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Warsaw Stocks Plummet 13% as Russia Launches Attack on Ukraine

(Bloomberg) —

Warsaw’s stock market tumbled as much as 12.7% on Thursday, the most in almost two years, after Russia launched a military attack on Ukraine.

Clothes retailer LPP SA and other companies exposed to markets hit by the military conflict led the drop. Only Russian companies fared worse on Thursday, with Moscow’s Moex collapsing as much as 45% and wiping out more than $250 billion in stock-market value. 

So far this year, Warsaw’s WIG20 benchmark has dropped 10% in both zloty and dollar terms, compared with a 1.3% decline in the MSCI Emerging Market stock index. 

LPP, which has bet on expansion in Poland’s eastern neighbors, dropped 24%, most among companies in the WIG20. The retailer shut its 139 stores in Ukraine, suspended deliveries to the country and moved local management from the capital Kyiv to Lviv, a city nearer the Polish border. It hasn’t announced any decisions about its presence in Russia.

Warsaw-listed Ukrainian agriculture producers were hit even more. Kernel SA dropped as much as 35%, while Astarta SA lost 48% at one point. Polish companies with operations in Ukraine, including recruiter Grupa Pracuj SA, started contingency plans to protect employees. 

The selloff goes beyond companies exposed to eastern markets, however, with e-commerce platform Allegro.eu SA plunging 20%, Poland’s biggest online marketplace was hit with disappointing earnings and growing investor concerns about consumer confidence at a time of of war in neighboring Ukraine. 

Local banks that surged last year thanks to interest-rate hikes also declined, with the WIG-Bank index falling 14%, even as most lenders are not directly present in Russia or in Ukraine.

It’s still uncertain how Russia’s invasion of Ukraine will impact the Polish economy, with analysts debating how much growth could slow and whether interest rates will rise more than expected to quell inflation expectations. 

Poland’s job market has benefited from more than 1 million Ukrainians entering the country in past years, a number that could surge if the conflict lingers on.

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Russian Forces Advance; U.S. Diplomats Out: Ukraine Update

(Bloomberg) — Russian military vehicles breached the Kyiv region from Belarus to the north, Ukrainian officials said, after tanks reportedly rolled earlier into Ukraine from Crimea. A senior Russian lawmaker said Russia aims to ensure a pro-Moscow government in Kyiv, pushing out U.S. influence. President Vladimir Putin has summoned tycoons to the Kremlin.

The government in Kyiv called Russia’s actions a “full-scale invasion” as it declared martial law and called for international support including harsher sanctions. Moscow said it had taken out military facilities, including airbases, Interfax reported.

Putin’s military moves upended markets, with the ruble and Russian stocks sinking while oil and gold soared. European gas prices surged as the attacks put fuel supplies in Europe — already in the midst of an energy crunch — at further risk.

Russia was condemned by Western leaders including U.S. President Joe Biden, who said more sanctions would follow. The European Union will hold an emergency summit in Brussels on Thursday and the U.K. said it intended further economic penalties on Moscow. China called for restraint but didn’t rebuke Moscow. 

Key Developments

  • Russia Invades Ukraine in Worst European Crisis of Postwar Era
  • Biden’s Inner Circle Feared Sanctions Wouldn’t Stop Putin 
  • Russian Stock Market Rout Wipes Out $250 Billion in Value
  • Biden Vows ‘Severe Sanctions’ on Russia as Putin Launches Attack
  • European Energy Prices Soar After Russia Attacks Ukraine Targets
  • Ukraine Bonds Plummet After Russian Invasion
  • Oil Soars to $105 as Russia Attacks Targets Across Ukraine
  • European Stocks Set for Correction on Russia’s Ukraine Attack

All times CET:

U.S. Suspends Diplomatic Presence in Ukraine (1:13 p.m.)

The U.S. has removed all State Department personnel from Ukraine and suspended its diplomatic presence and consular operations in the country, a U.S. official said. Several other countries, including Croatia, said they plan to keep some embassy staff in Kyiv.

U.K. Aims to “Hobble Russian Economy,” Johnson Says (1:06 p.m.) 

Prime Minister Boris Johnson said the U.K. will set out “a massive package of economic sanctions designed to hobble the Russian economy” as he condemned Moscow’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine. 

Speaking in a televised address, Johnson said “I don’t believe that the Russian dictator will ever subdue the national feeling of the Ukrainians and their passionate belief that their country should be free.”

Tanker Owners Avoid Russian Crude (12:55 p.m.) 

Oil tanker owners immediately became reluctant to ship Russian crude while they wait to see what sanctions the West might impose. 

Russia relies on tankers to handle about two thirds of its crude exports, meaning that any prolonged disruption to shipping would be more serious.

Russian Military Advances Into Kyiv Region, Ukraine Says (12:30 p.m.) 

Russian military vehicles breached Ukraine’s Kyiv region, the Ukrainian border guard service said. The Russians crossed into the region via the border with Belarus, about 100 miles (160 km) from the Ukrainian capital, Kyiv.

“Border guards and soldiers are fighting,” according to the Ukrainian statement. The service said its units were also being shelled by multiple rocket launcher systems in the Zhytomyr region west of Kyiv. 

Kremlin Won’t Comment on Timing, Goals (12:05 p.m. CET)

Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov declined to comment on key questions about the Russia’s operation in Ukraine. He refused to elaborate on how long it will last, whether Russian troops will move into the entire country, and whether Moscow aims to install a new government.

