World

Russian atrocities in Kherson region same as other regions: Zelensky

President Volodymyr Zelensky said Sunday that Ukrainian forces that retook the city of Kherson found evidence of new war crimes by Russian occupiers.

“The Russian army left behind the same atrocities as in other regions of our country,” he said in a nightly address.

“Investigators have already documented more than 400 war crimes,” the Ukrainian leader said, without clearly specifying the area in which they were found.

“The bodies of the killed are being found, both civilians and military,” he said. “We will find and bring to justice every murderer.”

Ukrainians in the liberated city have expressed a deep sense of relief over the end of months of occupation after Russian forces pulled out on Friday.

But, like Zelensky, they said the Russians had left a trail of destruction, laying mines and going on a looting spree — even stealing animals from a zoo — before their withdrawal.

“God will punish them. All of them. For everything they did,” said Svitlana Vilna, 47.

– ‘Still very dangerous’ –

Ruined buildings and destroyed military vehicles could be seen at the entrance to the strategic Black Sea port city, where battles raged just days ago.

A smell of burning wood wafted through the air.

“I ask you not to forget that the situation in the Kherson region is still very dangerous,” Zelensky said. 

He said a Ukrainian sapper was killed while removing a mine, while four others were injured.

Zelensky said workers were moving to quickly restore critical infrastructure destroyed by the Russians, including water, electricity, internet and television links, as well as transport and postal services.

Kherson was one of four regions in Ukraine that Russian President Vladimir Putin claimed to have annexed in September.

On Sunday, residents queued to get food, and many adults and children walked around wrapped in Ukrainian flags.

Some gathered in the city’s main square, mostly to use Starlink satellite internet and connect with relatives.

“I need to get in touch with my family,” said Klavdia Mych, a retired teacher.

“We have been without water for a week,” the 69-year-old added. “And they say everything is mined. It is very scary.”

Viktoria Dybovska, a 30-year-old sales clerk, said the Russians “took everything with them”.

“They cleared out the stores,” she added.

Oleksandr Todorchuk, founder of the organisation UAnimals, said Russian troops had taken most of the local zoo’s animals to Crimea.

“From llamas and wolves to donkeys and squirrels,” he said on Facebook.

– Russia fortifying defences –

The city of Kherson was the first major urban hub to fall after Russia invaded in February.

On Saturday, in the village of Pravdyne, outside Kherson, returning locals embraced their neighbours, with some unable to hold back tears.

“Victory, finally!” said Svitlana Galak, who had lost her eldest daughter in the war. 

“Thank god we’ve been liberated and everything will now fall into place,” the 43-year-old told AFP.

Several disabled anti-tank mines and grenades, and a number of damaged buildings, could be seen in the settlement.

While de-mining continues, a curfew has been put in place and movement in and out of the city has been limited, local authorities said.

Zelensky said Sunday that Kyiv was establishing control over more than 200 settlements in the region.

Around 200 officers were erecting roadblocks and recording “crimes of the Russian occupiers”, said Ukraine’s police chief Igor Klymenko.

But Russian troops continued to fortify defences on the left bank of the Dnipro River where they had withdrawn from, the Ukrainian army’s Operational Command South said Monday.

“It continues to inflict fire damage on our troops and the de-occupied settlements along the right bank of the Dnipro” with heavy artillery and mortars, it said.

Kherson’s full recapture opens a gateway for Ukraine to the entire Kherson region, with access to both the Black Sea in the west and the Sea of Azov in the east.

– ‘What was it all for?’ –

Shunned by the West over his offensive in Ukraine, Putin, 70, will not travel to Indonesia for the G20 leaders’ summit.

On Monday, US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen heaped pressure on Russia, saying the best way to end global economic tumult was to end the Ukraine war.

“Ending Russia’s war is a moral imperative and the single best thing we can do for the global economy,” Yellen told reporters in Bali, which is hosting the G20 summit. 

US Secretary of State Antony Blinken hailed the “remarkable courage” of Ukraine’s military and people, and vowed US support “will continue for as long as it takes” to defeat Russia.

In London, British Defence Secretary Ben Wallace said Moscow’s “strategic failure” in Kherson could prompt Russians to question the war. 

“Ordinary people of Russia must surely ask themselves: ‘What was it all for?'”

Western thirst for African gas raises alarm at COP27

Wealthy Western nations facing an energy crunch are eyeing natural gas in Africa at the expense of supporting green transition in poorer countries, climate activists at COP27 charge.

European countries have been scrambling for alternative sources of gas after the continent’s former top supplier, Russia, slashed exports in apparent retaliation for Western sanctions over Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine in February.

Gas-rich Norway has since overtaken Russia as a leading supplier, but Europe sees great potential in African fossil fuel reserves, including promising oil and gas discoveries in Senegal and Democratic Republic of Congo.

Europe wants “to turn Africa into its gas station,” Mohamed Adow, director of the Power Shift Africa think tank, said at the UN climate summit in Egypt.

“We don’t have to follow the footsteps of the rich world that actually caused climate change in the first place.”

Exporting natural gas may bring short-term profits but exacerbate the climate crisis and leave African nations worse off in the long run, activists, researchers and advocacy groups said.

