US Business

Yogurt maker Lactalis betting on US appetite

French dairy giant Lactalis is betting big on North America, adapting to local preferences to attract consumers while it manages country-specific issues, such as the extreme volatility of US milk prices.

On the new production line at Stonyfield Farm in Londonderry, New Hampshire, a Lactalis subsidiary since 2017, 800,000 yogurts are pumped out every week.

The organic brand is seeing strong demand for its products aimed at babies and children, so Stonyfield plans to build a second production line for them this year.

To nibble at US market share in the yogurt sector, where Lactalis is behind Danone, Chobani and Yoplait, the company has also adopted targeted strategies.

Unlike Europeans, who often eat yogurt at the end of a meal, Americans “have yogurt for breakfast or as a snack,” said Esteve Torrens, Stonyfield’s CEO.

“So the yogurts must be more nutritious, and in larger portions,” he adds, noting that individual cups in the US market generally weigh 170 grams, compared to just 125 grams in France.

The company also is monitoring changes in taste, like the thick, high-protein and low-sugar Icelandic yogurts from the Siggi’s brand, acquired by Lactalis in 2018.

“When I came to the United States as a student, a lot of foods were full of sugar,” founder Siggi Hilmarsson recalls, noting that the best-selling yogurt at the time contained proportionally more sugar than a soda.

He introduced Icelandic skyr to the American market in 2006, but sales really took off in 2012 and 2013 when “sugar replaced fat as public enemy number one in healthy eating,” he said.

– Driver shortage –

He decided to sell his business four years ago to Lactalis in order to promote his yogurt in other countries. The brand is now available in France, Australia, Canada and South Korea.

With Siggi’s and Stonyfield, as well the natural, specialty and organic cheeses acquired from Kraft in 2021, and the labne and other dairy products from Karoun integrated into its portfolio in 2017, the United States will become Lactalis’ largest market this year after France. 

It is just ahead of Canada where the group, with an annual turnover of 22 billion euros, has grown in recent years, especially after buying Ultima Foods.

The firm relies on its experience in the sector and its global reach to relaunch products whose financial performance no longer satisfied their former owners, and to expand some promising brands.

Most of the new machines installed at the Stonyfield production site come from Europe “because we have historical relations with our suppliers and they know what we need,” production manager Mathieu Le Duey told reporters during a tour of the plant.

A private company founded in Laval, France in 1933 and still controlled by the Besnier family, Lactalis first entered the North American market when it opened an import-export office in the early 1980s to introduce French products.

The group has expanded through various acquisitions and now has 30 sites and 7,400 employees in Canada and the United States.

More recently it has had to grapple with issues particular to the American market, including labor shortages and volatile dairy prices, which are based on trading on the Chicago exchange.

“For two years, it’s been hellish. We can’t find carriers because they have trouble finding drivers,” said Gilles Meziere, the group’s North America chief executive.

“We have very high turnover rates in our factories,” sometimes forcing the temporary suspension of production lines, he adds. 

At the Stonyfield factory, the group “had to bring in executives for a day because we couldn’t put the products in the boxes.”

Facebook accused of blocking Australian health sites

A whistleblower group is accusing Facebook of deliberately blocking websites for Australian hospitals and emergency services as part of a negotiating tactic last year.

The social network owned by Silicon Valley tech giant Meta was lobbying to weaken a proposed law requiring it to pay news providers in Australia when it blocked all such content from its platform in February 2021.

But the algorithm also blocked other websites in what the company maintained was an accident, telling AFP on Friday that “any suggestion to the contrary is categorically and obviously false.”

“We intended to exempt Australian government pages from restrictions in an effort to minimize the impact of this misguided and harmful legislation,” a Meta spokesperson said.

“When we were unable to do so as intended due to a technical error, we apologized and worked to correct it.”

However, US-based organization Whistleblower Aid alleged it was actually a Meta ploy in filings with the US Department of Justice and the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission, first reported in the Wall Street Journal on Thursday.

The organization said in a statement that Facebook’s five-day blackout of news content providers had deliberately “overblocked” local governments, health services and other sites that were providing support for vulnerable people.

The intention was to force the government to weaken the proposed law, the group said.

“This wasn’t just an example of a corporate actor behaving recklessly,” said Whistleblower Aid chief Libby Liu. 

“Facebook intentionally put lives at risk to protect its bottom line.”

