Bloomberg

U.S. Sports TV Rights May Not Always Go Up: Power Players Update

(Bloomberg) — Kevin Mayer, the former chief strategy officer for Walt Disney Co., said sports TV rights in Europe have been “flat to down in every major market” because consumers pay directly for the leagues they want to watch. That model may eventually come to the U.S., Mayer said.

“In the U.S., sports rights defy gravity,” Mayer said. “Europe, where people have to pay for sports rights, that’s really dampened the upward trajectory of sports rights.”

Mayer, who is currently chairman of Europe-focused sports streaming service DAZN, said consumers in the U.S. will eventually pay directly only for the content they want, as they currently do in Europe.

“It’s inevitable that the same dynamic will happen in the U.S.,” he said.

DraftKings Inc. Chief Executive Officer Jason Robins said sports NFTs need to be more than just collectibles, they need to have utility, such access to a video game or online content to make them more valuable.

“My kids love Pokemon cards,” Robins said. “They just like the cards. Other people might want to use it to play a game. The more we tie utility to these things the more there’s long term value to it. It isn’t just a collectible.”

Atlanta Falcons owner Arthur Blank weighed in on the controversy surrounding former Miami Dolphins coach Brian Flores, saying minority hiring levels in the National Football League, particularly among coaches, are “not acceptable.”

The billionaire co-founder of Home Depot Inc. said Friday that while the league has added more women and minorities in some roles, only three of its 32 teams have a minority as head coach. By comparison, people of color make up 75% of players. 

The NFL needs to particularly focus on hiring minorities for offensive coordinator and quarterback coaching positions that can lead to head coaching jobs, he said, noting “this is a quarterback-driven league.”

Blank, 79, has been an advocate for people of color in the front office serving on the league’s social justice committee. Last year, the team hired its first African-American general manager, Terry Fontenot. 

Read more: Blank Discusses Changing the Overtime Rule

Mayer, Robins and Blank all spoke at the Bloomberg Power Players conference in Beverly Hills, California on Friday.

Luminaries from the worlds of media and sports are gathering in Los Angeles for the Super Bowl this Sunday, a battle between the hometown Los Angeles Rams and the Cincinnati Bengals, gunning for their first-ever victory in the big game. 

ESPN President Says He’s Interested in Sunday Ticket (6:57 pm NY)

Jimmy Pitaro, chairman of sports broadcaster ESPN, said the Disney-owned channel is interested in acquiring the rights to the NFL’s Sunday Ticket offering currently held by DirecTV.

“I don’t where it’s going to net out,” Pitaro said. “That is a product that was made for a digital platform.”

Pitaro said his network produces content for social media sites including Instagram, TikTok and Snap, because that is where younger viewers are, but the content has to be customized for them.

“It’s not just taking what’s on linear TV and cutting it up,” Pitaro said. “It’s got to be native. We have dedicated teams who are creating different content.

Pitaro said he was rooting for the Bengals because he has a personal connection to quarterback Joe Burrow. Investor George Pyne, also on the panel, said he’s rooting for the Rams.

Mayer Says He Misread Demand for Home Fitness (6:21 pm NY)

DAZN’s Mayer, who also sits on the board of the BeachBody Co., said at-home fitness companies, including Peloton, have struggled because “people are going back to the gym.” Another challenge at-home fitness companies have faced is privacy changes by Apple that made it harder to target people with online ads, he said. Such companies rely on digital media to find new customers.

“That’s really made customer acquisition costs skyrocket,” Mayer said.

Amazon Calls NFL Deal a ‘Gamechanger’ (6:00 pm NY)

Marie Donoghue, Amazon’s vice president of global sports video, called the company’s purchase of NFL rights “a game-changer for us and the industry.” She said Amazon had spent several years earning the NFL’s trust, particularly when it successfully streamed the Premier League in Britain.

“That was very important to the NFL because they saw we could do it,” she said. “We weren’t putting the fan experience at risk.”

Amazon will broadcast Thursday night NFL games exclusively for the first time next season.

Focus Was Behind WWE Deal with Comcast (5:50 pm NY)

Stephanie McMahon, chief brand officer for WWE, said the professional wrestling company licensed its streaming service to Comcast Corp.’s Peacock last year because it didn’t want to be responsible for the technology problems that often come with streaming live events.

“We’re content producers and that’s what we want to focus on,” McMahon said.