Research group Climate Action Tracker called the global dash for gas a “serious threat” to the Paris Agreement goals — of keeping global warming well below two degrees Celsius, and preferably at 1.5 degrees compared to pre-industrial levels.

– ‘Stranded assets’ –

Some African leaders argued the potential benefits for people on the world’s poorest continent outweighed the harm from the production and export of fossil fuels.

“We are in favour of a just and fair green transition, instead of decisions that harm our development process,” Senegalese President Macky Sall told some 100 world leaders last week at COP27.

Germany — the European country most dependent on Russian supplies before the war — has been keen to tap Senegal’s gas deposits.

Omar Farouk Ibrahim, secretary general of the African Petroleum Producers’ Organization, argued the slight increase in the continent’s marginal contribution to greenhouse gas emissions “would make a fundamental difference in whether people live or die”.

“We have 600 million people in Africa who don’t have access to electricity at all. We have over 900 million people in Africa who do not have access to modern form of energy for cooking or domestic heating,” he said.

“No progress can be made in any society without energy.”

But advocacy groups were not convinced Africa’s poor would reap any benefits.

“History shows us that… extraction in African countries has not resulted in development,” said Thuli Makama, African programme director at Oil Change International.

Makama, a lawyer from Eswatini, said the Ukraine war would only trigger “short-term” demand from Western nations, leaving African countries with “stranded assets” — infrastructure that becomes obsolete as the world turns to renewables.

Governments and companies would have invested in infrastructure only to be “left with stranded assets, clean-up expenses and all the devastation that comes with the industry for local people”, Makama warned.

– ‘Incredible’ potential –

A report released Monday by the Carbon Tracker Initiative think tank said Western investment in fossil fuels will eventually evaporate, encouraging African countries instead to seize on the potential offered by solar power.

“The way to help us actually address our energy poverty challenge is for us to tap the incredible renewable energy potential that exists on the continent of Africa,” Adow said.

African nations could refuse any further extraction of fossil fuels and make the continent a “green leader”, he added.

But investment in renewable energy across the continent last year fell to its lowest level in 11 years, the research group BloombergNEF said on Wednesday.

Out of the $434 billion invested worldwide in renewables in 2021, a meagre 0.6 percent went to projects in Africa, the report said.

The Carbon Tracker Initiative report said the solar industry across Africa provided 14 gigawatts of power in 2021.

It noted however that with production costs falling, solar power in Africa “has the potential to grow… to over 400 gigawatts by 2050” — half of the continent’s energy needs.

Western thirst for African gas raises alarm at COP27

Wealthy Western nations facing an energy crunch are eyeing natural gas in Africa at the expense of supporting green transition in poorer countries, climate activists at COP27 charge.

European countries have been scrambling for alternative sources of gas after the continent’s former top supplier, Russia, slashed exports in apparent retaliation for Western sanctions over Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine in February.

Gas-rich Norway has since overtaken Russia as a leading supplier, but Europe sees great potential in African fossil fuel reserves, including promising oil and gas discoveries in Senegal and Democratic Republic of Congo.

Europe wants “to turn Africa into its gas station,” Mohamed Adow, director of the Power Shift Africa think tank, said at the UN climate summit in Egypt.

“We don’t have to follow the footsteps of the rich world that actually caused climate change in the first place.”

Exporting natural gas may bring short-term profits but exacerbate the climate crisis and leave African nations worse off in the long run, activists, researchers and advocacy groups said.

Research group Climate Action Tracker called the global dash for gas a “serious threat” to the Paris Agreement goals — of keeping global warming well below two degrees Celsius, and preferably at 1.5 degrees compared to pre-industrial levels.

– ‘Stranded assets’ –

Some African leaders argued the potential benefits for people on the world’s poorest continent outweighed the harm from the production and export of fossil fuels.

“We are in favour of a just and fair green transition, instead of decisions that harm our development process,” Senegalese President Macky Sall told some 100 world leaders last week at COP27.

Germany — the European country most dependent on Russian supplies before the war — has been keen to tap Senegal’s gas deposits.

Omar Farouk Ibrahim, secretary general of the African Petroleum Producers’ Organization, argued the slight increase in the continent’s marginal contribution to greenhouse gas emissions “would make a fundamental difference in whether people live or die”.

“We have 600 million people in Africa who don’t have access to electricity at all. We have over 900 million people in Africa who do not have access to modern form of energy for cooking or domestic heating,” he said.

“No progress can be made in any society without energy.”

But advocacy groups were not convinced Africa’s poor would reap any benefits.

“History shows us that… extraction in African countries has not resulted in development,” said Thuli Makama, African programme director at Oil Change International.

Makama, a lawyer from Eswatini, said the Ukraine war would only trigger “short-term” demand from Western nations, leaving African countries with “stranded assets” — infrastructure that becomes obsolete as the world turns to renewables.

Governments and companies would have invested in infrastructure only to be “left with stranded assets, clean-up expenses and all the devastation that comes with the industry for local people”, Makama warned.

– ‘Incredible’ potential –

A report released Monday by the Carbon Tracker Initiative think tank said Western investment in fossil fuels will eventually evaporate, encouraging African countries instead to seize on the potential offered by solar power.

“The way to help us actually address our energy poverty challenge is for us to tap the incredible renewable energy potential that exists on the continent of Africa,” Adow said.