Shortly after the blackout, Australia passed a law forcing Facebook to negotiate with news content providers, but politicians watered down some of the most onerous proposals.

Solid job growth continues in recovering US economy

From bars to factories to warehouses, American businesses hired staff with vigor in April as the US economy recovers from the damage done by Covid-19 while grappling with inflation that has hit the highest rate in decades.

Employers in the world’s largest economy added 428,000 jobs last month, the Labor Department said Friday, keeping the unemployment rate at 3.6 percent, just above where it was before the spread of Covid-19 caused mass layoffs two years ago.

The data pointed to continued strong job growth and contained hints that some inflationary pressures may be easing — welcome news for an economy where consumer prices have climbed at a rate not seen since the 1980s.

President Joe Biden described the data as a sign that his policies had revived the economy from the grievous damage wrought by the pandemic.

“Our plans and policies have produced the strongest job creation economy in modern times,” Biden said in a statement.

The report was released two days after the Federal Reserve hiked its key lending rate by a half-percentage point to crush the wave of price increases, and signaled it plans further hikes in the months to come.

Workers’ wages are a component of accelerating inflation, and the jobs report showed average hourly earnings rising only 0.3 percent compared to March, a slower pace that in recent months and potential signal the price pressures are abating.

However, economist Joe Naroff warned wages were still trending upwards and the generally rosy picture of the labor market the data painted may convince the Fed aggressive rate hikes are needed to lower inflation.

“Sometimes good news is not necessarily good news and this report, thought it shows that economy is still moving forward solidly, may be a problem for investors,” he said.

– Hiring across industries –

After spiking to 14.7 percent in April 2020 following business closures across the country as the pandemic began, unemployment has declined steadily and is now just a hair above its 3.5 percent rate before Covid-19 arrived.

The number of unemployed people was at 5.9 million last month, the Labor Department said, also not far from where it was in February 2020, while a range of businesses took on new hires.

These included the leisure and hospitality sector, which encompasses the bars and restaurants that bore the brunt of the pandemic restrictions.

The sector added 78,000 jobs last month, while manufacturers hired 55,000, transportation and warehousing took on 52,000, and employment at professional and business services firms rose 41,000.

But the labor force participation rate indicating the share of the population employed or searching for work declined slightly from March to 62.2 percent, bringing it back to its level at the start of the year.

Supply of workers has been an ongoing problem for employers: Other data released recently shows there are nearly two job openings for every unemployed person in the labor force.

“Looking ahead, we expect more workers to come off the sidelines in search of work and labor demand to cool as businesses feel the pinch from high inflation and tighter financial conditions,” Kathy Bostjancic of Oxford Economics said.

– Potent inflation –

The data indicated some improvement in racial disparities in the labor market, with the Hispanic unemployment rate falling slightly to 4.1 percent. 

Joblessness among African-American workers declined to 5.9 percent as more women were hired, though unemployment rose for Black men.

Asian unemployment ticked up to 3.1 percent, while it was flat for white workers at 3.2 percent.

Despite the slowing in monthly wage growth, Sophia Koropeckyj of Moody’s Analytics noted the 5.5 percent annual salary increase in April was not keeping pace with inflation, which has seen consumer prices climb at an 8.5 percent annual rate.

“The one month of softer wage growth is really not sufficient to allay concern about wage pressures. Hence, the Fed’s success in slowing the economy and tempering wage and price pressures is of paramount importance,” she wrote in an analysis.

'The Rock' diamond dazzles in Geneva

The biggest white diamond ever to be sold at auction, dubbed “The Rock”, will go under the hammer in Geneva on Wednesday and could fetch up to $30 million — or more.

The 228.31-carat stone is up for grabs alongside a historic intense yellow diamond associated for more than a century with the Red Cross, which will receive some of the profits from its sale.

The Rock is “a truly exceptional pear-shaped diamond”, said Max Fawcett, head of the jewels department at Christie’s auction house in Geneva.

It is “the largest white diamond ever to be offered at auction”, he told AFP at a preview on Friday.

The Rock is currently in the hands of an unnamed owner from North America.

It could even break records when it goes under the hammer.

“It’s perfectly symmetrical and is estimated at $20 to $30 million — and I expect there be fireworks on Wednesday,” Fawcett said.

The equivalent in euros is 19 to 28 million. 

