US Business

Stocks slump, dollar surges on recession fears

Global stock markets mostly sank Wednesday and the dollar soared as investors fretted over recession fears and heightened Ukraine tensions.

“With the prospect of a sharp economic slowdown, further pain for households and businesses, and investor sentiment on its knees, alas equities markets continue their descent,” said AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

The major Asian markets all closed down, and European stocks were down through afternoon trading.

The US was the exception, with markets edging up slightly at the open.

The British pound slumped 1.7 percent against the haven dollar — despite the Bank of England snapping up UK government bonds to try to bring calm to markets.

However, the UK government’s 30-year bond yield managed to retreat to 4.44 percent, having hit a 1998 peak at 5.14 percent.

The BoE intervention followed rare criticism Tuesday from the International Monetary Fund, which argued that Britain’s recent budget could increase inequality and worsen inflation.

Credit ratings agency Moody’s also waded in overnight with a warning about soaring debt.

New finance minister Kwasi Kwarteng’s tax-cutting plan last week sent shockwaves through markets, pushing the pound to a record low and leading to dire warnings for Britain’s economy.

“The BoE’s intervention is an attempt to soothe investor nerves after they were spooked by last week’s mini-budget,” said City Index analyst Fawad Razaqzada.

– Go-to dollar –

The dollar remains the go-to unit as the US Federal Reserve leads the way in raising interest rates.

Observers are betting that US borrowing costs will peak at around 4.75 percent next year, and are expected to remain elevated for some time.

The prospect of such tight monetary policy has battered equities, as US 10-year Treasury yields — a gauge of future rates — hit four percent for the first time since 2010.

“Fear of tightening-induced recessions has wiped out the recovery we saw in stock markets over the bulk of the summer as investors were once again burned by an over-eagerness to catch the bottom in the market, despite there being little evidence of it being justified,” said OANDA’s Craig Erlam.

“That fear has now gripped the markets and we may see a little more caution going forward,” he said.

Sentiment was also rattled by worries about developments in Ukraine, after Kremlin-installed authorities in four regions under Russian control claimed victory in annexation votes, with Moscow warning it could use nuclear weapons to defend the territories.

Ukraine and its allies have denounced the so-called referendums as a sham, saying the West would never recognise the results.

– Key figures at around 1345 GMT –

London – FTSE 100: DOWN 0.3 percent at 6,984.59 points

Frankfurt – DAX: DOWN 0.3 percent at 12104.37 

Paris – CAC 40: DOWN 0.5 percent at 5,728.16 

EURO STOXX 50: DOWN 0.4 percent at 3,315.49

New York – Dow: UP 0.2 percent at 29,193.25 

Tokyo – Nikkei 225: DOWN 1.5 percent at 26,173.98 (close)

Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: DOWN 3.4 percent at 17,250.88 (close)

Shanghai – Composite: DOWN 1.6 percent at 3,045.07 (close)

Pound/dollar: DOWN at $1.0655 from $1.0730 on Tuesday

Euro/dollar: DOWN at $0.9587 from $0.9595

Euro/pound: UP at 90.67 pence from 89.39 pence 

Dollar/yen: DOWN at 144.43 yen from 144.81 yen

Brent North Sea crude: UP 0.1 percent at $85.67 per barrel

West Texas Intermediate: UP 1.0 percent at $79.46 per barrel

burs-rfj/rox/cdw

BoE intervenes as IMF criticises UK budget

The Bank of England stepped in Wednesday to shore up market confidence after the International Monetary Fund criticised Britain’s inflation-fighting budget.

In a surprise move, the BoE announced it was temporarily buying up long-dated UK government bonds “to restore orderly market conditions”.

The pound promptly slumped 1.7 percent to $1.0552 before clawing back ground.

There was respite elsewhere, with the UK government’s 30-year bond yield retreating to 4.44 percent, having hit a 1998 peak at 5.14 percent.

The BoE intervention followed criticism Tuesday from the IMF, which argued that Britain’s budget could increase inequality and worsen inflation.

Credit ratings agency Moody’s also waded in overnight with a warning about soaring debt.

– ‘Finally intervenes’ –

“So, the Bank of England finally intervenes after coming under so much pressure to act,” said City Index analyst Fawad Razaqzada.