African nations could refuse any further extraction of fossil fuels and make the continent a “green leader”, he added.

But investment in renewable energy across the continent last year fell to its lowest level in 11 years, the research group BloombergNEF said on Wednesday.

Out of the $434 billion invested worldwide in renewables in 2021, a meagre 0.6 percent went to projects in Africa, the report said.

The Carbon Tracker Initiative report said the solar industry across Africa provided 14 gigawatts of power in 2021.

It noted however that with production costs falling, solar power in Africa “has the potential to grow… to over 400 gigawatts by 2050” — half of the continent’s energy needs.

Most Asian markets extend global rally on China hopes

Asian markets mostly rose Monday, extending a global surge, as a loosening of China’s Covid rules and plans to help its property sector followed a drop in US inflation that eased rate hike fears.

Equities rocketed last week and the dollar sank after data showed US price rises eased in October, providing the Federal Reserve with room to take its foot off the pedal in tightening monetary policy.

The news led some commentators to suggest a feared recession in the world’s top economy could be shallower than first feared, or might be averted entirely.

The optimistic mood was given an extra injection late Friday by news that Beijing would relax some of its strict Covid-19 restrictions, a day after officials vowed to stick to their zero-tolerance strategy that has hammered growth.

Authorities have also reportedly unveiled a 16-point plan to support the beleaguered property sector, a major component of the country’s sprawling economy

The industry has come under immense pressure since China imposed a number of restrictions in 2020 aimed at reeling in debt, with major developers teetering on the brink of collapse.

The news indicates the leadership is beginning to focus on supporting the economy, a crucial driver of global growth.

“It’s a meaningful easing,” said Larry Hu of Macquarie Group.

“It seems that the room for policy change has widened on various fronts after the Party Congress (last month), including for the two major headwinds to the Chinese economy: Covid Zero and property.”

Nomura’s Lu Ting said the support for the developers was “the most crucial pivot since Beijing significantly tightened financing of the property sector”.

“We believe these measures demonstrate that Beijing is willing to reverse most of its financial tightening measures,” he added.

“Those cash-strapped developers (especially private ones), construction companies, mortgage borrowers and other related stakeholders can now breathe a sigh of relief.”

He warned, however, that the sector continued to struggle and the “measures may have little direct impact on stimulating home purchases”.

In early trade, Hong Kong led gains again — having soared more than seven percent Friday — with property firms the best performers.

Shanghai, Sydney, Singapore, Seoul, Taipei and Manila were all well up, though Tokyo was hit by profit-taking. There were also small losses in Bangkok, Jakarta and Wellington.

While the mood has lightened after the US inflation read, there is still a sense of trepidation among traders who fear the Federal Reserve will continue to lift borrowing costs while analysts warn last week’s rally may have been overdone.

“It was always clear that it would be easy to bring inflation down from 9-10 percent to 4-5 percent,” said SPI Asset Management’s Stephen Innes.

“Pushing it back to two percent could be much more complicated and require higher rates for longer. Hence, the central bank fight is far from over. But for now and until an indication of inflation proves stickier than expected, risk-on could roll on a bit further.”

Still, the yen, pound and euro held most of their gains against the dollar, which came in reaction to the consumer price index reading.

Traders are keenly awaiting a meeting later in the day between US President Joe Biden and Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping, with hopes for an easing of tensions between the superpowers.

The two are due to meet at the G20 summit in Bali, with Biden saying he wanted to repair lines of communication and help establish “guardrails” to keep the competing superpowers from veering into conflict.

– Key figures around 0230 GMT –

Tokyo – Nikkei 225: DOWN 0.8 percent at 28,047.58 (break)

Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: UP 2.4 percent at 17,733.96

Shanghai – Composite: UP 0.4 percent at 3,099.19

Pound/dollar: DOWN at $1.1782 from $1.1839 on Friday

Euro/dollar: DOWN at $1.0323 from $1.0361

Dollar/yen: UP at 139.17 yen from 138.70 yen

Euro/pound: UP at 87.60 pence from 87.49 pence

West Texas Intermediate: UP 0.4 percent at $89.30 per barrel

Brent North Sea crude: UP 0.4 percent at $96.41 per barrel

New York – Dow: UP 0.1 percent at 33,747.86 (close)

London – FTSE 100: DOWN 0.8 percent at 7,318.04 (close)

Turkey accuses Kurdish PKK over Istanbul bomb attack

Turkey’s interior minister accused the Kurdistan’s Workers’ Party (PKK) of responsibility for a bombing in a busy Istanbul shopping thoroughfare that killed six people and said Monday a suspect has been arrested.

The explosion tore through Istiklal Street, a popular shopping destination for locals and tourists, on Sunday afternoon, wounding dozens. 

A suspect was arrested by the early hours of Monday. 

“The person who planted the bomb has been arrested,” interior minister Suleyman Soylu said in a statement broadcast by the official Anadolu news agency. 

“According to our findings, the PKK terrorist organisation is responsible,” he said.

The PKK, blacklisted as a terrorist group by Ankara as well as its Western allies, has kept up a deadly insurgency for Kurdish self-rule in southeastern Turkey since the 1980s.