The expert said that there were only a handful of diamonds of similar size and quality to The Rock. The Christie’s record for a similar white diamond is $33.7 million, fetched in Geneva in 2017 for a 163.41-carat gem.

Larger than a golf ball, The Rock was extracted from a mine in South Africa in the early 2000s. It has been shown in Dubai, Taipei and New York ahead of the sale in Geneva.

– Red Cross gem –

Bidders will also be vying for The Red Cross Diamond, a cushion-shaped, 205.07-carat canary yellow jewel, which has a price estimate of seven to 10 million Swiss francs ($7.09 to $10.13 million).

“I expect that it will achieve much more on the day of sale,” said Fawcett.

A large chunk of the proceeds will be donated to the International Committee of the Red Cross, which is headquartered in Geneva.

The original rough stone was found in 1901 in a De Beers company mine in South Africa and is said to have weighed around 375 carats.

As well as ranking among the largest diamonds in the world, a striking feature is its pavilion, which naturally bears the shape of a Maltese cross.

The stone was first put up for sale on April 10, 1918 at Christie’s in London. It was offered by the Diamond Syndicate in aid of the British Red Cross Society and the Order of St John.

The Red Cross Diamond fetched £10,000 — approximately £600,000 ($740,000) in today’s money. It was bought by the London jewellers S.J. Phillips.

It was sold again by Christie’s in Geneva in 1973, fetching 1.8 million Swiss francs, and is now being offered by the auction house for a third time.

“For nearly half a century, our family has had the privilege of safeguarding The Red Cross Diamond,” the gem’s anonymous private owner said in a statement.

– Russia restrictions –

Several other diamonds will be auctioned on Wednesday, plus a tiara that belonged to princess Irma of Furstenberg (1867-1948), a member of one of the most pre-eminent aristocratic families in the Habsburg Empire.

It is estimated to go for 400,000 to 600,000 Swiss francs.

“The diamond market at the moment is very, very strong,” said Fawcett.

He said rising demand, supply constraints due to “geopolitical issues” and inflationary pressure on commodities, including precious stones, was pushing the market to highs not seen since its 2013-2014 peak.

The Russian invasion in Ukraine has had a major impact.

More than 40 percent of the world’s diamonds are mined in Russia, including the famous Alrosa mine, but international markets no longer have access to Russian gems, said Fawcett.

The supply constraint has created major price hikes and with the sanctions imposed on Moscow following the February 24 invasion, “prices will only continue to increase”, he said.

European stocks fall, pound takes fresh tumble

European and Asian stocks slumped Friday over fears about the impact of interest rate hikes that seek to tackle sky-high inflation.

Wall Street stabilised following sharp losses the previous day, however.

Meanwhile, the pound hit a two-year low at $1.2276, one day after the Bank of England (BoE) warned that UK inflation would top 10 percent and the economy contract later this year.

The euro jumped to 85.92 pence, which was last seen late in 2021. 

Oil prices rebounded after key producers led by Saudi Arabia and Russia refused to lift output more than their planned marginal increase as they weighed tight supply concerns caused by Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine.

– ‘Sinking feeling’ –

“A sinking feeling has taken over financial markets at the end of a volatile week,” said Hargreaves Lansdown analyst Susannah Streeter.

“Investors are digesting the unpalatable implications of inflation and fretting that there will be a need for a bigger dose of the bitter medicine being administered to try and bring it under control.”

Asian equities tumbled after steep Wall Street losses Thursday, as traders contemplated a period of fierce monetary tightening by the US Federal Reserve. 

The Fed on Wednesday lifted borrowing costs 50 basis points — the most since 2000 — and signalled more increases as inflation sits at the highest levels in decades.

Rate tightening increases borrowing costs for consumers and businesses, harming economic recovery from the pandemic.

On Thursday, US stocks plunged. The Nasdaq shares index — which is dominated by tech firms particularly sensitive to higher interest rates —  tumbled five percent, while the broader Dow and S&P 500 each slumped by more than three percent.

– ‘Porcelain doll’ –

That selloff filtered through to Asia, where Hong Kong tanked 3.8 percent Friday as tech firms took a hit.

“Concern about inflation is the culprit and the wild swings we’ve seen this week are a reminder that sentiment is about as fragile as a porcelain doll,” noted AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

“The other fear is that the cure for inflation, higher rates, could be as bad as the disease if they choke off growth and even lead to recession.”