She said WWE plans to announce more international licensing deals “soon.” McMahon added that WWE is trying to grow its audience through video games. About 85% of WWE’s audience self-identifies as gamers. McMahon said her 13-year-old daughter, for example, often plays minecraft.

“That’s how she comes together with her friends,” she said.

FanDuel Says Betting Boosts TV Viewers (5:45 pm NY)

“It is changing the engagement from a viewership perspective,” FanDuel CEO Amy Howe said, saying people are more likely to watch games if they’re betting on it. She also predicted in the future there will be multiple telecasts of games, with less talk of betting odds if you’re watching games with your kids, and betting odds changing in real-time on others.

As more states look to legalize sports betting, FanDuel is educating state regulators “because it’s new.” She also said more states should legalize sports betting because it generates revenue for local governments and protects consumers from the black market.

Crypto.com Wants to be Nike or Apple (5:35 pm NY)

Kris Marszalek, CEO of Crypto.com, said he wants to make cryptocurrency mainstream and striking deals in the sports industry has helped.

“Sports is a canvas on which you can paint a strong brand message that resonates with consumers on a global scale,” he said. “We want to be a top 20 brand along with Nike and Apple.”

Marszalek added that cryptocurrency “is the ultimate level paying field” and startup founders in that industry don’t need to be based in the Bay Area to get funding. He said his company has a “half billion dollar venture fund.”

“Ping me on Twitter,” he said. “We’ll fund you.”

Robins Says NFTs Are Future of Memorabilia (5:23 pm NY)

DraftKings CEO Robins said NFTs, or non-fungible tokens, allow athletes or celebrities to continue making money on secondary sales of their memorabilia because they can be tracked. He likened it to TV show creators gettingpaid when the program is sold into syndication.

“They don’t have to continually give that away for free after the first transaction,” Robins said.

The market will be volatile, he added. “Every market goes up down,” he said. “Just because it goes up or down doesn’t mean there isn’t long term value.”

Monique Brown, chief executive officer of The Amer-I-Can Foundation For Social Change and wife of NFL great Jim Brown, said NFTs allow fans to “not only have a signed football but have ownership of an experience.”

Cowboys Brand Chief Recalls Her Owner-Dad’s Advice (4:37 pm NY)

Charlotte Jones, chief band officer for the Dallas Cowboys, said that when her father first bought the team it was losing money and he asked her to help. “I said, ‘I don’t know anything about running an NFL team. He said, neither do I.”’ 

Jerry Jones’ other advice to his daughter: “Stop losing money. Whatever you do, don’t tarnish the star.”

Commanders President Discusses Team Changes (4:18 pm NY)

Jason Wright, president of the Washington Commanders, said he couldn’t address sexual misconduct accusations against the team’s owner, Daniel Snyder. 

He said the team has “tangible and real momentum” for diversity and has front office that “looks like the fricken United Nations.” He said the Commanders have the most diverse team leadership in the NFL and its all happened in the past year and a half.

It’s a matter of “showing that leadership that doesn’t look like classic leadership.” Then employees start to get over some of that subconscious bias that might exist about: “Are they really as smart as everybody else? Can they really drive revenue like everybody else?’ Yes we can. And I think there’s a little bit of showing and proof on us to be able to do it.”

Read more: How NFL Rules Hold Back Black Owners 

Andrew Hawkins Talks About His MBA (4:00 pm NY)

Former NFL player Andrew Hawkins, who now runs sports tech firm Status Pro, said for him it was hard to gain respect on the business front, so he went to school to be seen as a businessperson. More athletes are getting involved in business than ever, especially while they’re still playing full time, he said.

“Now we’re seeing a renaissance,” said Hawkins.

He reached out to people early, when he was still playing, to establish business connections. Status Pro, a sporting training technology company, said “We’re always saying we’re democratizing what it’s like to be an athlete.”  

Carli Lloyd, two-time Fifa World Cup champion, said “a simple hello in a one or two minutes conversation may translate into a business opportunity down the road. For me its about building relationships.” She said women’s soccer need more sponsors. “We need support from TV deals.’

Lloyd, who won two World Cups and two Olympic gold medals during her career, said young athletes are starting to get distracted with all the noise around social followings, sponsored posts and endorsement deals as they start getting courted by brands more than ever.

“When we step in between those lines we’re there to win,” said Lloyd. “You’re seeing some of that being skewed a little bit. It’s becoming more about: how can I build my brand up?” 