Regularly targeted by Turkish military operations, the group is also at the heart of a tussle between Sweden and Turkey, which has been blocking Stockholm’s entry into NATO since May, accusing it of leniency towards the PKK. 

President Recep Tayyip Erdogan condemned the “vile attack” on Istiklal.

“It might be wrong if we say for sure that this is terror but according to first signs … there is a smell of terror there,” Erdogan told a news conference on Sunday.

Turkey’s vice president Fuat Oktay said: “We believe that it is a terrorist act carried out by an attacker, whom we consider to be a woman, exploding the bomb”.

Justice minister Bekir Bozdag said: “A woman had been sitting on one of the benches for more than 40 minutes and then she got up.”

“One or two minutes later, an explosion occurred,” he told A Haber television. 

“There are two possibilities,” he said. “There’s either a mechanism placed in this bag and it explodes, or someone remotely explodes (it).”

“All data on this woman are currently under scrutiny,” he said. 

Soylu’s announcement did not add any details about the woman. 

– Panic, chaos – 

Turkish cities have been struck by Islamists and other groups in the past.

Istiklal Street was hit during a campaign of attacks in 2015-2016 that targeted Istanbul and other cities, including Ankara. 

Those bombings were mostly blamed on the Islamic State group and outlawed Kurdish militants, and killed nearly 500 people and wounded more than 2,000.

Sunday’s explosion occurred shortly after 4:00 pm (1300 GMT) in the famous shopping street.

Helicopters flew over the city centre after the attack. Police established a large security cordon to prevent access to the area for fear of a second explosion.

Images posted on social media showed the explosion was followed by flames and immediately triggered panic, with people running in all directions. 

Several bodies were seen lying on the ground nearby.

“I was 50-55 metres away, suddenly there was the noise of an explosion. I saw three or four people on the ground,” witness Cemal Denizci, 57, told AFP. 

“People were running in panic. The noise was huge. There was black smoke,” he said.

– Condemnation –

Istiklal, in the historic district of Beyoglu, is one of the most famous arteries of Istanbul. It is entirely pedestrianised for 1.4 kilometres, or about a mile. 

Criss-crossed by an old tramway and lined with shops and restaurants, it attracts large crowds at the weekend.

Many stores closed early in the neighbouring district of Galata, while some passers-by, who came running from the site of the explosion, had tears in their eyes.

A massive deployment of security forces barred all entrances and rescue workers and police could be seen.

Turkey’s radio and television watchdog, RTUK, placed a ban on broadcasters showing footage of the blast, a measure previously taken in the aftermath of extremist attacks. 

Access to social media was also restricted after the attack. 

A reaction came quickly from Greece, which “unequivocally” condemned the blast and expressed condolences to the government and people of Turkey.

The United States also denounced it, with White House Press Secretary Karine Jean-Pierre saying: “We stand shoulder-to-shoulder with our NATO Ally Turkey in countering terrorism.”

French President Emmanuel Macron said in a message to the Turks: “We share your pain. We stand with you in the fight against terrorism”.

“Shaken by news of the despicable bombing in Istanbul targeting innocent civilians,” Israeli President Isaac Herzog tweeted in Turkish and English. “The whole world must stand united and firm against terror.”

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky also tweeted in Turkish: “The pain of the friendly Turkish people is our pain.”

EU Council President Charles Michel offered condolences to Turkey, tweeting: “My thoughts are with the victims & their families.”

Biden to set 'guardrails' in talks with Xi

US President Joe Biden will meet China’s Xi Jinping in Bali on Monday to set “guardrails” for relations between the countries, as the world’s 20 largest economies hold their first major post-pandemic summit.

In the last three years, the rivalry between China and the United States has intensified sharply as Beijing has become more powerful and more assertive about replacing the US-led order that has prevailed since World War II.

Monday’s talks on the margins of the G20 have the air of the icy Cold War conclaves between American and Soviet leaders at Potsdam, Vienna or Yalta that decided the fate of millions.

Biden has spoken about the meeting establishing each country’s “red lines”.

The overarching goal will be setting “guardrails” and “clear rules of the road” a senior White House official told reporters hours before the meeting.

“We do all of that to ensure that competition does not veer into conflict.”

Biden is expected to push China to rein in ally North Korea after a record-breaking spate of missile tests raised fears Pyongyang will soon carry out its seventh nuclear test.

Xi may be in no mood to help. He enters the meeting buoyed from recently securing a landmark third term in office, cementing him as the most powerful Chinese leader for generations.

Biden has been boosted by news that his Democratic party retained control of the US Senate after performing better than expected at the midterm elections, although he remains vulnerable on domestic politics.

– Putin staying away –

The superpower sitdown is likely to dominate the G20 summit, which comes with food and fuel prices spiking worldwide, Ukraine mired in conflict and the renewed threat of nuclear war casting a menacing pall. 

There will be one conspicuous absence around the table — Russian President Vladimir Putin.

His botched nine-month-old invasion of Ukraine has made the trip to Bali logistically difficult and politically fraught.

With members of his inner circle quarrelling publicly and his once ironclad domestic authority tarnished, Putin instead elected to send veteran foreign minister Sergei Lavrov.

Officially, neither the war in Ukraine, nor Putin’s dark threats to use nuclear weapons are on the summit agenda. 