European indices also slumped, with London losing 1.5 percent, Frankfurt 1.6 percent and Paris 1.7 percent.

After starting trade lower, Wall Street’s main stock indices were treading water in late morning trading.

A strong US jobs report showed the world’s top economy remains resilient, and wage growth — a key inflation worry for the Fed, was moderate.

However, the report also indicated people left the labour force last month, which will make it more difficult for the Fed to ease the tight jobs market.

“Given the record number of job openings, that is a signpost that will continue to leave the market concerned about persistent wage-based inflation pressures as employers offer wage-based incentives to attract workers,” said market analyst Patrick J. O’Hare at Briefing.com.

“The overall picture continues to support the Fed’s plan for further tightening of policy,” said Chris Beauchamp, chief market analyst at online trading platform IG.

– Key figures at around 1530 GMT –

New York – Dow: DOWN less than 0.1 percent at 32,967.66 points

EURO STOXX 50: DOWN 1.8 percent at 3,629.17

London – FTSE 100: DOWN 1.5 percent at 7,387.94 (close) 

Frankfurt – DAX: DOWN 1.6 percent at 13,674.29 (close)

Paris – CAC 40: DOWN 1.7 percent at 6,258.36 (close)

Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: DOWN 3.8 percent at 20,001.96 (close)

Shanghai – Composite: DOWN 2.2 percent at 3,001.56 (close)

Tokyo – Nikkei 225: UP 0.7 percent at 27,003.56 (close)

Brent North Sea crude: UP 2.2 percent at $113.38 per barrel

West Texas Intermediate: UP 2.4 percent at $110.88 per barrel

Euro/dollar: UP at $1.0590 from $1.0542 on Thursday

Pound/dollar: UP at $1.2366 from $1.2362

Euro/pound: UP at 85.64 pence from 85.28 pence

Dollar/yen: UP at 130.25 yen from 130.20 yen

burs-rl/lc

'Unique in the world': France's Dijon opens gastronomy complex

Devotees of French food and wine can flock to a new temple following the opening Friday of a gastronomy and wine complex in the capital of France’s central Burgundy region, Dijon. 

“It’s astounding. It’s a marriage of gastronomy, wine, culture and education,” said former French president Francois Hollande during whose tenure the project was launched.

“It’s not unique in France. It’s unique in the world,” he added at the inauguration. 

The city famed for its mustard and rolling vineyards hopes to lure one million visitors a year to the site resembling a village with expositions, a culinary school, shops, restaurants and even a cinema.

“I have no doubt that one million is a completely attainable objective,” Socialist Dijon mayor Francois Rebsamen told AFP, adding that Dijon boasted 3.5 million annual visitors before the Covid-19 pandemic hit. 

The project began after UNESCO added the “French gastronomic meal” to its intangible cultural heritage list in 2010. 

The inclusion on the prestigious list sparked the launch of sites in Paris, Lyon, Tours and Dijon designed to showcase different aspects of the country’s rich food and wine culture. 

Meals are a big deal in France, where 2,000 books on wine or cooking are published every year.

The French will typically sit down together to tuck in unlike Americans “who often eat standing next to the kitchen counter” and alone, says Tours University sociologist Jean-Pierre Corbeau. 

The gastronomic meal is “this ritual good food that brings together the French to celebrate the good life together”, said European Institute for the History and Cultures of Food founder Francois Chevrier in his book on the Dijon complex.

-‘Experimental kitchen’-

The massive Dijon site spreads across 6.5 hectares and combines modern structures with buildings with glazed tiles from the mediaeval times. 

“We wanted to enhance the existing heritage while adding contemporary architectural touches to it,” architect Anthony Bechu said.

The overall project cost 250 million euros ($265,000) with the private sector financing 90 percent.

Visitors can meander through four sections on the history of French meals, baking, Burgundy’s vineyards and the art of cooking.

Once an appetite is worked up, tourists can eat to their heart’s content in two restaurants run by triple-starred chef Eric Pras.

And they can wash the meal down with wine from a cellar that offers “one of the widest selections in the world, with 250 wines by the glass among more than 3,000 references,” according to its director Anthony Valla.

The site also includes a butcher’s shop and a bakery, an “experimental kitchen” offering demonstrations and workshops, and a branch of the world-renowned Ferrandi culinary school. 

Such a huge project has raised some eyebrows, especially after the Lyon site closed down only nine months after its inauguration. 