“The BoE’s intervention is an attempt to soothe investor nerves after they were spooked by last week’s mini-budget.”

Finance minister Kwasi Kwarteng’s big tax cuts and energy price freeze, aimed at boosting the UK’s recession-threatened economy, appeared to have had the opposite effect as traders warn of ballooning debt to pay for the incentives.

Following last Friday’s budget, UK bond yields soared and the pound hit a record low at $1.0350, perilously close to parity.

Critics added that Kwarteng’s measures would benefit the rich more than the poorest, as millions of Britons suffer from a cost-of-living crisis.

“We have acted at speed to protect households and businesses through this winter and the next, following the unprecedented energy price rise,” the Treasury said after the IMF criticism.

“We are focused on growing the economy to raise living standards for everyone,” it added, blaming sky-high oil, gas and electricity prices on Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

– IMF advice –

In a highly unusual intervention, the IMF late Tuesday said it was “closely monitoring” developments and urged the government in London led by new Prime Minister Liz Truss to change tack.

The Fund added: “We understand that the sizable fiscal package announced aims at helping families and businesses deal with the energy shock and at boosting growth via tax cuts and supply measures.

“However, given elevated inflation pressures in many countries… we do not recommend large and untargeted fiscal packages at this juncture.”

The IMF said the “UK measures will likely increase inequality” and stressed the importance of fiscal policy not working “at cross purposes to monetary policy”.

Analysts warned that Britain’s controversial measures could force the BoE to hike interest rates far higher than forecast.

“Expectations that there will be a super-size interest rate hike coming from the Bank of England to try and counter the government splurge on tax cuts and spending have increased,” Hargreaves Lansdown analyst Susannah Streeter noted Wednesday.

Many central banks, including the BoE, are aggressively hiking interest rates in a bid to cool decades-high inflation. 

The BoE on Wednesday warned there was a “material risk to UK financial stability” should current market conditions continue.

Purchases “will be carried out on whatever scale is necessary”, added the bank headed by governor Andrew Bailey.

– Tax cuts –

In his budget, Chancellor of the Exchequer Kwarteng cut the highest rate of income tax and scrapped a cap on banker bonuses.

He also, however, announced a plan to lower income tax for all workers.

Conservative party head Truss appointed Kwarteng to replace Rishi Sunak, who reached the final two in the race to be prime minister.

Sunak had hit out strongly at Truss’s promise of tax cuts, arguing that the UK priority was to first bring down the nation’s inflation rate that stands at a near 40-year high of 9.9 percent. 

Moody’s called Britain’s new fiscal policy regime “credit negative”, adding that a sustained confidence shock could “permanently” weaken its debt affordability.

Kwarteng has said he would wait until November 23 to outline plans on controlling government debt.

Menacing Florida, Hurricane Ian nears catastrophic Category 5

Hurricane Ian intensified to just shy of catastrophic Category 5 strength Wednesday as its heavy winds began pummelling the US state of Florida, with forecasters warning of life-threatening storm surges after leaving millions without power in Cuba.

Mandatory evacuation orders had been issued in a dozen coastal Florida counties, with voluntary evacuation recommended in several others, according to the state’s emergency officials as they girded for a potentially historic storm.

In a pre-dawn advisory the US National Hurricane Center (NHC) said “Ian has strengthened into an extremely dangerous Category 4 hurricane,” warning later of “catastrophic storm surge, winds, and flooding.”

At 7:00 am (1100 GMT) it said “data from a Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 155 miles (250 kilometers) per hour” — just shy of Category 5, the strongest category on the Saffir-Simpson scale.

“This is going to be a nasty, nasty day, two days,” Governor Ron DeSantis said early Wednesday as he warned residents of a “rough stretch” ahead for Florida.

“It could make landfall as a Category 5, but clearly this is a very powerful major hurricane that’s going to have major impacts, both on… southwest Florida but as it continues to work through the state.”

The NHC for its part said Ian was “rapidly intensifying,” while conditions along the Florida coast were “rapidly deteriorating.”

Tropical storm-strength winds were already battering the Florida Keys, as the storm was expected to make landfall later Wednesday near Fort Myers and Port Charlotte, along the state’s west coast, before moving across central Florida and emerging in the Atlantic Ocean by late Thursday.