But while the ex-KGB man will not be at the summit table, his war will certainly be on the menu.

Soaring energy and food prices have hit richer and poorer G20 members alike –- and both are directly fuelled by the conflict.

On Monday, US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said an end to the conflict was “a moral imperative and the single best thing we can do for the global economy”.

And ahead of his departure to Bali, British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak said he would “call out Putin’s regime”.

There is likely to be pressure on Russia to extend a deal allowing Ukrainian grain and fertiliser shipments through the Black Sea when the current agreement expires on November 19. 

– ‘Never been this complex’ –

At a minimum, Biden and his allies would also like to see the G20 make it clear to Putin that nuclear war is unacceptable. 

Even that once uncontroversial position is likely to be blocked by a mixture of Russian opposition and Chinese unwillingness to break ranks with its ally in Moscow or give Washington a win.

The G20 — a disparate and unwieldy grouping born in 1999 after the Asian financial crisis — has always been most comfortable discussing finance and economics rather than security.

Moscow would like it to stay that way.

“We categorically reject the politicisation of the G20,” the Russian foreign ministry said Sunday, offering a taste of what leaders might hear from the famously unbending Lavrov.

“We are convinced that the G20 is meant to deal specifically with socio-economic issues.”

A string of G20 ministerial meetings leading to the summit failed to agree a final joint communique — a procedural-sounding tradition that can be important in driving cooperation.

“Honestly, I think the global situation has never been this complex,” said Indonesian government minister Luhut Binsar Pandjaitan on the eve of the summit. 

“If eventually (the G20) leaders do not produce a communique, that’s that, it’s ok.”

Subarctic boreal forest, vital for the planet, is at risk

It burns, it drifts, it falls victim to insects. And it’s shrinking.

The boreal forest, which is second only to the Amazon in terms of its vital role in ensuring the future of the planet, encircles the Arctic — and it is in just as much danger from climate change as the South American rainforest.

The deep, verdant green ring — which stretches across Canada, Scandinavia, Russia and Alaska — has been weakened by increasing forest fires, the melting of permafrost, intensifying insect infestations and warming temperatures.

Experts are categorical in their warnings: the forest is encroaching on the tundra, and the prairies are slowly taking the place of the trees.

In his cabin in Quebec, not far from the banks of the St Lawrence River amid the trembling aspen and black spruces, Jean-Luc Kanape, a member of the Innu Indigenous group, says he likes to feel the “energy of the wind, the cold.”

“When I’m in the heart of the forest, I feel like I’m part of it. The trees are like my roots,” says the brawny 47-year-old, his hair askew and his skin bronzed from the sun.

Kanape has dedicated his life to the protection of the caribou, a species whose habitat is under threat because of the effects of deforestation and global warming. And he is worried. 

“We often say we need to save the planet, but that’s not true,” he says, suggesting humanity’s own existence is what is at stake.

The forest — named for Boreas, the Greek god of the north wind — covers 10 percent of the world’s land surface and has a decisive impact on the globe’s northern oceans and overall climate.

Its 1.2 billion hectares (nearly three billion acres), which account for nearly a third of all forested land in the world, help slow global warming by absorbing a significant amount of carbon emissions.

The boreal forest holds twice as much carbon as all tropical forests combined, and also helps purify a massive amount of freshwater. 

There have always been natural changes to its makeup, but scientists are now concerned that those changes are happening more often, and are even becoming the norm.

– ‘Monster’ fire –

Dead tree trunks stretch towards the sky — ghostly white shadows staining the green canopy in this corner of Alberta province. 

On the ground, shrubs and grass battle to stay alive.

“I’ll never again see a spruce tree in these hills,” laments Harvey Sykes, a 70-year-old former oil industry worker who lives in the Fort McMurray area, home to the world’s biggest oil sands production complex.

Here, the boreal forest still bears the signs of a huge fire in May 2016 that sent 90,000 residents scrambling for safety from a wall of flames along a lone access road.

“This one was a monster,” recalls Sykes, pointing to the hills where the blaze began. “A fire like that, you don’t confront it… you get out of there.”

Like many in the region, Sykes lost everything in the inferno — his house, his belongings and a lifetime of mementos.

The wildfire remains the most destructive natural disaster in Canada’s history, with 2,500 buildings destroyed and damages totalling nearly 10 billion Canadian dollars ($7.4 billion US).

It was the first time in the country’s history that residents found themselves in danger as a direct result of the consequences of climate change on the boreal forest.

– Adaptation –

Today, wildfires are multiplying in Alaska, Canada and Siberia. They are one of the greatest threats to northern woodlands even if, paradoxically, they are also essential to the forest’s survival and evolution.

Fires release precious nutrients into the forest soil, and create holes in the tree canopy that allow sunlight to break through, contributing to the growth of new trees.

In the boreal forest, the most prevalent type of fire is a crown fire, which spreads quickly from treetop to treetop. These blazes are more intense and more difficult to fight than fires on the ground.

Fires can burn all winter under the snow, producing toxic smoke and significant amounts of carbon monoxide.

The forest’s plants are resistant to the bitter Canadian cold, and have adapted to the recurrent fires — the trembling aspen burn quickly but regenerate easily.

Some species even depend on the fires — jack pines or black spruces have sap-coated cones that open up to deposit seeds as the flames spread, ensuring their survival.