Here’s some more of our recent sports coverage:

  • NFL Evaluates Rooney Rule With Teams Criticized on Diversity
  • NBC’s Winter Olympics Ratings Are Heading Toward a Historic Low
  • Betting Apps Want You to Come for Super Bowl and Gamble Forever
  • For Serena Williams, Tonal Super Bowl Spot Is More Than an Ad

 

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©2022 Bloomberg L.P.

Coinbase Resumes Trading Feature After Vulnerability Warning

(Bloomberg) — Coinbase Global Inc., the largest U.S. cryptocurrency exchange, resumed operations of a recently launched advanced trading feature that was halted earlier when an unverified Twitter user warned of a possible vulnerability. 

A Coinbase spokesperson said the company is in touch with the Twitter user to learn more about the issue. Coinbase Chief Executive Officer Brian Armstrong also replied to the Twitter user, saying that the company would investigate. 

Armstrong later tweeted to the Twitter account, “you’re awesome – a big thank you for working with our team.” And just after 6 p.m. New York time, Coinbase tweeted that retail advanced trading had resumed and customers’ funds “remain safe.”

Last November, Coinbase launched the advanced trading functionality on Coinbase.com to a small number of customers. The feature is intended for more experienced traders and enables them to interact directly with the order book, according to the company’s website. 

Coinbase shares closed down 5% on to $194.53 on Friday, outpacing losses in the S&P 500 index. 

(Updates to show retail advanced trading was restarted.)

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Treasury Signals Crypto Miners Won’t Face IRS Reporting Rule

(Bloomberg) — The U.S. Treasury Department indicated that it plans to spare crypto miners and stakers from rules that would require digital-asset brokers to turn over information on their clients’ transactions to the IRS.

The decision, which was included in a letter sent to a group of senators Friday, is a big initial win for the industry in a battle that’s been brewing since last year when the reporting requirements were enacted as part of the bipartisan infrastructure bill. 

In the letter obtained by Bloomberg News, Treasury Assistant Secretary for Legislative Affairs Jonathan Davidson said the department’s view is that “ancillary parties who cannot get access to information that is useful to the IRS are not intended to be captured by the reporting requirements for brokers.” That language signals that people who use mining or staking to validate crypto transactions, as well as software and hardware providers, will be able to avoid the demands.

The broker tag is important because it will force firms to collect and disclose detailed information on customers, including names and addresses, gross proceeds from sales, and any capital gains or losses. The industry has argued that certain groups, such as miners and stakers, don’t have access to that kind of information, making compliance difficult — if not impossible — if they were swept in.

Treasury intends to issue proposed regulations in the future that reflect its thinking on the broker definition, Davidson said. The letter aligns the department’s views with comments that have been made by senators, including Virginia Democrat Mark Warner and Ohio Republican Rob Portman. 

Treasury’s clarification may help ease some of the concerns that have been raised by executives at crypto companies, like Block Inc. (formerly Square Inc.) and Coinbase Global Inc., and industry groups, such as the Blockchain Association and Coin Center. 

Several senators, including Warner and Portman, pushed to change the broker provision during the legislative process. An amendment seemed imminent when they reached a last-minute deal with the Biden administration, but the effort ultimately failed because it required the support of all 100 senators and Alabama Republican Richard Shelby objected because of an unrelated dispute over military spending. 

Since then the pressure to clarify the reporting requirements has shifted to Treasury, which is tasked with interpreting the law through regulations. 

Davidson said there are other issues Treasury is still considering, including “the extent to which other parties in the digital asset market, such as centralized exchanges and those often described as decentralized exchanges and peer-to-peer exchanges, should be treated as brokers.”   

Senator Pat Toomey, the top Republican on the Senate Banking Committee who was involved in last year’s push to amend the infrastructure bill, said in an e-mailed statement Friday that he was encouraged by Treasury’s letter but still wanted lawmakers to pass legislation to codify the clarifications. 

“This interpretation can always change, which is why Congress should act,” he said. 

(Adds comment from Senator Pat Toomey beginning in 10th paragraph.)

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©2022 Bloomberg L.P.

Legion Is Said to Prepare Board Fight at SurveyMonkey Parent

(Bloomberg) — Activist investor Legion Partners Asset Management is preparing to nominate a slate of three directors to the board of SurveyMonkey parent Momentive Global Inc. as opposition mounts to its takeover by software company Zendesk Inc., according to people familiar with the matter. 

Momentive has a so-called staggered board, which means only three directors — one of whom is the company’s chief executive officer –will stand for election at this year’s annual general meeting. Los-Angeles-based Legion intends to put forth a slate to replace all three because it believes the Zendesk takeover is likely to fail and the Momentive board breached its fiduciary duty by agreeing to the terms, the people said, asking not to be identified because the matter is private. 