On his daily news call, Peskov said only that Russia’s aims are to “liberate Ukraine and neutralize its military potential.”

Asked about potential international isolation resulting from the move, Peskov said it was “impossible to close off a country like Russia with an Iron Curtain.” The current “emotional” reaction on financial markets will stabilize soon, he said. 

Oil Jumps Above $105 Over Fears of Disruption (11:55 a.m.) 

Oil in London surged above $105 a barrel for the first time since 2014 while contracts in New York topped $100 on mounting fears of disruption to Russian exports at a time of already tight supplies. Russia is a key producer of both crude and refined products, with Europe relying on the nation for about a quarter of its oil.  

OPEC and its allies have a regular meeting scheduled on March 2 to decide on output levels for April. As of Wednesday, delegates from some of the biggest members were saying that triple-digit oil wouldn’t cause them to pump faster. But the group will be under pressure to ensure that prices don’t rise to levels that will start destroying demand.

Wave of Iranian Oil May Flood Asia If Nuclear Deal Reached 

NATO to Discuss Reaction at Friday Summit (11:46 a.m.) 

NATO leaders will hold a virtual summit on Friday to discuss the alliance’s reaction to the invasion, an official said.

The alliance said it continues to deploy additional land and air forces to member countries near Ukraine, along with more naval assets, to bolster defense and deterrence. 

“We have increased the readiness of our forces to respond to all contingencies,” the alliance said in a statement. The Baltic nations and Poland had asked NATO for additional support in the wake of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. 

Putin Summons Russian Tycoons to Kremlin (11:13 a.m.) 

With asset prices swooning, President Vladimir Putin has called major shareholders and the leaders of Russia’s biggest companies to the Kremlin to discuss the situation in Ukraine, people familiar with the situation said, asking not to be identified because the information isn’t public.

The meeting may happen around 4 p.m. in Moscow, they said. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.

Russian opposition and Western politicians have urged extending sanctions to more of Russia’s richest people, many of whom are seen as facilitating Putin’s regime. 

Ukraine Breaks Ties With Russia as Casualties Mount (11:12 a.m.)

Ukraine has cut diplomatic ties with Russia and will not give up its independence, President Volodymyr Zelenskiy said in a televised briefing from Kyiv. 

Zelenskiy said Ukrainian forces were defending themselves, and Russia was unable to break through the line of contact in Ukraine’s east. 

Battles are taking place inside Ukraine, including near the second-largest city, Kharkiv, and near Kherson in the south, according to the president’s spokesman, Oleksiy Arestovych, who added that several dozen Ukrainian soldiers had been killed, and the government will arm anyone prepared to defend the country. 

EU Envoys Agree to Finalize New Russia Sanctions (11:07 a.m.)

EU ambassadors unanimously backed a broad Russia sanctions package that had been drafted in the event of a Ukraine invasion, a senior diplomat told Bloomberg News. European leaders will discuss ways to toughen the package when they meet Thursday evening. 

The measures include sanctions targeting Russia’s economy and financial sector, restrictions on exports of tech goods and a curb issuing Russian diplomatic visas, the diplomat said.

U.S., EU Vow Swift Riposte, China Restrained on Russia: Reaction

Russian Assets Nosedive (11:02 a.m.) 

European stocks tumbled, with a benchmark index set to enter a technical correction. The Stoxx Europe 600 was down more than 2%, bringing the decline from a record high in January to 10%. In the U.S., futures tracking the Nasdaq 100 Index signaled the equity gauge is poised to fall into a bear market on Thursday for the first time since the depths of the pandemic selloff.  

Russian assets nosedived as military attacks across Ukraine prompted emergency central bank action and investors braced for the toughest round of Western sanctions yet, wiping out more than $250 billion in stock market value. The ruble sank to a record low and stocks collapsed 45% — their biggest-ever retreat. Russian Eurobonds plummeted, pushing some into distressed territory. 

Ukraine’s 2033 dollar debt dived, lifting the yield to 88%, while the local currency market was suspended and limits were imposed on daily cash withdrawals.

Russian Forces Cross Into Ukraine From Crimea: AP (10:18 a.m.)

Security camera footage shows a line of Russian military vehicles crossing into Ukraine from Russian-annexed Crimea, AP reported.

The movement came as Russian media reported Sergei Aksenov, the head of Crimea, ordered his government to prepare to reopen the Northern Crimean Canal. Ukraine cut the waterway off after Russia annexed Crimea in 2014, causing severe water shortages for the territory’s agriculture.

Ukraine’s border service also said attackers are trying to seize Ukraine’s Zmiinyi island on the Black Sea, roughly 100 km (60 miles) from Odessa, and are calling on Ukrainian trooops to surrender.

 

EU May Consider Sanctioning Putin Personally (10:00 a.m.)

The EU may discuss measures to sanction Vladimir Putin individually as a way to toughen the measures being considered, said diplomats who declined to be named on confidential preparations. 

Such a move would be mostly symbolic, since Putin’s wealth is something of a mystery. Officially, he owns hardly any assets. His annual income is about 10 million rubles ($116,400) and he owns three cars and an apartment, according to his latest financial disclosure. 

The option of targeting Putin individually isn’t in the package already prepared by the EU, but could materialize if there’s enough political agreement, one of the diplomats said.

Hungary Reports Many Ukrainians Trying to Cross Border (9:59 a.m.)

“Huge lines” of Ukrainians have formed at the border to cross into Hungary, the state MTI news service reported, citing eyewitnesses.