But data collected over the last few decades indicates that the increasing frequency and intensity of the fires have reached an abnormal level.

“We now have a wildfire season that is longer and more severe. They are more fierce, and cover larger areas,” explains Yan Boulanger, a researcher in forest ecology at Canada’s ministry of natural resources.

Fires are now regularly twice as destructive in terms of surface area as they were a century ago, and 70 percent of the land consumed in fires over the last 20 years was in the boreal forest, according to satellite data made public in August.

Experts from Global Forest Watch, the World Resources Institute and the University of Maryland — who collected the data — also revealed that extreme heat waves are five times as likely as they were 150 years ago.

Global warming is having an especially devastating effect on northern lands including the boreal zone, as temperatures are increasing two or three times quicker than on the rest of the planet.

Extreme heat leads to more lightning, which in turn sparks the worst fires, Boulanger says. Destruction of forested lands in these blazes leads to massive greenhouse gas emissions, which fuel climate change.

While forest fires are one of the most extreme and visible results of warming temperatures, the actual increase in heat has even worse implications.

– ‘Drunken trees’ –

They are known as “drunken trees” — tilted sideways due to melting permafrost. Eventually, the soil will completely erode away from the roots, and the trees will tumble.

This buckling and sinking is because of the degradation of the permafrost, ground that has remained frozen for at least two years in a row.

“You have potential for large shifts,” says Diana Stralberg, an Edmonton-based researcher for the natural resources ministry. Sometimes areas “might be flooded and lose forests,” she explains, becoming bogs or lakes.

As the ground is thawing, bacteria eat away at the biomass compiled for thousands of years, generating carbon and methane emissions that are contributing to the acceleration of global warming.

Elsewhere, in the far north of the boreal zone, trees are crowding the tundra, which features better conditions for their survival.

Scientists recently discovered that white spruces were being displaced towards the north in Alaska, to a part of the Arctic tundra that had not seen such tree growth in thousands of years.

In a decade, the tree cover advanced a whopping four kilometers (2.5 miles).

On the southern edge of the boreal forest, drought has reduced stands of trees to shrubs and high grasses.

“In the west, we could end up with forests that simply become prairies because the extent of the drought or the frequency of climatic change is too great to sustain the tree population,” Boulanger warns.

Stralberg remembers seeing computer maps modeling the effects of climate change for the first time when she started working on issues related to the boreal forest a few years ago.

“I thought it was just wrong, because it was just so extreme,” she says. 

And then her colleagues started reaching the same conclusions: that the boreal forest was rapidly shifting north, absorbing a part of the tundra and losing ground to the prairies at the southern edge.

The displacement of an ecosystem is not without consequences.

“You can lose forest a lot faster than it can grow and provide habitat for wildlife,” says the 52-year-old Stralberg. 

As the mercury rises, evaporation occurs more easily and plants lose water more quickly due to transpiration. They close the pores of their leaves and battle to survive. 

But by slowing their own growth, the plants lose some of their capacity to eliminate carbon dioxide from the atmosphere — a vicious circle indeed.

– ‘Snowball effect’ –

In the western part of Quebec province, government research scientist David Pare and his team are studying tree litter — the decomposing organic material on the forest floor that has acted as a giant carbon sink for centuries.

Here, the sun struggles to break through due to the twisting, intertwined tree canopy. Thousands of pine needles cover the mossy ground.

Tree litter can store five to six times as much carbon dioxide as other plant matter, and Pare wants to see how resilient the ground is. 

A plethora of experiments are being carried out across Canada to better understand the tree litter and predict its future role in reducing the amount of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere.

In some areas, the subsoil is heated, and in others, the amount of organic matter on the ground is varied. Tree roots are cut elsewhere.

Dozens of tiny orange flags and wooden trays embedded in the fallen pine needles mark off the various trials that have been in place for six years.

“We want to know how much carbon has accumulated in the soil and how it happens,” Pare explains.

“Because if global warming is diminishing the carbon sink, that will only lead to more warming,” says the 59-year-old Pare. 

Scientists are fearful of such a “snowball effect,” which could eventually lead to significant loss of the boreal forest’s role as a carbon sink. 

But the forest is also at risk of falling victim to another phenomenon brought on by higher temperatures: insect infestations.

– The curious case of the hemlock looper –

It’s a surprising sight: on a green hillside peppered with vibrant trees, there is a square marked off by dead trees stripped of their limbs, their dried out trunks stretching skyward.

“It’s like a bomb went off. All the trees are dead in this area, killed by the hemlock looper,” says Pare, his white hair covered by a construction helmet.

The hemlock looper is a moth native to North America that can devour all leaves and needles on trees in one season, explains the researcher as he walks through the raspberry bushes that have cropped up in the area.

Several events linked to global warming seem to be converging and could explain the insect infestations, which are also happening in Scandinavian forests.

Trees are already weakened by drought and so struggle to fend off the voracious bugs who take advantage of longer summers and warmer winters.

Hundreds of thousands of hectares of forest land have been devastated by the eastern spruce budworm, another species native to Canada and the eastern United States that mainly attacks fir trees.

“As global warming progresses, the budworm now can reach areas that it could not get to in the past,” says researcher Louis De Grandpre, who has studied the boreal forest for 30 years.