“We learned our lesson from the failure of Lyon, which offered something a little down-market and very expensive,” Dijon mayor Rebsamen said.

The Dijon site includes “a whole cultural and heritage section that is free”, he added. 

The French-style meal is in danger because “people think cooking is a waste of time”, according to Paris-Sorbonne professor Jean-Robert Pitte. 

Pitte is one of the architects of the campaign that led to the UNESCO inscription, designed to restore “the taste for cooking”.

He believes “eating well is not superfluous, but necessary for health, sociability, the economy and culture”. 

Tech vs telecoms: EU ignites debate on 'net neutrality'

Tech and streaming giants suck up vast amounts of bandwidth, so the EU this week revived a long-standing idea to make them pay the telecom firms who maintain the infrastructure.

But the idea, which sounds simple, has sparked wails of disapproval not just from the tech giants who would be forced to pay, but also from digital rights activists worried that it would create a two-speed internet.

EU competition commissioner Margrethe Vestager kicked off the controversy at a media briefing on Monday when she promised renewed focus on the idea of “fair contribution to telecommunication networks”.

“We see that there are players who generate a lot of traffic that then enables their business but who have not been contributing actually to enable that traffic,” she said.

Vestager did not name any companies but European telecoms lobby group ETNO published a study on the same day naming the firms they see as the major culprits — Facebook, Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, Google and Netflix.

ETNO cited a claim that these six accounted for more than 55 percent of online traffic globally last year.

Vestager’s colleague, interior markets commissioner Thierry Breton, quoted a similar figure in a tweet on Wednesday, writing that restoring fairness was now “one of the main projects in our digital space”.

Media reports suggested legislation would be on the table by the end of the year.

The EU has already passed two massive laws giving regulators more bite when it comes to policing content and anti-competitive practices.

Those efforts were largely welcomed by rights activists.

But the fight over internet infrastructure has sparked fears that the EU could end up jeopardising “net neutrality”, whereby telecoms firms are barred from selling faster internet speeds to particular companies.

The issue has spawned a long-running toxic debate in the United States.

– ‘Double-dip’ accusation –

Telecom companies have made repeated requests for tech firms to pay up, including a joint appeal last year from the four largest European operators — Deutsche Telekom, Vodafone, Orange and Telefonica. 

With the launch of its report on Monday, ETNO pointed out that telecoms firms have invested more than 500 billion euros over the past 10 years to develop national networks.

The association envisaged that a 20-billion-euro annual contribution would create hundreds of thousands of jobs, boost economic output across the bloc and help reduce energy consumption.

The tech industry was quick to respond, calling ETNO’s conclusions “fundamentally flawed”.

“Operators are already being paid by their customers,” said Christian Borggreen of the CCIA lobby group for tech firms, accusing telecoms firms of wanting to “double-dip”.

“This would be equivalent to energy companies trying to collect fees from appliance makers for the energy use of washing machines while consumers are already being charged for the actual amount of energy used to do their laundry,” he said.

– Privileged access’ –

While both sides claim to support the principle of an open internet, activists and experts have raised concerns that the EU could open the way to firms buying faster internet from providers.

The EU’s top court confirmed in a 2020 ruling against internet provider Telenor that such pricing policies were illegal.

But Thomas Lohninger of EDRi, a rights lobby group, wrote that Vestager “wants to destroy Net Neutrality in the EU” and said it would be a “huge mistake”.

Stephane Bortzmeyer, a network engineer and commentator, told AFP the result of enabling telecoms firms to discriminate would certainly be a two-speed internet.

“There will be ordinary people who don’t pay, whose services will be slow, and others who can afford it will have privileged access,” he said.

The issue of net neutrality has been at the heart of a bitter years-long row in the United States where activists and tech firms have fought against telecom firms’ efforts to weaken rules against such pricing policies.

Vestager may just have imported a similar row to Europe.

Stocks selloff deepens, pound takes fresh tumble

A global stocks selloff over fears about the impact of interest rate hikes that seek to tackle sky-high inflation deepened on Friday.

The pound hit a two-year low at $1.2276, one day after the Bank of England (BoE) lifted UK borrowing costs to a 13-year peak and highlighted recession risks.

The euro jumped to 85.79 pence, which was last seen late in 2021. 