Hungary shifted troops and military equipment to the frontier earlier this week to prepare for a potential influx of refugees and to be in position to potentially repel armed groups.

Prime Minister Viktor Orban said on Feb. 12 that “in case of war, hundreds of thousands, perhaps millions” may leave neighboring Ukraine, which he said could “fundamentally alter” Hungary politically and economically.

Russia Seeks Pro-Moscow Govt in Ukraine: Legislator (9:45 am CET)

Russia aims to ensure that a new government in Ukraine is friendly to Moscow and free of U.S. influence, according to a senior legislator from the ruling party.

“We will insist that the government that comes to power will be one that stands for constructive relations with our country,” Vyacheslav Nikonov, first deputy chairman of the International Affairs Committee in the State Duma, told state television. “Everything necessary for that will be done.”

U.S. influence in Kyiv, under which he said the country had become “anti-Russia,” will be removed, Nikonov said. 

Nord Stream 2 Opening ‘Unlikely in Medium Term’ (8:25 a.m.)

German Economy Minister Robert Habeck said he can’t see the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline going into operation “in the medium term.”

Germany this week suspended the certification process for the link, which was built to transport Russian gas to Germany’s north coast alongside an existing pipeline. The U.S. — which has warned Europe about being too dependent on Russia for energy supplies — also imposed sanctions on Nord Stream 2 and its executives.

‘Massive’ EU Sanctions Proposal to Cut Off Russian Banks (9:06 a.m)

EU leaders will discuss “a package of massive, targeted sanctions” that will target Russian banks, among other steps, Ursula von der Leyen, head of the European Commission, told reporters.

“We will target strategic sectors of the Russian economy by blocking their access to technologies and markets that are key for Russia,” Von der Leyen said. “We will weaken Russia’s economic base and its capacity to modernize. In addition we will freeze Russian assets in the European Union and stop the access of Russian banks to European financial markets.”

European Gas Jumps 41% After Attack (9:01 a.m.)

European energy prices soared with benchmark Dutch futures gaining as much as 41% in their fourth-straight daily advance. German power for March soared as much as 31%. Brent crude oil surged above $100 a barrel. Russia is a key exporter of commodities, with Europe relying on the nation for about a quarter of its oil and a third of its gas.

Aluminum rallied to a record in London as the deepening crisis added to supply risks in a market already seeing critical shortages of the most widely-used base metal. Gold advanced on haven demand along with other metals including platinum.

Wheat prices soared to the highest since 2012, further fueling inflation concerns stoked by price increases for other grains and edible oils. Ukraine and Russia account for about a quarter of the global trade in wheat, a fifth of corn sales, and 80% of worldwide sunflower oil exports.

China Doesn’t Condemn Attack, Calls for Restraint (8:58 a.m.)

Beijing urged restraint by “all parties” and repeated criticism that the U.S. was to blame for “hyping” the prospect of war in Eastern Europe.

China didn’t wish to see what happened and urged all parties to give peace a chance, Foreign Ministry spokesperson Hua Chunying said at a regular briefing. Still, she noted that Russia’s Defense Ministry said it will not attack any cities while adding that Russia is independent and can set strategy based on its own interests.

Hua also reiterated that China and Russia were strategic partners, and trade would continue as normal.

Russia’s MOEX Stock Index Falls Most on Record (8:45 a.m.)

Russia’s MOEX stock index slumped as much as 28%, the most on record, as local markets reopened for trading Thursday. The ruble tumbled as much as 10% to a record low before paring the decline. The Moscow Exchange had earlier suspended trading as the currency plunged.

Elsewhere, equity futures and global stocks sank, while bonds and oil soared. S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 contracts slid about 2.5% and 3% respectively, signaling the latter, tech-heavy gauge may end up in a bear market. Brent crude scaled $100 a barrel and European natural gas prices surged as much as 41%.

The flight to safety saw the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield fall below 1.90%. Gold hit the highest since early 2021.

Residents Fleeing Key Port City (8:12 a.m)

People in the southeastern port city of Berdyansk are leaving, with the expectation the city could soon be under fire, although that doesn’t appear to have happened yet, according to Olga Saminina, the director of Berdyansk Commercial Sea Port. “We have faith in our army and our country,” she said in a text.

Berdyansk port, on the Sea of Azov, lost 90% of its traffic as a result of the long-running Donbas conflict with separatists and the construction of a bridge between Crimea and Russia. Half of the port has been requisitioned by Ukraine’s defense ministry to build a naval facility.

Russia Claims It Knocked Out Airbases (8:10 a.m.)

Russia subdued Ukrainian air defenses and knocked out the country’s military airbases, Interfax reported, citing the Defense Ministry.

Ukraine Says Gas Flowing Normally Despite Crisis (7:55 a.m) 

Ukrainian state company Naftogaz says all the facilities of its gas transportation system are operating as usual so far and that natural gas is being supplied in the required amounts. Oil transportation pipelines are also operating as normal.

EU Plans New Sanctions Package After Russian Attack (7:24 a.m.)

The EU said it’s coordinating a response with the Group of Seven and NATO. 

The EU and U.S. have prepared a package that includes restrictions on some of Russia’s biggest banks, such as Sberbank PJSC and VTB Bank PJSC, further curbs on Moscow’s ability to borrow, access financial markets and convert rubles into dollars. All 27 EU members have to sign off on it.

The EU and the Biden administration are also expected to introduce export controls on key technologies, such as semiconductors, aerospace, defense, and cyber surveillance technologies, plus equipment used in the energy sector. The measures are likely to target Russian oligarchs and state-owned enterprises.