The key now is to measure the long-term effects of these infestations “because we really don’t know what the future of these forests will look like,” he added.

– Tipping point? –

For Pare, “there is a limit to how much trees can endure.”

For now, scientists are pondering whether the boreal forest is approaching a so-called “tipping point,” a threshold beyond which carbon and methane emissions are inevitable and changes to the ecosystem are irreversible.

Experts say they still hope for the ecosystem’s continued resilience.

Stralberg believes the damage can still be limited.

“We looked at areas that will remain cooler and wetter in a warming world, like the shores of large interior lakes, large peatland complexes and north-facing hillsides,” she explains.

“These are areas where we can buy time for cold-adapted species like spruce trees and caribou to adjust to climate change in the near term.”

Careful monitoring, reforestation, legal protections, technological progress and time-honored Indigenous methods can help maintain the carbon sink.

“I think that cultural burning can be one of the solutions… combined with some of the new technology,” says Amy Cardinal Christianson, a research scientist with the Canadian Forest Service who studies how fires affect Indigenous communities.

Cultural burning, long practiced by Indigenous communities, can help reduce the impact of forest fires by eliminating ground cover. Christianson, a member of the Metis people, explains the burning as “a slow fire, a cool burn.”

Unlike in the Amazon, in this inhospitable cold-climate forest, human action — like deforestation or oil sands mining — is less detrimental to the environment than natural phenomena caused by climate change.

Experts say that in order for the boreal forest to maintain its essential role in ensuring the survival of the planet, the solution must be a global one. 

For Boulanger, the government forest researcher, we must “have faith in the next generation.”

Why Putin is staying away from G20

The last time Russian President Vladimir Putin found himself isolated at a G20 summit was in 2014, soon after he seized Crimea — and he was so shunned that he left early.

Eight years later, after launching a full-scale offensive in Ukraine in February and threatening the West with nuclear weapons, the 70-year-old Russian leader chose to skip this week’s G20 meeting on the tropical island of Bali altogether.

Observers say the Kremlin is seeking to shield the Russian leader from a storm of condemnation in Indonesia but Putin’s no-show risks further isolating a country already battered by unprecedented Western sanctions.

Alexei Malashenko, chief researcher at the Dialogue of Civilisations Institute, said Putin did not want to be publicly humiliated once again, recalling that at the Brisbane summit in 2014 Putin was placed at the far flank of the traditional family photo.

“At the summit, you have to talk to people and be photographed,” said Malashenko.

“And who is he going to talk to and how exactly will he be photographed?” 

The G20 gathering will inevitably be overshadowed by Moscow’s offensive in Ukraine, which has shocked global energy markets and aggravated food shortages.

Fyodor Lukyanov, a foreign policy expert close to the Kremlin, indicated that Putin was not ready to budge over Ukraine.

“His position is well known, it will not change. The other side’s position is also well known,” said Lukyanov, editor of the Russia in Global Affairs journal. “What’s the point of going?” 

The Kremlin blamed Putin’s absence on scheduling conflicts, without specifying what prompted the Russian leader to skip one of the highest-profile global summits. 

– ‘Nothing to say’ –

The Kremlin said that Putin would not even address the summit by video link.

By comparison, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, who will attend the gathering virtually, is expected to lobby global leaders for a stronger response to Russia’s assault.

The Russian delegation will be headed by Moscow’s top diplomat Sergei Lavrov.

The pugilistic foreign minister walked out of a G20 meeting in Bali in July after Russia’s offensive in Ukraine was condemned, and he can expect another icy reception.

Political analyst Konstantin Kalachev said Putin’s refusal to travel to Bali reflected “a sense of a dead end” over Ukraine.

“He’s got nothing to say,” Kalachev said. “He has no proposal on Ukraine that could satisfy both sides.”

Despite mobilising hundreds of thousands of reservists in September, the Russian armed forces have suffered setback after setback in Ukraine.

In September, the Russian army had to withdraw from the northeastern region of Kharkiv. 

On Friday, Russia announced it was pulling its forces from the strategic southern port city of Kherson in a new humiliation for the Kremlin. Peace talks have been put on ice.

– ‘Anti-Western coalition’ –

Shunned by most Western leaders, Putin seeks to deepen ties with countries that have traditionally enjoyed good ties with Moscow or those that also rail against the dominance of the United States in global affairs.

“In Putin’s view, his refusal to go to the G20 summit will not prevent Russia from building relations with neutral states,” said Tatiana Stanovaya, the founder of R.Politik, a political analysis firm.

“Putin believes that Russia’s anti-American line is finding a lot of support.”

The Kremlin insists that Russia is far from isolated, and Stanovaya pointed out that Putin has been seeking allies in Africa, Asia and the Middle East. 

“He is trying to build an anti-Western coalition,” she said.

Many political observers are sceptical that the Kremlin chief will succeed. After Putin sent troops to Ukraine on February 24 no major nation has rallied behind Russia, including China.

Russia’s assault on Ukraine also spooked Moscow’s neighbours in Central Asia and prompted countries such as Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan to look for alliances elsewhere.

Kalachev said Russia’s confrontation with the West had pushed it to the margins of world politics and decision-making on pressing issues such as climate change.