Oil prices rebounded after key producers led by Saudi Arabia and Russia refused to lift output more than their planned marginal increase as they weighed tight supply concerns caused by Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine.

– ‘Sinking feeling’ –

“A sinking feeling has taken over financial markets at the end of a volatile week,” said Hargreaves Lansdown analyst Susannah Streeter.

“Investors are digesting the unpalatable implications of inflation and fretting that there will be a need for a bigger dose of the bitter medicine being administered to try and bring it under control.”

Asian equities tumbled after steep Wall Street losses Thursday, as traders contemplated a period of fierce monetary tightening by the US Federal Reserve. 

The Fed on Wednesday lifted borrowing costs 50 basis points — the most since 2000 — and signalled more increases as inflation sits at the highest levels in decades.

Rate tightening increases borrowing costs for consumers and businesses, harming economic recovery from the pandemic.

– ‘Porcelain doll’ –

In the United States, the Nasdaq shares index — which is dominated by tech firms particularly sensitive to higher interest rates — plunged five percent Thursday, while the broader Dow and S&P 500 each slumped by more than three percent.

That selloff filtered through to Asia, where Hong Kong tanked 3.8 percent Friday as tech firms took a hit.

“Concern about inflation is the culprit and the wild swings we’ve seen this week are a reminder that sentiment is about as fragile as a porcelain doll,” noted AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

“The other fear is that the cure for inflation, higher rates, could be as bad as the disease if they choke off growth and even lead to recession.”

Wall Street’s main stock indices fell further at the start of trading on Friday, with a strong US jobs report that indicated people left the labour force last month, which will make it more difficult for the Fed ease the tight jobs market.

“Given the record number of job openings, that is a signpost that will continue to leave the market concerned about persistent wage-based inflation pressures as employers offer wage-based incentives to attract workers,” said market analyst Patrick J. O’Hare at Briefing.com.

Markets have also been battered this year by economic fallout from the raging Ukraine conflict.

Adding to the angst is weakness in China’s economy caused by strict lockdowns and other containment measures as officials struggle to bring a virus flare-up under control by sticking to a zero-Covid policy.

In foreign exchange, the pound remains plagued by the BoE’s forecast that UK inflation would top 10 percent and the economy contract later this year.

– Key figures at around 1330 GMT –

London – FTSE 100: DOWN 1.2 percent at 7,411.56 points

Frankfurt – DAX: DOWN 1.4 percent at 13,714.32

Paris – CAC 40: DOWN 1.6 percent at 6,267.45

EURO STOXX 50: DOWN 1.6 percent at 3,637.06

New York – Dow: DOWN 0.6 percent at 32,786.77

Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: DOWN 3.8 percent at 20,001.96 (close)

Shanghai – Composite: DOWN 2.2 percent at 3,001.56 (close)

Tokyo – Nikkei 225: UP 0.7 percent at 27,003.56 (close)

Brent North Sea crude: UP 1.3 percent at $112.37 per barrel

West Texas Intermediate: UP 1.1 percent at $109.48 per barrel

Euro/dollar: UP at $1.0582 from $1.0542 on Thursday

Pound/dollar: DOWN at $1.2336 from $1.2362

Euro/pound: UP at 85.75 pence from 85.28 pence

Dollar/yen: UP at 130.54 yen from 130.20 yen

burs-rl/jv

Bulgaria industry on tenterhooks after Russia gas cut

The halt of Russian gas supplies to Bulgaria last week has left companies big and small scrambling as they fear cuts to deliveries and rising prices.

“We are already on the brink. We’ll have to raise our prices further,” said Valery Krastev, who owns a bread factory in the northern town of Montana.

“How will people pay for this bread?” he worried.

The government has insisted Bulgaria has “alternative choices” to Russian gas and won’t reduce supplies to consumers, calling Moscow’s move to halt deliveries “blackmail”.

While natural gas supplies had escaped punishing European sanctions on Russia over its invasion of Ukraine, Moscow sought to sow division among European nations by exploiting their dependence on its gas.

Russia demanded that Gazprom customers have to pay in rubles rather than US dollars or euros, which would be a violation of Western sanctions.

The Russian energy giant cut deliveries to Bulgaria and Poland on April 27.

Since then, Bulgaria’s neighbours have stepped in, shoring up deliveries to the country, which has received more than 90 percent of its gas from Russia for decades.

