aim at the FTC for what she called its “aggressive stance” against mergers.

In November, she accused the agency of “waging a war against American businesses.” The chamber has filed more than three dozen Freedom of Information Act requests for documents about how the FTC has “manipulated its rules and procedures while potentially ceding its independent agency status to political interference.” The group is considering a lawsuit to obtain those records.  

On Wednesday, the chamber released a report arguing that antitrust regulation would prevent the U.S. tech sector from competing with China and Europe, thus undermining national security. If large domestic companies are kneecapped, foreign companies will be quick to seize market share in strategically sensitive sectors such as AI and quantum computing, the chamber wrote.

Democratic Senator Amy Klobuchar refuted this idea during a panel hosted by the Open Markets Institute on Tuesday. “Tech lobbyists are running around the Capitol telling anyone who will listen that Big Tech’s unchecked power is necessary to keep America competitive,” she said. Klobuchar, chair of the Senate antitrust committee, sponsored a bill aimed at reining in the power of the country’s biggest tech companies.

The newfound coziness between the chamber and the tech giants follows a dramatic reshaping of debate around U.S. antitrust laws. Before Biden named her FTC chair, Khan, a former Columbia Law School professor, was at the forefront of a school of thought that says the traditional playbook for policing mergers and anticompetitive conduct has failed, leading to rising power of concentrated industries across the economy.

It’s a view Biden echoed last summer when he signed an executive order calling for agencies across the federal government to take steps to boost competition in industries they oversee. The White House argues that corporate consolidation and declining competition has led to higher prices for consumers and lower wages for workers while holding back economic growth.

Khan’s appointment spooked many business leaders and their lobbyists, who feared her arrival portended drastic policy changes that would hurt their companies. Despite these worries, there have been just two major merger lawsuits during her tenure. Still, the chamber aims to be prepared if Khan strikes.

“If you’re going to come in and overturn four decades-plus of approach to M&A and competition law, it’s going to go really high on our agenda,” Neil Bradley, the chamber’s chief policy officer, told Bloomberg.

(adds information about report U.S. Chamber released on Wednesday)

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