With up to two feet (61 centimeters) of rain expected to fall on parts of the so-called Sunshine State, and a storm surge that could reach devastating levels of 12 to 16 feet (3.6 to 4.9 meters) above ground, authorities were warning of catastrophic conditions.

“This is a life-threatening situation,” the NHC warned.

DeSantis said on Tuesday night that there had already been at least two “radar-indicated tornadoes” in the state, and warned those in areas projected to be hit hardest that their “time to evacuate is coming to an end.”

Calls to heed evacuation warnings were echoed by US President Joe Biden, who earlier said Ian “could be a very severe hurricane, life-threatening and devastating in its impact.”

White House Press Secretary Karine Jean-Pierre said Biden had spoken with DeSantis — a potential 2024 election challenger — Tuesday evening to discuss storm preparations.

– Widespread blackout –

Ian plunged all of Cuba into darkness on Tuesday after battering the country’s west as a Category 3 for more than five hours before moving back out over the Gulf of Mexico, the Insmet meteorological institute said.

The storm damaged Cuba’s power network and left the island “without electrical service,” state electricity company Union Electrica said.

Only the few people with gasoline-powered generators had access to electricity on the island of more than 11 million people. Others had to make do with flashlights or candles at home, and lit their way with cell phones as they walked the streets.

In the western city of Pinar del Rio, AFP footage showed downed power lines, flooded streets and damaged rooftops.

“Desolation and destruction. These are terrifying hours. Nothing is left here,” a 70-year-old resident of the city was quoted as saying in a social media post by his journalist son, Lazaro Manuel Alonso.

About 40,000 people were evacuated across Pinar del Rio province, which bore the brunt of the storm, local authorities said.

Cuban residents described “destruction” and posted images on social media of flooded streets and felled trees.

At least two people died in Pinar del Rio province, Cuban state media reported.

In Consolacion del Sur, southwest of Havana, 65-year-old Caridad Fernandez said her roof was seriously damaged and water came through her front door.

“Everything we have is damaged,” she said. “But we’ll get through this, we’ll just keep moving forwards.”

– ‘Life and death’ –

In the US, the Pentagon said 3,200 national guardsmen had been called up in Florida, with another 1,800 on the way.

Authorities in several municipalities were distributing sandbags to help residents protect their homes from flooding.

Tampa International Airport suspended operations from Tuesday at 5 pm.

NASA, on the state’s east coast, also took precautions, rolling back its massive Moon rocket into a storage hanger for protection.

Like DeSantis, FEMA administrator Deanne Criswell highlighted the danger of storm surge, saying it was the agency’s “biggest concern.”

“If people are told to evacuate by their local officials, please listen to them. The decision you choose to make may be the difference between life and death,” she said.

Stocks slump, dollar surges on recession fears

Global stock markets sank Wednesday and the dollar soared as investors fretted over recession fears and heightened Ukraine tensions.

“With the prospect of a sharp economic slowdown, further pain for households and businesses, and investor sentiment on its knees, alas equities markets continue their descent,” said AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

The haven dollar held at multi-year highs against rival currencies, with the euro plumbing a new 20-year low at $0.9536.

The British pound slumped 1.7 percent against the greenback — despite the Bank of England snapping up UK government bonds to try and bring calm to markets.

However, the UK government’s 30-year bond yield managed to retreat to 4.44 percent, having hit a 1998 peak at 5.14 percent.

The BoE intervention followed criticism Tuesday from the International Monetary Fund, which argued that Britain’s recent budget could increase inequality and worsen inflation.

New finance minister Kwasi Kwarteng’s tax-cutting plan last week sent shockwaves through markets, pushing the pound to a record low and leading to dire warnings for Britain’s economy.

The dollar remains the go-to unit as the US Federal Reserve leads the way in raising interest rates.

Observers are betting that US borrowing costs will peak at around 4.75 percent next year, and are expected to remain elevated for some time.

The prospect of such tight monetary policy has battered equities, as US 10-year Treasury yields — a gauge of future rates — hit four percent for the first time since 2010.

Sentiment was also rattled by worries about developments in Ukraine, after Kremlin-installed authorities in four regions under Russian control claimed victory in annexation votes, with Moscow warning it could use nuclear weapons to defend the territories.