– Diversification –

But the lack of a long-term solution to secure the Balkan EU member’s annual needs of about 3.0 billion cubic metres of gas is keeping large industrial consumers as well as smaller businesses on tenterhooks.

Many people living in Sofia still remember January 2009 when a Russia-Ukraine gas spat cut deliveries to Europe for days on end, leaving their homes without heating in the dead of winter and prompting rationing for industry.

So far supplies to Sofia’s municipal utility Toplofikacia are uninterrupted, according to its head Alexander Alexandrov.

The utility gets close to 40 percent of all gas in the country to supply 1.5 million people, or a fourth of Bulgaria’s population, with heat and hot water. 

“We cannot keep operating for more than 24 hours in the event of a complete cut in gas supply,” Alexandrov told AFP in an interview, adding that switching back to using fuel oil if gas were cut would have a “grave environmental impact”.

“I am optimistic that there are enough options to secure gas by this autumn to guarantee a normal heating season.”

Bulgaria already pays 10 percent more for its gas now, Energy Minister Alexander Nikolov confirmed after securing deliveries for May through an intermediary gas trading company.

“I can’t believe that someone is trying to convince us that… this is good for us. No it is not,” said Konstantin Stamenov, head of the BFIEC federation of industrial energy consumers and a senior executive at a steel manufacturer, on public radio BNR.

To keep prices contained and secure energy supplies, the government has vowed to diversify suppliers.

It plans to wrap up construction of another major pipeline linking its gas network with that of Greece by the end of June.

This will allow the state gas operator Bulgargaz to negotiate an increase of supplies on an existing contract with Azerbaijan to an annual 1.0 bcm and receive more gas from liquefied natural gas (LNG) terminals in Greece. 

Prime Minister Kiril Petkov also said that the government is in talks to buy LNG from the United States and Egypt.

Analysts say prices may even fall if the country manages to secure long-term contracts for LNG deliveries.

“We have here a huge opportunity to achieve stable diversification of gas deliveries,” energy expert Martin Vladimirov from the Sofia-based think tank Centre for the Study of Democracy told AFP.

However, Open Society economist Georgy Angelov warned: “But that won’t happen in a day.”

– Business as usual – 

For now, it’s business as usual at a Bulgartransgaz compressor station near Ihtiman, where Russian natural gas is still flowing through the bright yellow pipes.

But Bulgargaz is no longer allowed to use any of this gas — most of it being destined for Greece and North Macedonia.

For its own supply, Bulgaria is currently relying on swap operations with its neighbours, who supply it with Russian gas or LNG through reverse flow pipelines from Greece and Romania. 

Expert Vladimirov cautioned, however, against a suspected scheme by Russia to abandon its direct contract with Bulgargaz and instead make the country buy gas at higher prices through intermediaries such as Hungarian gas trader MET, known to be close to Gazprom, which already helped secure the deliveries for May.

“This, in the end, might lead to higher dependency on Russia under worse contractual conditions,” he warned.

Ukraine wheat harvest set to drop by third: satellite imagery

Ukraine’s wheat production is likely to be down by at least a third from last year due to the Russian invasion, a data analysis firm that uses satellite imagery said Friday.

Ukraine is a major producer and exporter of wheat, but the invasion has disrupted planting, which is still underway, both due a lack of fuel for equipment and farmers having to deal bombardments and unexploded ordnance.

French firm Kayrros said near-infrared and infrared imagery allows for determination of crop coverage and can accurately predict wheat production.

“Production this year is expected to be at least 35 percent lower than last year,” analysis of the latest data showed, Kayrros said. 

It forecast that at this stage Ukraine will be capable of producing 21 million tonnes of wheat this year, a drop of 12 million tonnes from 2021, and a 23 percent drop from the average harvest over the past five years. 

“Given that the fighting is ongoing and that a large part of the country’s wheat production comes from areas of eastern Ukraine where the conflict is most intense, the real production figures are likely to be lower than the current crop cover might suggest,” the firm added. 

Kayrros analysed images taken by the US space agency NASA between April 14 and 22, less than two months after the start of the conflict. 

Even if Ukrainian farmers manage to grow and harvest their wheat they face difficulties getting it to market given that Russia has destroyed transportation infrastructure and blockaded the port of Odessa from which most grain was exported. 

Before the war Ukraine accounted for about 12 percent of the world’s wheat exports, and the conflict has sent the prices of food commodities soaring. 

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