Ukraine Leader in Flurry of Calls With Leaders (7:15 a.m.)

President Volodymyr Zelenskiy said on Twitter he is “building an anti-Putin coalition” after speaking with several world leaders including Biden, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz and the European Council President Charles Michel. He called for immediate sanctions on Russia, as well as defense and financial support for Ukraine.

 

Ukraine Imposes Martial Law as Russia Attacks: President (6:15 a.m.)

“Russia has attacked our military infrastructure and our border guards,” Zelenskiy said in a video posted on his telegram channel. “In many cities explosions were heard. We are imposing martial law across the entire territory of our state.”

The Ukrainian leader urged people to stay calm and remain at home if possible, saying “we are working, the army is working.”

Russia Says Targets Ukraine Military Infrastructure: Tass (5:59 a.m.)

Russia’s Defense Ministry said it’s using “high-precision” weapons to target Ukrainian military infrastructure, Tass reported.

Russian forces are using aircraft, artillery and missiles to destroy Ukraine’s air force, military airfields and anti-aircraft systems, the ministry said, in the first official Russian confirmation that its operations extend beyond Donbas.

The Defense Ministry said it’s not targeting cities and civilians in Ukraine have “nothing to fear,” Tass reported, even as explosions were reported across the country.

Ukraine says Says Russia Launched ‘Full-Scale Invasion’ (5:07 a.m.)

Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba said in a tweet that Putin has “launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine” and cities are under airstrikes.

“This is a war of aggression. Ukraine will defend itself and will win,” he said. Kuleba said the world can and must stop Putin, adding “the time to act is now.”  

Read more: Vladimir Putin’s Televised Address on Ukraine

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Bitcoin, Ether Dive as Russia’s Assault on Ukraine Rocks Markets

(Bloomberg) — Cryptocurrencies extended declines as Russia’s attacks on targets across Ukraine sent risk assets reeling, with Bitcoin slumping to a one-month low.

The largest token fell as much as 8.5% to $34,337 after Vladimir Putin’s push to demilitarize Ukraine started with a barrage of missile attacks on Thursday. Bitcoin is now down about 50% from its all-time high set in November. Second-ranked Ether declined as much as 12% to $2,301.84. Other coins like XRP, Cardano and Solana were down as well. 

Read more: Stocks Sink, Brent Scales $100 on Russia Assault: Markets Wrap

 

Bitcoin’s swings during the past weeks of escalating geopolitical tensions have undermined the argument that cryptocurrencies offer a hedge in times of trouble. That’s in large part a result of its deepening integration into global financial markets, which causes it to move more like other risk assets, according to Ben Caselin, head of research and strategy at crypto exchange AAX.

The traditional safe haven gold, meanwhile, surged to the highest level since early 2021 on Thursday.

The Russia-Ukraine crisis “could drive prices significantly lower in the short-term,” said Jonathan Tse, head of trading at crypto platform Copper.co. “However, it could be what’s needed to find a bottom sooner, rather than an ongoing crypto winter for prices slowly grinding lower.”

The next key level to watch for Bitcoin in the event of further declines will be $28,000 to $29,000, said Vijay Ayyar, vice president of corporate development at Luno, a crypto platform. If that threshold gets breached, “we could be looking at much lower levels in the low $20,000s and below.”

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Indian Stocks Plummet as Global Selloff Deepens on Ukraine Risk

(Bloomberg) — Indian stocks joined a global selloff as Russian forces attacked targets across Ukraine, triggering the worst security crisis in Europe since World War II.

The benchmark S&P BSE Sensex closed 4.7% lower, the most since May 2020. The NSE Nifty 50 Index slumped as much as 4.8%. Both measures, which were the worst-performing among major stock benchmarks in Asia on Thursday, fell as much as 5% earlier in the session. The indexes dropped for a seventh day, their longest losing streak since March 2020. 

The sharp drop coincided with the expiry of February derivatives on Thursday. The India NSE Volatility Index surged 30%, the biggest jump since March 2020. The rupee fell 1.4%, the most since April 2021, while yields on benchmark government bond rose two basis points to 6.76%. 

Russia launched a barrage of missile, artillery and air attacks early on Thursday as President Vladimir Putin vowed to “demilitarize” the country and replace its leaders. Global stocks tumbled while bonds and oil soared. The Asia stock benchmark dropped as much as 2.8% to the lowest since November 2020. 

“A number of negative factors have come together for India, from foreign selling to expiry of derivative contracts today, which resulted in a sharp selloff,” said Anita Gandhi, a strategist at Mumbai-based Arihant Capital Markets Ltd. Trading in India is expected to be in line with the global trend in the next few sessions as there are no immediate local triggers, she said.  

Reliance Industries Ltd. contributed the most to the Sensex’s decline, falling 5%, followed by a 5.5% slump in HDFC Bank Ltd. All 30 stocks in Sensex fell.

(Updates to add strategist comment in fifth paragraph)

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Fisker Racks Up Reservations for an EV It Hasn’t Even Shown to Buyers 

(Bloomberg) — Fisker Inc. racked up roughly 1,500 reservations within days for its second electric vehicle, which hasn’t been shown and won’t be delivered until 2024, Chief Executive Officer Henrik Fisker said.

The Danish-American car designer’s second EV company has taken deposits for the Pear — which will start at about $30,000 in the U.S. — from customers in part because battery suppliers have been burned by car manufacturers making overly optimistic sales projections for early plug-in models.