A representative for Legion declined to comment. A representative for Momentive wasn’t immediately available for comment.

The three Momentive board members whose terms expire this year include Alexander Lurie, who has been the San Mateo, California-based company’s CEO since 2016. Former Intuit Inc. CEO Brad Smith and Dana Evan of Icon Ventures are also up for election, according to a company filing.

Williams, Sandberg

Tennis star Serena Williams, who joined the board in 2017, isn’t up for re-election this year. Neither is Meta Platforms Inc. Chief Operating Officer Sheryl Sandberg, whose late husband Dave Goldberg was the CEO at SurveyMonkey when he died in 2015.

It’s the latest twist in a dramatic 24 hours for Momentive’s deal with Zendesk. Earlier Friday, two prominent shareholder advisory firms, Institutional Shareholder Services Inc. and Glass Lewis & Co., urged Zendesk investors to reject the transaction. While Glass Lewis recommended Momentive shareholders also vote down the deal, ISS said they should support it because of the downside risk of rejecting it. 

Those reports followed news Thursday that Zendesk itself had received and turned down a takeover offer from a group of private equity firms, saying in a statement that the proposal undervalued the company. Hellman & Friedman, Advent International and Permira made up the group that made the offer, Bloomberg News reported.

Zendesk agreed to acquire Momentive in an all-stock deal in October that was valued at about $4 billion at the time. A dramatic sell-off in the shares of both companies followed, sinking the value of the transaction to about $3.4 billion prior to Zendesk’s announcement Thursday of the takeover approach.

‘Clearly Flawed’

Legion, which owns a 1.4% stake in Momentive, had pushed the company last year to explore a sale. It immediately came out against the Zendesk transaction after it was announced because of questions about the deal’s structure and “serious concerns” about the review process that led to what Legion called Momentive’s “clearly flawed decision.”

Momentive later disclosed in a regulatory filing that it had interest from at least two other buyers who were offering cash rather than shares. According to the filing, one the parties was offering $27 a share for the company, and was open to bumping its offer by 25 cents. Instead, the company decided to pursue an all-stock deal with Zendesk valued at about $28 a share at time, which is now valued at about $25.89 a share. 

Permira was also one of the potential suitors for Momentive, Bloomberg News reported at the time.

(Updates with directors in fourth paragraph)

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Apple Boosts Retail Worker Pay to Cope With Tighter Labor Market

(Bloomberg) — Apple Inc. is bumping the pay of many U.S. retail employees in the face of a tightening tightening labor market, inflation woes and complaints from some staffers about working conditions during the Covid-19 pandemic. 

The iPhone maker announced the pay increases this week during store briefings and individual meetings with employees, according to people with knowledge of the matter. The increases are catered at least in part to employees who have worked at the company prior to the pandemic’s start in 2020 and are designed to better align veteran staff with more recent hires.

The raises, which have ranged from 2% to 10% depending on store location and role, are going to salespeople, Genius Bar technical support staff and some senior hourly workers, said the people, who asked not to be identified because the matter is private. The increases don’t apply to all employees, and not all stores have been notified of the changes yet.

A representative for Cupertino, California-based Apple declined to comment on the raises, which are set to take effect this month. The increases are separate from the company’s normal annual raises, which typically take place in October to coincide with the end of its fiscal year.

The move is Apple’s latest attempt to placate its retail staff during a challenging year. Already, the company is adding a range of benefits for part-time and full-time employees. Apple plans to offer paid vacation time for part-time employees for the first time in April, as well as more sick days and new child- and elder-care benefits, Bloomberg reported earlier this week.

Businesses across the U.S. have struggled to find workers as the economy rebounds from the pandemic. Inflation has added more pressure. The government’s consumer price index rose 7.5% in January, the fastest annual pace since 1982. In Apple’s case, some retail employees have complained about the world’s most valuable company — with a cash hoard of more than $200 billion — being slow to boost its compensation.

With the new raises, one salesperson saw compensation rise by about $2 to $25 an hour. Another worker who handles repairs saw an increase of about $3 to $24 per hour.

Though it’s rare for Apple to give raises across its retail chain, the company handed out $1,000 one-time bonuses last September to store employees hired before March 31, 2021. It also gave $500 bonuses to workers hired after that date. The company has tens of thousands of retail employees across the globe and over 500 locations.