Ukraine and its allies have denounced the so-called referendums as a sham, saying the West would never recognise the results.

– Key figures at around 1145 GMT –

London – FTSE 100: DOWN 0.8 percent at 6,927.75 points

Frankfurt – DAX: DOWN 1.5 percent at 11,961.92

Paris – CAC 40: DOWN 1.4 percent at 5,675.32

EURO STOXX 50: DOWN 1.5 percent at 3,279.53

Tokyo – Nikkei 225: DOWN 1.5 percent at 26,173.98 (close)

Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: DOWN 3.4 percent at 17,250.88 (close)

Shanghai – Composite: DOWN 1.6 percent at 3,045.07 (close)

New York – Dow: DOWN 0.4 percent at 29,134.99 (close)

Pound/dollar: DOWN at $1.0569 from $1.0730 on Tuesday

Euro/dollar: DOWN at $0.9556 from $0.9595

Euro/pound: UP at 90.41 pence from 89.39 pence 

Dollar/yen: DOWN at 144.76 yen from 144.81 yen

Brent North Sea crude: UP 0.1 percent at $86.36 per barrel

West Texas Intermediate: UP 0.5 percent at $78.86 per barrel

burs-rfj/bcp/rox

Stocks slump, dollar surges on recession fears

Global stock markets sank Wednesday and the dollar soared as investors fretted over recession fears and heightened Ukraine tensions.

“With the prospect of a sharp economic slowdown, further pain for households and businesses, and investor sentiment on its knees, alas equities markets continue their descent,” said AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

The haven dollar held at multi-year highs against rival currencies, with the euro plumbing a new 20-year low at $0.9536.

The British pound slumped 1.7 percent against the greenback — despite the Bank of England snapping up UK government bonds to try and bring calm to markets.

However, the UK government’s 30-year bond yield managed to retreat to 4.44 percent, having hit a 1998 peak at 5.14 percent.

The BoE intervention followed criticism Tuesday from the International Monetary Fund, which argued that Britain’s recent budget could increase inequality and worsen inflation.

New finance minister Kwasi Kwarteng’s tax-cutting plan last week sent shockwaves through markets, pushing the pound to a record low and leading to dire warnings for Britain’s economy.

The dollar remains the go-to unit as the US Federal Reserve leads the way in raising interest rates.

Observers are betting that US borrowing costs will peak at around 4.75 percent next year, and are expected to remain elevated for some time.

The prospect of such tight monetary policy has battered equities, as US 10-year Treasury yields — a gauge of future rates — hit four percent for the first time since 2010.

Sentiment was also rattled by worries about developments in Ukraine, after Kremlin-installed authorities in four regions under Russian control claimed victory in annexation votes, with Moscow warning it could use nuclear weapons to defend the territories.

Ukraine and its allies have denounced the so-called referendums as a sham, saying the West would never recognise the results.

– Key figures at around 1145 GMT –

London – FTSE 100: DOWN 0.8 percent at 6,927.75 points

Frankfurt – DAX: DOWN 1.5 percent at 11,961.92

Paris – CAC 40: DOWN 1.4 percent at 5,675.32

EURO STOXX 50: DOWN 1.5 percent at 3,279.53

Tokyo – Nikkei 225: DOWN 1.5 percent at 26,173.98 (close)

Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: DOWN 3.4 percent at 17,250.88 (close)

Shanghai – Composite: DOWN 1.6 percent at 3,045.07 (close)

New York – Dow: DOWN 0.4 percent at 29,134.99 (close)

Pound/dollar: DOWN at $1.0569 from $1.0730 on Tuesday

Euro/dollar: DOWN at $0.9556 from $0.9595

Euro/pound: UP at 90.41 pence from 89.39 pence 

Dollar/yen: DOWN at 144.76 yen from 144.81 yen

Brent North Sea crude: UP 0.1 percent at $86.36 per barrel

West Texas Intermediate: UP 0.5 percent at $78.86 per barrel

burs-rfj/bcp/rox

BoE intervenes as IMF criticises UK budget

The Bank of England stepped in Wednesday to shore up market confidence after the International Monetary Fund criticised Britain’s inflation-fighting budget.

Reacting to markets turmoil, the BoE announced it was temporarily buying up long-dated UK government bonds “to restore orderly market conditions”.