“Normally, a car company does due diligence of a supplier,” Fisker said in an interview Wednesday in London. “Now, the battery makers are actually doing the diligence on the carmakers, and of course also the startups, and saying: ‘Hold on a minute, we need to see the business model, we need to see the car, we need to believe in you.’”

Fisker, 58, founded his first eponymous company in 2007. Fisker Automotive began delivering its only sports car, the Karma, at a time when Tesla Inc.’s only model on the market was the Roadster. Fisker Automotive went bankrupt in late 2013 after its sole battery supplier went bust.

The designer of BMW and Aston Martin luxury cars bounced back to form Fisker Inc. in 2016 and took it public in 2020 via a merger with a special purpose acquisition company. The new firm has taken more than 32,000 reservations for its first EV, the Ocean sport utility vehicle, which is scheduled to go into production in November.

Fisker was stopping in London on his way to Graz, Austria, where manufacturing partner Magna Steyr has 47 Ocean prototypes in various stages of pre-production, he said. The companies plan to make roughly 45,000 of the SUVs next year.

By the end of this year, Fisker expects to have at least 50,000 reservations. The company has enlisted Foxconn Technology Group to manufacture the Pear in Ohio, and batteries will be sourced from a factory in the U.S., Fisker said.

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NATO Summit on Response; Putin Summons Tycoons: Ukraine Update

(Bloomberg) — Russian tanks are now reportedly rolling into Ukraine from Crimea, and battles are under way inside Ukraine. A senior Russian lawmaker said Russia aims to ensure a pro-Moscow government in Kyiv, pushing out U.S. influence. President Vladimir Putin has summoned tycoons to the Kremlin.

The government in Kyiv called Russia’s actions a “full-scale invasion” as it declared martial law and called for international support including harsher sanctions. Moscow said it had taken out military facilities, including airbases, Interfax reported.

Putin’s military moves upended markets, with the ruble and Russian stocks sinking while oil and gold soared. European gas prices surged as the attacks put fuel supplies in Europe — already in the midst of an energy crunch — at further risk.

Russia was condemned by Western leaders including U.S. President Joe Biden, who said more sanctions would follow. The European Union will hold an emergency summit in Brussels on Thursday and the U.K. said it intended further economic penalties on Moscow. China called for restraint but didn’t rebuke Moscow. 

Key Developments

  • Putin Orders Russian Attacks Across Ukraine in ‘Dark Day’ 
  • Biden’s Inner Circle Feared Sanctions Wouldn’t Stop Putin 
  • Russian Stock Market Rout Wipes Out $250 Billion in Value
  • European Energy Prices Soar After Russia Attacks Ukraine Targets
  • Ukraine Bonds Plummet After Russian Invasion
  • Oil Soars to $105 as Russia Attacks Targets Across Ukraine
  • European Stocks Set for Correction on Russia’s Ukraine Attack

All times CET:

NATO to Discuss Reaction at Friday Summit (11:46 a.m.) 

NATO leaders will hold a virtual summit on Friday to discuss the alliance’s reaction to the invasion, an official said.

The alliance said it continues to deploy additional land and air forces to member countries near Ukraine, along with more naval assets, to bolster defense and deterrence. 

“We have increased the readiness of our forces to respond to all contingencies,” the alliance said in a statement. The Baltic nations and Poland had asked NATO for additional support in the wake of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. 

Putin Summons Russian Tycoons to Kremlin (11:13 a.m.) 

With asset prices swooning, President Vladimir Putin has called major shareholders and the leaders of Russia’s biggest companies to the Kremlin to discuss the situation in Ukraine, people familiar with the situation said, asking not to be identified because the information isn’t public.

The meeting may happen around 4 p.m. in Moscow, they said. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.

Russian opposition and Western politicians have urged extending sanctions to more of Russia’s richest people, many of whom are seen as facilitating Putin’s regime. 

Ukraine Breaks Ties With Russia as Casualties Mount (11:12 a.m.)

Ukraine has cut diplomatic ties with Russia and will not give up its independence, President Volodymyr Zelenskiy said in a televised briefing from Kyiv. 

Zelenskiy said Ukrainian forces were defending themselves, and Russia was unable to break through the line of contact in Ukraine’s east. 

Battles are taking place inside Ukraine, including near the second-largest city, Kharkiv, and near Kherson in the south, according to the president’s spokesman, Oleksiy Arestovych, who added that several dozen Ukrainian soldiers had been killed, and the government will arm anyone prepared to defend the country. 

EU Envoys Agree to Finalize New Russia Sanctions (11:07 a.m.)

EU ambassadors unanimously backed a broad Russia sanctions package that had been drafted in the event of a Ukraine invasion, a senior diplomat told Bloomberg News. European leaders will discuss ways to toughen the package when they meet Thursday evening. 

The measures include sanctions targeting Russia’s economy and financial sector, restrictions on exports of tech goods and a curb issuing Russian diplomatic visas, the diplomat said.

U.S., EU Vow Swift Riposte, China Restrained on Russia: Reaction

Russian Assets Nosedive (11:02 a.m.) 

European stocks tumbled, with a benchmark index set to enter a technical correction. The Stoxx Europe 600 was down more than 2%, bringing the decline from a record high in January to 10%. In the U.S., futures tracking the Nasdaq 100 Index signaled the equity gauge is poised to fall into a bear market on Thursday for the first time since the depths of the pandemic selloff.  