Corporate employees have gotten their own perks. At the end of last year, the company paid as much as $180,000 in stock-based bonuses to key engineers to prevent defections to Meta Platforms Inc. and other Silicon Valley rivals. 

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TikTok Signs Lease in Downtown Austin, Business Journal Says

(Bloomberg) — TikTok Inc. has signed a lease for more than 125,000 square feet of office space in Texas’s capital city, according to the Austin Business Journal.

The video platform, owned by ByteDance Ltd., will occupy the top six floors at 300 Colorado St. in downtown, the newspaper reported, citing unidentified people familiar with the matter. The company had 96 online job listings for Austin as of Feb. 11, the report said.

TikTok would join other tech behemoths with a sizable presence in downtown Austin, including Meta Platforms Inc. and Alphabet Inc. Austin posted the nation’s fastest population increase among large cities during the decade through 2020, driven by a booming tech industry and migration from more expensive coastal cities.

The building at 300 Colorado was completed in 2021 and has about 353,000 square feet of space in total, the Austin Business Journal said.

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Glass Lewis Advises Zendesk and Momentive Shareholders to Reject Deal

(Bloomberg) — Zendesk Inc.’s plan to acquire SurveyMonkey parent Momentive Global Inc. was dealt a blow with two prominent shareholder advisory firms arguing the software company’s investors should vote against the deal. 

Glass Lewis & Co. urged investors in both Zendesk and Momentive to reject the deal so that the companies could pursue other alternatives. Institutional Shareholders Services Inc. also urged Zendesk investors to vote the deal down. But in light of the potential downside risk of rejecting the transaction, ISS said Momentive shareholders should vote in favor of it. 

“A fair read of the primary materials suggests Zendesk entered Momentive’s process late, completed diligence over a questionably brief period and offered a wealth of undervalued equity,” Glass Lewis said in its recommendation Friday.

Zendesk agreed to buy Momentive in October in an all-stock deal valued at roughly $4 billion at the time. The transaction was met with a dramatic sell-off in both companies as investors balked at the merits of the tie-up. The deal was valued at $3.4 billion on Thursday prior to Zendesk acknowledging it had been approached about a potential takeover.

A representatives for Zendesk wasn’t available for comment. Momentive said in a statement it was pleased that ISS urged support from its shareholders for the deal and the process that led to it.

Takeover Offer

Zendesk acknowledged an unsolicited offer from a group of private equity firms, that was rejected by its board, according to a statement Thursday. The firms included Hellman & Friedman, Advent International and Permira, Bloomberg News reported.

Glass Lewis said in light of the inbound interest and the sell-off of Zendesk’s shares after the deal was announced, it appeared investors could “benefit from a path forward that does not involve a combination with Momentive.”

ISS argued that the projected benefits of the deal were limited for Zendesk investors, as were the details for how those synergies would be achieved. 

“The shareholders publicly opposing the transaction have raised valid concerns that are bolstered by the market’s sharply negative reaction to the transaction’s announcement and a solid standalone narrative,” ISS said.

‘Wrong Path’

Activist investor Jana Partners called on Zendesk’s board to abandon the deal in a letter this week arguing it was the “wrong path for the company.” Another large Zendesk investor, Janus Henderson Group Plc., also opposes the plan. 

Legion Partners Asset Management has called on Momentive to terminate the deal, arguing the company neglected its fiduciary duties. The activist investor said it was prepared to nominate directors for Momentive’s board if the company didn’t walk away from the deal.

Glass Lewis argued that Momentive’s management has made “unconvincing” arguments about the merits of the transaction, and urged shareholders to oppose the deal in favor of a “structural reset.” It said from there, the company could reconsider its path forward, including as a standalone entity. 

ISS disagreed. “In light of the potential downside risk of rejecting the transaction, and the potential upside of owning 22% of the leading pure play cloud customer support company,” it makes sense to support the acquisition, it said. 

(Updates with Momentive’s comment in fifth paragraph)

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Goodyear Plunges as the Tiremaker Sees Inflation Pressures in 2022

(Bloomberg) — Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co. suffered its worse loss since Black Monday in 1987 after the company said inflationary pressures are likely to continue this year, tarnishing a quarter in which results outpaced expectations.

The tiremaker is grappling with several challenges, including rising costs, staffing difficulties and semiconductor shortages that are straining auto production, Goodyear executives said on an earnings call with analysts Friday. The company has countered rising expenses through productivity gains, but inflation will be above levels that Goodyear can offset at least through the first half of the year.