However, the pound promptly slumped 1.7 percent to $1.0552.

The BoE intervention followed criticism Tuesday from the IMF, which argued that Britain’s budget could increase inequality and worsen inflation.

Credit ratings agency Moody’s also waded in overnight with a warning about soaring debt.

Finance minister Kwasi Kwarteng’s big tax cuts and energy price freeze, aimed at boosting the UK’s recession-threatened economy, appeared to have had the opposite effect as traders warn of ballooning debt to pay for the incentives.

Following last Friday’s budget, UK government bond yields have soared and the pound hit a record low at $1.0350.

Critics added that Kwarteng’s measures would benefit the rich more than the poorest, as millions of Britons suffer from a cost-of-living crisis.

“We have acted at speed to protect households and businesses through this winter and the next, following the unprecedented energy price rise,” the Treasury said as it sought to defend itself.

“We are focused on growing the economy to raise living standards for everyone,” it added, blaming sky-high oil, gas and electricity prices on Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

– IMF advice –

In a highly unusual intervention, the IMF late Tuesday said it was “closely monitoring” developments and urged the government in London led by new Prime Minister Liz Truss to change tack.

The Fund added: “We understand that the sizable fiscal package announced aims at helping families and businesses deal with the energy shock and at boosting growth via tax cuts and supply measures.

“However, given elevated inflation pressures in many countries… we do not recommend large and untargeted fiscal packages at this juncture.”

The IMF said the “UK measures will likely increase inequality” and stressed the importance of fiscal policy not working “at cross purposes to monetary policy”.

Analysts warned that Britain’s controversial measures could force the Bank of England to hike interest rates far higher than forecast.

“Expectations that there will be a super-size interest rate hike coming from the Bank of England to try and counter the government splurge on tax cuts and spending have increased,” Hargreaves Lansdown analyst Susannah Streeter noted Wednesday.

Many central banks, including the BoE, are aggressively hiking interest rates in a bid to cool decades-high inflation. 

– Tax cuts –

In his budget, Chancellor of the Exchequer Kwarteng cut the highest rate of income tax and scrapped a cap of banker bonuses.

He also, however, announced a plan to lower income tax for all workers.

Conservative party head Truss appointed Kwarteng to replace Rishi Sunak, who reached the final two in the race to be prime minister.

Sunak had hit out strongly at Truss’s promise of tax cuts, arguing that the UK priority was to first bring down the nation’s inflation rate that stands at a near 40-year high of 9.9 percent. 

Moody’s called Britain’s new fiscal policy regime “credit negative”, adding that a sustained confidence shock could “permanently” weaken its debt affordability.

Kwarteng has said he would wait until November 23 to outline plans on controlling government debt.

Turkey bows to US pressure, cuts Russian bank ties

Turkey’s booming wartime trade with Moscow took a giant step back on Wednesday with confirmation that the last three banks still processing Russian card payments were pulling out under pressure from Washington.

The decision follows weeks of increasingly blunt warnings from the United States for NATO member Turkey to either limit its economic relations with Russia or face the threat of sanctions itself.

The US Treasury said last week that Turkish banks working with Russian Mir bank cards “risk supporting Russia’s efforts to evade US sanctions”.

Two private Turkish lenders that began processing Mir after Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan met Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin in August suspended the transactions earlier this month.

But three state lenders — Halkbank, Vakifbank and Ziraatbank — still worked with the cards.

A senior Turkish official did not say when Russians would no longer be able to access their cards in Turkey at all.

The three banks “are still processing (the outstanding) payments, but they have set a future date” for pulling out, the official said on condition of anonymity because no formal decision by the three bank has been announced.

The Kremlin on Wednesday condemned Washington for forcing Turkish banks to cut their Russian ties.

“They are threatened with secondary sanctions on the banking system. And this decision, of course, was made under this unprecedented pressure,” Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said.

– Shift in tone –

The explosion of Turkish trade with Russia during the seven-month war in Ukraine has been a source of growing irritation for Washington.

The value of trade between the two rose by more than 50 percent. Turkey has also agreed to pay for a quarter of its Russian natural gas imports in rubles.