Russian assets nosedived as military attacks across Ukraine prompted emergency central bank action and investors braced for the toughest round of Western sanctions yet, wiping out more than $250 billion in stock market value. The ruble sank to a record low and stocks collapsed 45% — their biggest-ever retreat. Russian Eurobonds plummeted, pushing some into distressed territory. 

Ukraine’s 2033 dollar debt dived, lifting the yield to 88%, while the local currency market was suspended and limits were imposed on daily cash withdrawals.

Russian Forces Cross Into Ukraine From Crimea: AP (10:18 a.m.)

Security camera footage shows a line of Russian military vehicles crossing into Ukraine from Russian-annexed Crimea, AP reported.

The movement came as Russian media reported Sergei Aksenov, the head of Crimea, ordered his government to prepare to reopen the Northern Crimean Canal. Ukraine cut the waterway off after Russia annexed Crimea in 2014, causing severe water shortages for the territory’s agriculture.

Ukraine’s border service also said attackers are trying to seize Ukraine’s Zmiinyi island on the Black Sea, roughly 100 km (60 miles) from Odessa, and are calling on Ukrainian trooops to surrender.

 

EU May Consider Sanctioning Putin Personally (10:00 a.m.)

The EU may discuss measures to sanction Vladimir Putin individually as a way to toughen the measures being considered, said diplomats who declined to be named on confidential preparations. 

Such a move would be mostly symbolic, since Putin’s wealth is something of a mystery. Officially, he owns hardly any assets. His annual income is about 10 million rubles ($116,400) and he owns three cars and an apartment, according to his latest financial disclosure. 

The option of targeting Putin individually isn’t in the package already prepared by the EU, but could materialize if there’s enough political agreement, one of the diplomats said.

Hungary Reports Many Ukrainians Trying to Cross Border (9:59 a.m.)

“Huge lines” of Ukrainians have formed at the border to cross into Hungary, the state MTI news service reported, citing eyewitnesses.

Hungary shifted troops and military equipment to the frontier earlier this week to prepare for a potential influx of refugees and to be in position to potentially repel armed groups.

Prime Minister Viktor Orban said on Feb. 12 that “in case of war, hundreds of thousands, perhaps millions” may leave neighboring Ukraine, which he said could “fundamentally alter” Hungary politically and economically.

Russia Seeks Pro-Moscow Govt in Ukraine: Legislator (9:45 am CET)

Russia aims to ensure that a new government in Ukraine is friendly to Moscow and free of U.S. influence, according to a senior legislator from the ruling party.

“We will insist that the government that comes to power will be one that stands for constructive relations with our country,” Vyacheslav Nikonov, first deputy chairman of the International Affairs Committee in the State Duma, told state television. “Everything necessary for that will be done.”

U.S. influence in Kyiv, under which he said the country had become “anti-Russia,” will be removed, Nikonov said. 

Belarus Says Not Involved in Russian Attack (9:40 a.m.) 

President Alexander Lukashenko said the Belarusian army isn’t involved in Russia’s military operations in Ukraine, state-run Belta news service reported.

Russian President Vladimir Putin called Lukashenko at about 5 a.m. local time to inform him of the situation, around the time Putin announced the offensive in a nationally televised address, Belta said, citing the Belarusian leader’s press service. 

About 30,000 Russian troops are in Belarus for what the states called military drills, and Ukraine has said it is being attacked from the north. 

Nord Stream 2 Opening ‘Unlikely in Medium Term’ (8:25 a.m.)

German Economy Minister Robert Habeck said he can’t see the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline going into operation “in the medium term.”

Germany this week suspended the certification process for the link, which was built to transport Russian gas to Germany’s north coast alongside an existing pipeline. The U.S. — which has warned Europe about being too dependent on Russia for energy supplies — also imposed sanctions on Nord Stream 2 and its executives.

Habeck said as long as those sanctions are in place, Nord Stream 2 cannot go online. He also accused Russia of “systematically emptying” gas storage facilities, which he said had led to higher prices in Europe.

Ukraine Says Russian Troops Cross Border From North (9:11 a.m.)

Ukraine’s border service said Russian military vehicles had crossed the frontier in four northern regions, including Luhansk and that of the second-largest city, Kharkiv.

Most border checkpoints in the area were shelled, wounding several soldiers. Another border serviceman was killed in the southern Kherson region by a rocket attack from Crimea, according to a statement.

‘Massive’ EU Sanctions Proposal to Cut Off Russian Banks (9:06 a.m)

EU leaders will discuss “a package of massive, targeted sanctions” that will target Russian banks, among other steps, Ursula von der Leyen, head of the European Commission, told reporters.

“We will target strategic sectors of the Russian economy by blocking their access to technologies and markets that are key for Russia,” Von der Leyen said. “We will weaken Russia’s economic base and its capacity to modernize. In addition we will freeze Russian assets in the European Union and stop the access of Russian banks to European financial markets.”

European Gas Jumps 41% After Attack (9:01 a.m.)

European energy prices soared with benchmark Dutch futures gaining as much as 41% in their fourth-straight daily advance. German power for March soared as much as 31%. Brent crude oil surged above $100 a barrel. Russia is a key exporter of commodities, with Europe relying on the nation for about a quarter of its oil and a third of its gas.

Aluminum rallied to a record in London as the deepening crisis added to supply risks in a market already seeing critical shortages of the most widely-used base metal. Gold advanced on haven demand along with other metals including platinum.

Wheat prices soared to the highest since 2012, further fueling inflation concerns stoked by price increases for other grains and edible oils. Ukraine and Russia account for about a quarter of the global trade in wheat, a fifth of corn sales, and 80% of worldwide sunflower oil exports.