“We expect cost pressures to persist over the next several quarters,” Chief Executive Officer Richard Kramer said on a call with analysts.

The shares plunged 27% in New York, the worst rout since Oct. 19, 1987, the day of one of the sharpest market crashes in U.S. history.

Friday’s drop came even though the company reported adjusted fourth-quarter earnings of 57 cents a share, far exceeding the 32-cent average of analysts’ estimates compiled by Bloomberg. Sales jumped to $5.05 billion, Goodyear said, also topping expectations.

Cash flow this year will be around break-even, Goodyear said on the call. Analysts had predicted $471 million in free cash flow.

(Updates with stock decline beginning in first paragraph)

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Ubisoft Employees Push Back Hard on Blockchain Initiative

(Bloomberg) — A conflict between Ubisoft Entertainment SA and many of its employees over a plan to adopt crypto technologies in the company’s video games intensified this week.

The French publisher, which makes popular titles such as Assassin’s Creed, outlined its thinking on the use of blockchain technology in a message to staff on Thursday. The announcement on an internal message board prompted hundreds of negative comments from employees posted for all of their colleagues to read.

One person said it was a “deeply embarrassing day” to be an Ubisoft employee.

The company has faced criticism from fans and employees since announcing Ubisoft Quartz, a platform that allowed players of the shooter Ghost Recon to buy and sell certain equipment as nonfungible tokens. The company held a staff meeting in December to defend the plan and has since continued to move ahead despite internal uproar.

In a statement, a Ubisoft spokesperson said the company will “take the encouragement as well as the concerns to heart,” but that it wasn’t pleased the messages had been made public, adding that “sharing confidential information, including from internal forums, is a violation of our employment agreement, and, more importantly, a violation of the trust that team members place in each other to be able to freely express themselves and have candid, productive discussions.”

NFTs, which rely on blockchain technology, are controversial in the video game industry. Some game companies like Ubisoft, seeing a potential for big profits, have experimented heavily with blockchain in their titles. But many fans and game developers are opposed because of the environmental cost of mining cryptocurrencies and the sense that NFTs are full of scams and make games feel less fun and more like jobs. Several game companies have announced plans to invest in NFTs and then swiftly backtracked following harsh responses.

After posting the memo to “answer key questions about blockchain and communicate as clearly as possible,” Ubisoft updated the message with a promise to also address “current limitations and risks.”

That didn’t stop the scathing comments from pouring in.

“Are we competing with EA for the ‘Most hated Game Studio by the public’ title? Because this is how you do it,” wrote one.

“I think the kids call this entire comment section ‘being ratioed,’” wrote another. “Seriously, our confidence in management was already shaken by the handling of harassment cases, and now this?”

Some people, using their real names, even took shots at Ubisoft’s lineup. “You know what else makes a lot of money? Making fun spectacular groundbreaking blockbusters. Why don’t we focus on that instead?”

(Updates with company’s comment in fifth paragraph.)

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U.S. Says Putin May Not Wait for Olympics to End: Ukraine Update

(Bloomberg) — The U.S. said intelligence indicates Russia may attack Ukraine before the Olympics end on Feb. 20. Russia has said it has no intention of invading.

Russia pushed back after NATO and the European Union said they’d only provide a collective response to its proposals on a regional security framework. Moscow had been seeking individual replies from each member nation of the EU.

Western allies are seeking to show unity in the face of Russia’s military buildup near the Ukraine border, bolstering NATO’s eastern flank with added troops and threatening joint sanctions against Moscow if it were to invade Ukraine. U.S. President Joe Biden said conditions in the region could “go crazy quickly” as he urged Americans to leave Ukraine, and he held a call Friday with other leaders to discuss the tensions.

Russia and Belarus are holding their largest joint military exercises in years through Feb. 20 near Ukraine’s border as well as those of NATO members Poland and Lithuania. The top U.S. military official spoke with his Belarusian counterpart to avoid a “miscalculation” around the drills. 

Key Developments

  • Russia Starts Major Military Drills in Belarus as NATO Watches
  • Russia and Europe Are Vital to Each Other When It Comes to Oil
  • What we know so far about potential U.S.-EU sanctions on Russia
  • Where Military Forces Are Assembling Around Russia and Ukraine
  • EU to Send Russia Joint Security Reply, Snubbing Lavrov Demand

All times CET.

Oil Surges to $95 as Ukraine Tensions Stoke Concerns (8:46 p.m.)