US Deputy Secretary of the Treasury Wally Adeyemo paid a rare visit to Ankara and Istanbul in June to express Washington’s worries that Russian oligarchs and big businesses were using Turkish entities to evade Western sanctions.

The Treasury sent a follow up letter to Turkish banks and businesses in August warning that they cannot expect to have “access to the US dollar and other major currencies” if they trade with sanctioned Russians.

Turkey has tried to stay neutral in the Ukrainian conflict and refused to sign up to Western sanctions against Russia.

It has used this status to strike a range of economic agreements that have helped prop up the ailing economy in the run-up to June elections in which Erdogan will struggle to extend his two-decade grip on power.

Mir cards offer millions of Russians that vacation in Turkey each year a way to access their rubles and pay for everything from restaurants to hotels.

They are also increasingly important to Russians who are fleeing to Turkey as part of a new migration wave of men trying to avoid the draft.

– ‘Fear of secondary sanctions’ –

Prominent Russian sanctions campaigner Bill Browder — a businessman who left Moscow after one of his associates died in jail — said the Turkish bank decision showed that the “fear of secondary sanctions is starting to work”.

“Turkish banks have abandoned Putin’s Mir payment system out of fear of being punished by the US,” Browder tweeted.

“We need to roll this out far and wide. Chinese, Indian UAE and many other countries should understand there will be consequences.”

Russia developed Mir in 2015 to circumvent Western sanctions imposed following its annexation of Ukraine’s Crimea peninsula.

But Russian central bank chief Elvira Nabiullina conceded earlier this month that Moscow was encountering “difficulties” expanding its payment system around the world.

Uzbekistan suspended Mir transactions last Friday citing unspecified “technical procedures”.

The card still works in Belarus and a handful of Russia’s closest allies.

Visa and Mastercard no longer issue new cards in Russia or process foreign payments on the cards acquired before the war.

EU sees sabotage in gas pipe leaks, Norway hikes security

The EU said Wednesday that leaks from two Russia-Germany undersea gas pipelines appeared to be “a deliberate act”, as fossil fuel-rich Norway boosted security at its installations.

The three outflows from the Nord Stream 1 and 2 pipelines have sent natural gas prices soaring, exacerbating an energy crunch in Europe as it stands on the threshold to winter.

Methane gas from the leaks are bubbling to the surface of the Baltic Sea close to Denmark and Sweden in discharges expected to last for a week, until depletion of the gas in the pipelines.

Europe suspects the leaks to be from sabotage. 

They “are not a coincidence,” EU foreign policy chief Josep Borrell said in a statement. “All available information indicates those leaks are the result of a deliberate act.”

He warned: “Any deliberate disruption of European energy infrastructure is utterly unacceptable and will be met with a robust and united response.”

Suspicion has focused on Russia, which has cut gas supplies to Europe in retaliation for severe Western sanctions over the war in Ukraine.

But the Kremlin hit back, saying it was “stupid and absurd” to accuse Russia of causing the leaks.

EU chiefs Ursula von der Leyen and Charles Michel have both blamed the Nord Stream leaks on sabotage.

Michel on Wednesday tweeted that they “appear to be an attempt to further destabilise energy supply to EU”.

He added: “Those responsible will be held fully accountable and made to pay.”

The EU is currently mulling further sanctions on Russia for annexation votes imposed on four regions in Ukraine its forces occupy.

– Weeks before inspection –

Neither of the Nord Stream pipelines are currently operational, but they were full with gas when they were hit with what Swedish seismologists said were “massive releases of energy”.

One of the seismologists told AFP “there isn’t much else than a blast that could cause it”.

Danish Defence Minister Morten Bodskov told reporters in Brussels that “it can easily take one or two weeks for the area to calm down enough” for an inspection to verify the cause.

Two Danish military vessels have been sent to the area.

Non-EU member Norway, which has now overtaken Russia as the biggest supplier of gas to Europe, said it will beef up security around its oil and gas facilities.

“The government has decided to put measures in place to increase security at infrastructure sites, land terminals and platforms on the Norwegian continental shelf,” Norwegian Energy Minister Terje Aasland said.

The Norwegian Petroleum Safety Authority earlier this week called for “increased vigilance from all operators and shipping companies on the continental shelf”.