“It is not a pariah country, like North Korea,” he said, “but Russia is no longer part of the world agenda that is not related to the topic of World War III.” 

Ending Ukraine war 'best thing' to mend world economy: Yellen

US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen heaped pressure on Russia on Monday ahead of the G20 summit in Indonesia, saying the best way to end world economic tumult was to stop the Ukraine war.

“Ending Russia’s war is a moral imperative and the single best thing we can do for the global economy,” Yellen told reporters as she met French counterpart Bruno Le Maire in Nusa Dua, on the resort island of Bali. 

High fuel and food prices are among the top issues set to be discussed at the summit and few G20 countries have escaped the economic pain.

Yellen will hope to build diplomatic pressure for an end to the war by blaming Russia. 

Host Indonesia has called for talks and a peaceful resolution to the conflict but, like fellow G20 members China, South Africa and India, has largely avoided criticising Russia directly. 

The summit is also expected to discuss the need to extend a Turkish and UN-brokered agreement allowing vital Ukrainian grain and fertiliser exports to transit safely through the Black Sea. 

Ukraine is one of the world’s largest producers of both products. Russian President Vladimir Putin had appeared to walk away from the agreement but faced a sharp backlash from developing countries.

The current agreement expires on November 19. Le Maire underscored the need to counteract the effects of Russia’s invasion, namely on soaring fuel prices in Europe. 

“I really think that the first issue that we have on the table is how to bring down energy prices and how to get rid of inflation,” he said. 

Trump set to officially launch 2024 comeback bid

Former US president Donald Trump is expected to officially launch another White House bid on Tuesday, refusing calls from within his own Republican party to fade away after his loyalists underperformed in this year’s midterm elections.

The 76-year-old billionaire, whose 2016 win shocked America and the world, has summoned the press to his Florida mansion for a “very big announcement” at 9:00 PM Tuesday (0200 GMT Wednesday).

“President Trump is going to announce on Tuesday that he’s running for president,” said one of his advisors, Jason Miller, who predicts the speech will be “very professional, very buttoned up.”

Known for his unpredictability, Trump could still change his mind at the last minute, but for months he has barely hidden his desire to vie for the presidency again in 2024.

Delaying the announcement now, as some of his advisors have reportedly suggested to him, would be highly awkward for Trump because he has billed it as “perhaps be the most important speech given in the history of the USA.”

– ‘Red wave’ crashes –

A 2024 White House bid would be Trump’s third presidential campaign and — if he wins his party’s nomination — the fifth national election with him as the Republican Party standard-bearer.

In 2016, Trump and the Republicans swept into power, taking control of the White House and maintaining their majorities in both chambers of Congress.

But Democrats won back the House of Representatives in a 2018 landslide after campaigning largely against Trump’s caustic style.

Trump then lost reelection in 2020 to Democrat Joe Biden — Trump still refuses to accept defeat — while Democrats won control of the 100-seat Senate with a de-facto majority due to Vice President Kamala Harris’s tie-breaking vote in the chamber split 50-50.

After leaving Washington in chaos shortly after his partisans stormed the US Capitol, Trump chose to remain in the political arena, continuing to fund-raise and hold rallies around the country.

Leading up to the 2022 midterm vote, in which Biden’s Democrats had been expected to lose handily, Trump made denial of the 2020 election results a key litmus test for candidates to win his influential political endorsement.

But the predicted Republican “red wave” failed to materialize, and Democrats will maintain their control of the Senate. In the still-undecided House, Republicans seem likely to eke out only a razor-thin majority.

The results have emboldened Trump’s Republican detractors and sapped most of his political momentum heading into the Tuesday campaign launch.

– ‘Three strikes’ –

“It’s basically the third election in a row that Donald Trump has cost us the race, and it’s like, three strikes and you’re out,” said Maryland Governor Larry Hogan, a vocal Trump critic, Sunday on CNN.

Trump’s response has been to double down on unfounded claims of ballot rigging in the midterms, posting on his Truth Social platform that the results were a “scam” — and pointing a finger of blame at Senate Republican leader Mitch McConnell.

“It’s Mitch McConnell’s fault,” he posted, saying the Kentuckian had badly allocated campaign funds and pursued a flawed legislative agenda. 

“He blew the Midterms, and everyone despises him,” said Trump, who has long been at loggerheads with McConnell.

Tuesday’s announcement is widely seen as a way to take the wind out of the sails of potential Republican rivals, namely Ron DeSantis, the freshly-reelected Florida governor and rising star who has also won the backing of Rupert Murdoch’s conservative media empire.

Trump’s new White House pursuit will also be hampered by the multiple investigations into his conduct before, during and after the presidency — which could result in his disqualification.

Those include allegations of fraud by his family business, his role in the January 6th attack on the US Capitol and his handling of classified documents at his private Florida home, which was raided by the FBI in August.

But the former president is no stranger to scandal and has even survived two impeachments due to his continued Republican support in Congress.

The 2024 election could also prove to be a repeat of 2020, with Biden reaffirming on Wednesday that he intends to stand for reelection.

But despite the strong midterm results, some Democrats continue to call for Biden to sit out, due to his age and unpopularity. Biden, 80, said he will make a final decision next year.

cjc/des/dw

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