 Brent oil soared to $95 a barrel for the first time since 2014 as political tensions between Ukraine and Russia intensified concern about tight global supplies. 

The global benchmark jumped as much as 4.7%, while U.S. prices also climbed. A potential Russian invasion of Ukraine could not only disrupt crude supplies but also could spark retaliatory sanctions by the U.S.

U.S. Warns of Potential Russia Attack on Ukraine Within Days (8:20 p.m.)

National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan said the U.S. believes Russian President Vladimir Putin could order an attack on Ukraine before the Olympics end on Feb. 20.

“We continue to see signs of Russian escalation, including new forces arriving at the Ukrainian border,” Sullivan told reporters at the White House. “I will not comment on the details of our intelligence information, but I do want to be clear, it could begin during the Olympics despite a lot of speculation that it will only happen after the Olympics.”

The actions by Russia could include causing a provocation in the Donbas region, where Ukraine’s military has been fighting for years against separatists backed by Moscow, or attacking the country’s capital, Kyiv, officials familiar with the matter said. They said any action could start as soon as Tuesday.

He said Americans in Ukraine should leave “as soon as possible and in any event in the next 24 to 48 hours.”

Sullivan added that the U.S. still doesn’t know Putin’s final intentions on Ukraine.

More Nations Urge Citizens to Leave Ukraine (7:37 p.m.)

A growing number of nations have ordered — or strongly urged — their citizens to leave Ukraine as tensions grow over the confrontation with Russia.

The U.K. Foreign Office said in an updated advisory that it “now advises against all travel to Ukraine. British nationals in Ukraine should leave now while commercial means are still available.” South Korea issued a ban on travel to Ukraine and an advisory that citizens should depart. Israel is evacuating the families of its diplomats from Kyiv, Israeli reporter Barak Ravid said in a tweet. 

President Joe Biden told NBC News in an interview excerpt that aired Thursday that “American citizens should leave now” because “things could go crazy quickly.”

U.K.’s Wallace Meets Russia Counterparts, Says Talks Constructive (5:55 p.m.)

U.K. Defense Secretary Ben Wallace said he received fresh assurances Russia won’t invade Ukraine, having held talks Friday with Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu and Chief of the Russian General Staff Valery Gerasimov in Moscow. Still, Russian forces have the capability to attack Ukraine “at any time,” he told reporters.

The talks with Shoigu were constructive and frank, Wallace said. “He is a professional, he is a very experienced minister, as is General Gerasimov. And when they say to me they are not going to invade Ukraine we will take that seriously. But as I have also said, we will look at the actions that accompany it.”

U.S. and Allies Set to Speak By Phone Friday on Russia Tensions (3:56 p.m.)

Western leaders will hold a joint call at 5pm CET on Russia’s military buildup, according to statements from the U.S. and others confirming a Bloomberg report from Thursday. Alongside the so-called NATO Quint group — U.S., Germany, France, Italy and the U.K. — the leaders of Poland, Romania, Canada and the EU will take part.

The Quint group has convened numerous times in recent weeks at different levels to coordinate on talks with the Kremlin and discuss a potential package of sanctions in the event Russia attacked Ukraine. The call also follows a flurry of diplomacy this week including a visit to both Russia and Ukraine by French President Emmanuel Macron. 

Russia Navy Exercises Cause Unease Among Grain Shippers (3:31 p.m.)

Ukraine’s grain shippers echoed assurances from the economy ministry that Russian naval drills shouldn’t block access to the nation’s ports, but warned that the uncertainty risks deterring some vessel owners. 

Moscow will begin full-scale naval exercises in the Black Sea on Sunday, after announcing the start of drills on Thursday. That unnerved commodity markets as Ukraine is the world’s No. 2 grain shipper. 

The drills, to take place in blocks of international waters as well as those claimed since 2014 by Russia along the coast of Crimea, should leave space for ships to reach ports such as Odessa and Chornomorsk via the 12 mile (19.3-kilometer) territorial waters of Romania and Ukraine. But the exercises have further fueled market fears that Russia’s military buildup could yet spiral into a conflict, said Mykola Horbachov, president of Ukraine’s Grain Association.

Ukraine Grain Shippers Say Russian Drills Risk Deterring Vessels

Russia Says Can’t Accept EU, NATO Answers (1:42 p.m.) 

Russia said it won’t accept the collective response of NATO and the European Union to its proposals on European security.