Built in parallel to the Nord Stream 1 pipeline, Nord Stream 2 was intended to double the capacity for Russian gas imports to Germany.

But Berlin blocked newly completed Nord Stream 2 in the days before the war.

Germany, which has been highly dependent on imports of fossil fuels from Russia to meet its energy needs, has since come under acute stress as Moscow’s supplies dwindle.

Sweden and Poland agree sabotage is the most likely cause of the Nord Stream leaks, with Warsaw suggesting Russia was probably the culprit, to escalate the war in Ukraine.

The United States said it was looking into the leaks, with Secretary of State Antony Blinken telling reporters that, if sabotage were confirmed, “that’s clearly in no one’s interest”.

The US has pledged to help European allies on energy security, and is already shipping what liquified natural gas it has to spare to the EU.

Turkey bows to US pressure, cuts Russian bank ties

Turkey’s booming wartime trade with Moscow took a giant step back on Wednesday with confirmation that the last three banks still processing Russian card payments were pulling out under pressure from Washington.

The decision follows weeks of increasingly blunt warnings from the United States for NATO member Turkey to either limit its economic relations with Russia or face the threat of sanctions itself.

The US Treasury said last week that Turkish banks working with Russian Mir bank cards “risk supporting Russia’s efforts to evade US sanctions”.

Two private Turkish lenders that began processing Mir after Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan met Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin in August suspended the transactions earlier this month.

But three state lenders — Halkbank, Vakifbank and Ziraatbank — still worked with the cards.

A senior Turkish official did not say when Russians would no longer be able to access their cards in Turkey at all.

The three banks “are still processing (the outstanding) payments, but they have set a future date” for pulling out, the official said on condition of anonymity because no formal decision by the three bank has been announced.

The decision follows a meeting headed by Erdogan last Friday that officially focused on looking at “alternatives” to the Russian cards.

– Shift in tone –

The explosion of Turkish trade with Russia during the seven-month war in Ukraine has been a source of growing irritation for Washington.

The value of trade between the two rose by more than 50 percent. Turkey has also agreed to pay for a quarter of its Russian natural gas imports in rubles.

US Deputy Secretary of the Treasury Wally Adeyemo paid a rare visit to Ankara and Istanbul in June to express Washington’s worries that Russian oligarchs and big businesses were using Turkish entities to evade Western sanctions.

The Treasury sent a follow up letter to Turkish banks and businesses in August warning that they cannot expect to have “access to the US dollar and other major currencies” if they trade with sanctioned Russians.

Turkey has tried to stay neutral in the Ukrainian conflict and refused to sign up to Western sanctions against Russia.

It has used this status to strike a range of economic agreements that have helped prop up the ailing economy in the run-up to June elections in which Erdogan will struggle to extend his two-decade grip on power.

Mir cards offer millions of Russians that vacation in Turkey each year a way to access their rubles and pay for everything from restaurants to hotels.

They are also increasingly important to Russians who are fleeing to Turkey as part of a new migration wave of men trying to avoid the draft.

But analysts note a shift in Turkey’s tone away from Russia in the past few weeks.

Ankara last week strongly condemned the “illegitimate” polls the Kremlin is using as a pretext to annex four Ukrainian regions now under partial Russian control.

– ‘Fear of secondary sanctions’ –

Prominent Russian sanctions campaigner Bill Browder — a businessman who left Moscow after one of his associates died in jail — said the Turkish bank decision showed that the “fear of secondary sanctions is starting to work”.

“Turkish banks have abandoned Putin’s Mir payment system out of fear of being punished by the US,” Browder tweeted.

“We need to roll this out far and wide. Chinese, Indian UAE and many other countries should understand there will be consequences.”

Russia developed Mir in 2015 to circumvent Western sanctions imposed following its annexation of Ukraine’s Crimea peninsula.

But Russian central bank chief Elvira Nabiullina conceded earlier this month that Moscow was encountering “difficulties” expanding its payment system around the world.

Uzbekistan suspended Mir transactions last Friday citing unspecified “technical procedures”.

The card still works in Belarus and a handful of Russia’s closest allies.

Visa and Mastercard no longer issue new cards in Russia or process foreign payments on the cards acquired before the war.