China Doesn’t Condemn Attack, Calls for Restraint (8:58 a.m.)

Beijing urged restraint by “all parties” and repeated criticism that the U.S. was to blame for “hyping” the prospect of war in Eastern Europe.

China didn’t wish to see what happened and urged all parties to give peace a chance, Foreign Ministry spokesperson Hua Chunying said at a regular briefing. Still, she noted that Russia’s Defense Ministry said it will not attack any cities while adding that Russia is independent and can set strategy based on its own interests.

Hua also reiterated that China and Russia were strategic partners, and trade would continue as normal.

Russia’s MOEX Stock Index Falls Most on Record (8:45 a.m.)

Russia’s MOEX stock index slumped as much as 28%, the most on record, as local markets reopened for trading Thursday. The ruble tumbled as much as 10% to a record low before paring the decline. The Moscow Exchange had earlier suspended trading as the currency plunged.

Elsewhere, equity futures and global stocks sank, while bonds and oil soared. S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 contracts slid about 2.5% and 3% respectively, signaling the latter, tech-heavy gauge may end up in a bear market. Brent crude scaled $100 a barrel and European natural gas prices surged as much as 41%.

The flight to safety saw the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield fall below 1.90%. Gold hit the highest since early 2021.

Residents Fleeing Key Port City (8:12 a.m)

People in the southeastern port city of Berdyansk are leaving, with the expectation the city could soon be under fire, although that doesn’t appear to have happened yet, according to Olga Saminina, the director of Berdyansk Commercial Sea Port. “We have faith in our army and our country,” she said in a text.

Berdyansk port, on the Sea of Azov, lost 90% of its traffic as a result of the long-running Donbas conflict with separatists and the construction of a bridge between Crimea and Russia. Half of the port has been requisitioned by Ukraine’s defense ministry to build a naval facility.

Russia Claims It Knocked Out Airbases (8:10 a.m.)

Russia subdued Ukrainian air defenses and knocked out the country’s military airbases, Interfax reported, citing the Defense Ministry.

Ukraine Says Gas Flowing Normally Despite Crisis (7:55 a.m) 

Ukrainian state company Naftogaz says all the facilities of its gas transportation system are operating as usual so far and that natural gas is being supplied in the required amounts. Oil transportation pipelines are also operating as normal.

EU Plans New Sanctions Package After Russian Attack (7:24 a.m.)

The EU said it’s coordinating a response with the Group of Seven and NATO. 

The EU and U.S. have prepared a package that includes restrictions on some of Russia’s biggest banks, such as Sberbank PJSC and VTB Bank PJSC, further curbs on Moscow’s ability to borrow, access financial markets and convert rubles into dollars. All 27 EU members have to sign off on it.

The EU and the Biden administration are also expected to introduce export controls on key technologies, such as semiconductors, aerospace, defense, and cyber surveillance technologies, plus equipment used in the energy sector. The measures are likely to target Russian oligarchs and state-owned enterprises.

Ukraine Leader in Flurry of Calls With Leaders (7:15 a.m.)

President Volodymyr Zelenskiy said on Twitter he is “building an anti-Putin coalition” after speaking with several world leaders including Biden, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz and the European Council President Charles Michel. He called for immediate sanctions on Russia, as well as defense and financial support for Ukraine.

 

First Central Bank Moves to Raise Rates (6:38 a.m.)

Kazakhstan raised its key interest rate to 13.5%, the highest since 2016, in the first emergency move by a central bank in a former Soviet country since Russia launched its attack on Ukraine. Such actions may be taken by other central banks in reaction to the security crisis.

Ukraine Imposes Martial Law as Russia Attacks: President (6:15 a.m.)

“Russia has attacked our military infrastructure and our border guards,” Zelenskiy said in a video posted on his telegram channel. “In many cities explosions were heard. We are imposing martial law across the entire territory of our state.”

The Ukrainian leader urged people to stay calm and remain at home if possible, saying “we are working, the army is working.”

Russia Says Targets Ukraine Military Infrastructure: Tass (5:59 a.m.)

Russia’s Defense Ministry said it’s using “high-precision” weapons to target Ukrainian military infrastructure, Tass reported.

Russian forces are using aircraft, artillery and missiles to destroy Ukraine’s air force, military airfields and anti-aircraft systems, the ministry said, in the first official Russian confirmation that its operations extend beyond Donbas.

The Defense Ministry said it’s not targeting cities and civilians in Ukraine have “nothing to fear,” Tass reported, even as explosions were reported across the country.

Ukraine says Says Russia Launched ‘Full-Scale Invasion’ (5:07 a.m.)

Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba said in a tweet that Putin has “launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine” and cities are under airstrikes.

“This is a war of aggression. Ukraine will defend itself and will win,” he said. Kuleba said the world can and must stop Putin, adding “the time to act is now.”  

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India Sensex Sinks 5% as Global Selloff Extends on Ukraine Risk

(Bloomberg) — Indian stocks joined a global selloff as Russian forces attacked targets across Ukraine, triggering the worst security crisis in Europe since World War II.

The NSE Nifty 50 Index slumped as much as 5%, the most since March 2020, before paring slightly. The S&P BSE Sensex fell 4.7%. Both measures, which were the worst-performing among major stock benchmarks in Asia on Thursday, suffered their longest losing streak since March 2020 with seven days of losses. 