The demand for the respect of the principle of “indivisible security” in Europe was made in a letter sent by Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov to his counterparts in 37 countries in Europe and North America, the Foreign Ministry said in a website statement.

Instead of individual answers, Russia has received letters from NATO chief Jens Stoltenberg and the EU’s foreign policy chief, said the ministry, which added that it is “waiting for a detailed response to the question we posed from every addressee.”

White House in Touch With Chip Sector (1:23 p.m.)

Officials with the White House’s National Security Council contacted the U.S. chip industry about supplies from Russia and Ukraine, Reuters reported Friday. 

The NSC urged seeking alternative supplies in case Moscow blocks access to semiconductor-grade neon from Ukraine or palladium from Russia. 

NATO Chief Cites Potential for Hybrid Attack on Ukraine Government (11:31 a.m.)

NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg cited the “real risk” of conflict as Russia’s military buildup continues. The military alliance chief said potential scenarios include hybrid warfare or attempts to bring down Ukraine’s government. 

“There’s a risk for a full-fledged invasion, but there’s also a risk for other types of aggressive actions, including attempts to topple the government in Kyiv, hybrid cyberattacks, and many other types of Russian aggression,” Stoltenberg told reporters in Romania at an air base near the Black Sea. 

Speaking alongside Romanian President Klaus Iohannis, Stoltenberg said allies would seek an expanded presence on NATO’s southeastern flank, including battalion-sized battle groups in Romania and elsewhere.

Blinken Says Asia is Watching Ukraine Tension (10:11 a.m.) 

U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken said the world’s response to the Ukraine crisis was being watched by “others,” in a pointed reference to China’s territorial claims in Asia. 

Blinken said countries shouldn’t change the borders of other nations by force or dictate to another government. If these actions are allowed it affects basic principles established after two World Wars and the Cold War, he added in remarks to reporters after meeting with Quad foreign ministers in Melbourne.  

Saab CEO Sees Defense Interest Rising (10:20 a.m.) 

Swedish defense group Saab AB is seeing greater interest from countries looking to improve their defense abilities in the light of rising political tensions in parts of Europe. 

While purchases of Saab’s flagship jet fighter typically take years to fulfill, products like sensors for monitoring or ammunition for support weapons and missile systems are examples of orders that customers want to place quickly, Chief Executive Officer Micael Johansson said Friday following the company’s fourth-quarter results.  

U.S., Belarus Army Chiefs Spoke to Avoid Drill ‘Miscalculation’ (9:13 a.m.)

Chairman of the U.S. Joint Chiefs of Staff Mark Milley spoke by phone with Belarusian counterpart Viktor Gulevich on Thursday to discuss “security issues,” the Belarusian defense ministry said on its website, adding that the conversation was initiated by the American side.

The call was done to “reduce chances of miscalculation” during the large Russia-Belarus joint drills now under way in Belarus, the Pentagon said in a readout. 

Thousands of troops backed by tanks, fighter aircraft and advanced S-400 missile-defense systems are involved in the exercises in Belarus, set to run until Feb. 20. 

Russia Duma Mulls Appeal To Recognize Donbas Separatists (6:53 a.m.) 

The lower house of Russia’s parliament will start talks on a proposal to formally recognize separatist authorities in Ukraine’s Donbas, a move that, if approved, could hamper peace efforts and fuel tensions.

Speaker Vyacheslav Volodin said the State Duma’s council will decide Monday how to proceed with a proposal made in January to vote on an appeal to President Vladimir Putin to recognize the so-called People’s Republics in Donetsk and Luhansk.

Russia has supported the breakaway quasi-states militarily and financially since their formation in 2014, though officially it denies that and backs a peace plan that calls for their reintegration into Ukraine. Recognition could complicate efforts to implement that pact and potentially pave the way for Moscow to openly supply more weapons to the republics, something the ruling party has already proposed. The timeline for any possible moves toward recognition remains unclear. 

Talks in Berlin Fail to Reach Accord, May Resume (12:45 a.m.) 

Talks intended to revive the 2015 Minsk accord to end the conflict in eastern Ukraine ended Thursday after more than nine hours with no report of progress, but a Ukrainian official said they could restart “soon.” 

Diplomats close to the talks said the next meeting would be in March. Russia and Ukraine accuse each other of failing to adhere to the 2015 agreement to halt fighting in Ukraine’s Donbas region. 

Dmitry Kozak, an aide to Russian President Vladimir Putin, told reporters in Berlin that “we deeply regret” the current situation remaining in a “stalemate.”  

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