Hurricane Ian strengthens to Category 4 as it barrels toward Florida

Hurricane Ian strengthened to a Category 4 storm as it headed towards the US state of Florida on Wednesday, with forecasters warning of life-threatening storm surges and “devastating” winds after it reportedly killed two and left millions without power in Cuba.

As of 5 am (0900 GMT), mandatory evacuation orders had been issued in a dozen coastal Florida counties, with voluntary evacuation recommended in several others, according to the state’s emergency officials.

In an advisory issued around the same time, the US National Hurricane Center (NHC) said “Ian has strengthened into an extremely dangerous Category 4 hurricane.”

“Very recent data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that the maximum sustained winds have increased to near 140 mph (220 km/h) with higher gusts,” the NHC said.

The storm was expected to make landfall later on Wednesday before moving across central Florida and emerging in the western Atlantic by late Thursday.

The NHC said earlier that a “life-threatening storm surge is expected along the Florida west coast and the Lower Florida Keys,” with “devastating wind damage” expected near Ian’s core.

“Catastrophic flooding is expected across portions of central Florida with considerable flooding in southern Florida, northern Florida, southeastern Georgia and coastal South Carolina,” it said.

Florida Governor Ron DeSantis said on Tuesday night that there had already been at least two “radar-indicated tornadoes” in the state, and warned those in areas projected to be hit hardest that their “time to evacuate is coming to an end.”

“You need to evacuate now. You’re going to start feeling major impacts of this storm relatively soon,” he said.

Calls to heed evacuation warnings were echoed by US President Joe Biden, who earlier said Ian “could be a very severe hurricane, life-threatening and devastating in its impact.”

White House Press Secretary Karine Jean-Pierre said Biden had spoken with DeSantis — a potential 2024 election challenger — on Tuesday evening to discuss preparations for the storm.

– Widespread blackout –

Ian plunged all of Cuba into darkness on Tuesday after battering the country’s west as a Category 3 for more than five hours before moving back out over the Gulf of Mexico, the Insmet meteorological institute said.

The storm damaged Cuba’s power network and left the island “without electrical service,” state electricity company Union Electrica said.

Only the few people with gasoline-powered generators had access to electricity on the island of more than 11 million people. Others had to make do with flashlights or candles at home, and lit their way with cell phones as they walked the streets.

In the western city of Pinar del Rio, AFP footage showed downed power lines, flooded streets and a scattering of damaged rooftops.

“Desolation and destruction. These are terrifying hours. Nothing is left here,” a 70-year-old resident of the city was quoted as saying in a social media post by his journalist son, Lazaro Manuel Alonso.

About 40,000 people were evacuated across Pinar del Rio province, which bore the brunt of the storm, local authorities said.

– Two dead –

Cuban residents described “destruction” and posted images on social media of flooded streets and felled trees.

At the time of impact, the NHC reported Ian’s maximum wind speeds at 125 miles (205 kilometers) per hour. 

At least two people have been reported dead in Pinar del Rio province, according to Cuban state media.

In Consolacion del Sur, southwest of Havana, 65-year-old Caridad Fernandez said her roof was seriously damaged and water came through her front door.

“Everything we have is damaged,” she said. “But we’ll get through this, we’ll just keep moving forwards.”

In San Juan y Martinez, a hub for Cuba’s vital cigar industry, “it was apocalyptic, a real disaster,” said Hirochi Robaina from the Robaina tobacco plantation.

– ‘Life and death’ –

In Florida, 30-year-old Chelsea Thompson was helping her parents board up their home on Tuesday in a mandatory evacuation zone southwest of Tampa, saying that “the closer it gets, obviously with the unknown, your anxiety gets a little higher.” 

The Pentagon said 3,200 national guardsmen had been called up in Florida, with another 1,800 on the way.

Authorities in several municipalities were distributing free sandbags to help residents protect their homes from flooding.

Tampa International Airport suspended operations from Tuesday at 5 pm.

Biden has preemptively approved emergency aid in Florida through the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA).

NASA, on the state’s east coast, also took precautions, rolling back its massive Moon rocket into a storage hanger for protection.

Like DeSantis, FEMA administrator Deanne Criswell highlighted the danger of storm surge, saying it was the agency’s “biggest concern.”

“If people are told to evacuate by their local officials, please listen to them. The decision you choose to make may be the difference between life and death,” she said.

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