The sharp drop coincided with the expiry of February derivatives on Thursday. The India NSE Volatility Index surged 30%, the biggest jump since March 2020. The rupee fell 1.4%, the most since April 2021, while yields on benchmark government bond rose two basis points to 6.76%. 

Russia launched a barrage of missile, artillery and air attacks early on Thursday as President Vladimir Putin vowed to “demilitarize” the country and replace its leaders. Global stocks tumbled while bonds and oil soared. The Asia stock benchmark dropped as much as 2.8% to the lowest since November 2020. 

Reliance Industries Ltd. contributed the most to the Sensex’s decline, falling 5%, followed by a 5.5% slide in HDFC Bank Ltd. All 30 stocks in Sensex fell. 

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South Africa Targets Cable Thieves Holding Economy to Ransom

(Bloomberg) —

South Africa’s government intends making it mandatory for all metal traders to get licenses and prevent them from dealing in cash, a measure aimed at combating a massive illegal trade in cables and wiring stripped from rail, power and telecommunication lines. 

Traders will also be required to conduct due diligence on their customers and track the origins of their products, the National Treasury said in the annual budget review, which was published in Cape Town on Wednesday. 

Cable theft and vandalism is undermining the government’s efforts to revive the coronavirus-battered economy by bolstering more infrastructure investment, enhancing the power supply and improving transport links.  

Freight rail operator Transnet SOC Ltd., telecommunications company Telkom SOC Ltd., power utility Eskom Holdings SOC Ltd. and the Passenger Rail Agency of South Africa estimate that thieves and vandals cost them a total of 7 billion rand ($459 million) a year. The knock-on losses to the economy amounted to about 187 billion rand annually, the companies said in a joint statement last year. 

The length of cable stolen annually from Transnet’s rail lines has surged 10-fold since 2016, with 1,423 kilometers (884 miles) taken in the eight months through November last year, according to the company. Thieves are increasingly targeting overhead wire as opposed to digging it up, which suggested that syndicates are becoming increasingly involved, it said. 

Besides the direct costs, Transnet has also had to cut back on haulage when lines aren’t operational, leaving exporters of coal and other minerals unable to get their product to the ports. 

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Sea Loses Title of Biggest Southeast Asia Firm to Indonesia Bank

(Bloomberg) — Sea Ltd. lost its title as Southeast Asia’s biggest publicly traded company after its shares plunged to an 18-month low.

The Singapore-based internet company was overtaken by Indonesian lender PT Bank Central Asia after its American depositary receipts slumped to $120.52 on Wednesday in New York. Its market value of $66.9 billion is down from a peak of $202.6 billion in October. Bank Central Asia’s market value is $68.5 billion, and Singapore’s DBS Group Holdings Ltd. is close behind at $66.1 billion.

Sea went public in 2017 and quickly became the most valuable company in Southeast Asia, stoking a debate on Wall Street over whether the gaming, e-commerce and financial services company is the next great internet colossus or just Exhibit A in a global tech bubble that’s destined to burst.

The company lost more than $16 billion of its value in its biggest daily drop last week after India abruptly banned its most popular mobile gaming title. Investors are growing concerned the ban may just be the start of Sea’s troubles.

Franklin Dynatech Fund and Blackrock Capital Appreciation Fund Inc. were among asset managers that cut their holdings in Sea in January, according to data analyzed by Bloomberg.

Sea’s 60% Fall Shows EM Managers May Need Assortment of Themes

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U.S. Presents ‘Buy American’ Plan to Ease Supply Chain Squeeze

(Bloomberg) — The Biden administration announced several new actions Thursday intended to ease supply-chain disruptions that have plagued the economy during the coronavirus pandemic. 

The moves by the White House and several cabinet departments would aid domestic manufacturers in order to reduce the U.S. reliance on foreign imports in the coming years, though senior administration officials cautioned that Congress must enact more sweeping changes. 

The White House said in a statement that it plans to issue a new “Buy American” rule that would allow the federal government to pay more for certain “critical” domestic-made products. The Export-Import Bank’s board will also vote this spring on a new initiative to provide financing to U.S.-based makers of semiconductors, biotech and biomedical products as well as renewable energy companies. 

In addition, the Department of Health and Human Services will create a new program under the Defense Production Act to provide loans and grants to encourage manufacturing of pharmaceuticals and other essential health products in the U.S. A shortage of masks and other personal protective equipment hampered the nation’s ability to stop the spread of the coronavirus early in the pandemic. The Energy Department will also open a new office to modernize supply chains to accommodate clean energy sources and ensure electric-vehicle battery makers have the parts they need. 

The actions come one year after Biden signed an executive order directing the government find ways to strengthen American supply chains. The order directed seven cabinet agencies to publish reports and recommendations for improvements 12 months following the order. 

During that time, automakers have been forced to stop production because of a lack of computer chips. Health care workers treating patients with Covid-19 were forced to deal with limited protective equipment because of shipping delays with China. Major U.S. ports saw containers full of imported clothes and electronics piled up on docks. 

Senior administration officials said they have made progress in alleviating those problems. They also said China competition legislation in the House and Senate as well as elements of Biden’s Build Back Better agenda would be required to address the full scope of the issue. The China bill has not stalled as has Build Back Better, but would likely take months to pass and be implemented.

The administration has pushed Congress to pass a competition bill that includes $52 billion to promote domestic semiconductor research and manufacturing. The global shortage of chips has been a key driver of inflation by increasing the costs of used and new automobiles. Industry analysts say the supply crunch will continue into next year.

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