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Bitcoin Falls Below $41,000 as Russia-Ukraine Tensions Weigh

(Bloomberg) — Bitcoin fell below $41,000, testing its 50-day moving average, as renewed fears of a possible Ukraine invasion by Russia weighed on global markets including risk assets.

The biggest cryptocurrency on the market dipped as much as 7.4%, while Ether, the second largest token, fell 8.2% and Polkadat led a downturn in smaller-cap tokens, also known as altcoins.

“The geopolitical situation in Europe and Ukraine is having material impact,” Barbara Matthews, founder and chief executive officer of BCMStrategy Inc., said. “But, I think it’s underappreciated how much monetary policy continues to generate uncertainty and volatility in the markets.”

On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve released minutes from the committee’s January meeting, which reinforced its intention to act swiftly to quell rising inflation with tightening monetary policy. Markets appeared to expect the stance, having a relatively mixed or muted response. Bitcoin, which exhibits a strong correlation to movements in the U.S. stock indexes lately, even gained with the S&P 500 in the minutes following the memo’s release.

Earlier this month, Bitcoin’s 30-day correlation with the Nasdaq Composite reached 0.73, nearly matching its five-year high of 0.74 in 2020. The figure indicates the two asset classes are exhibiting similar moves, with investors viewing digital assets as “risk-on” along with the Nasdaq’s signature marquee tech stocks. The coefficient currently stands at 0.62. 

Matthew Sigel, head of digital assets research at VanEck Associates, said large moves down in stocks, or “disorderly spikes” in crude and bond yields, could lead to exaggerated declines for cryptocurrencies. However, he noted Bitcoin’s volatility appears to demonstrate a long-term downtrend, with the Nasdaq 100 exhibiting more standard deviation moves than it’s five-year average compared with the coin. 

“Bitcoin network participants have enjoyed consistent outperformance versus equities with volatility that — while high — is showing a declining relative trend,” Sigel said.

Read more: Tech Stock Turmoil Outstrips Bitcoin Volatility in Rare Reversal

(Updates with prices.)

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How China Beat Out the U.S. to Dominate South America

(Bloomberg Markets) — In the hinterland of Argentina, Mario Pizarro’s office looks like a shrine to China. There’s the framed photo of a Chinese peasant with Pizarro’s face superimposed beneath the conical farmer hat. There’s the blue-robed smiling Buddha statue. And there’s the model wind turbine from a Chinese company with an inscription in English and Mandarin: “Create Our Future Together.”

Pizarro, 62, is the energy secretary of Jujuy, a province high in the Andes that borders Bolivia and Chile. Overlooking a river, his office building is ordinary, shabby even, but the projects he and his colleagues oversee are anything but. And the one country that’s made them all possible is China.

Chinese technology and money have helped build one of Latin America’s largest solar energy plants in Jujuy (pronounced hu-HUY), where hundreds of thousands of panels coat the desert like giant dominoes. Chinese security cameras guard government buildings across the provincial capital. Servers hum in a Chinese data storage plant. Beneath the remote, craggy hills and vast salt lakes lie veins of copper, lithium, and zinc, the raw materials of 21st century ­technology—including ­Chinese-made electric-car batteries.

It’s no secret that China has been pouring resources into South America this century, chipping away at the U.S.’s historic dominance and making itself the continent’s No. 1 trading partner. But while international focus has turned in recent years to China’s ventures in Africa and Asia, an important shift has gone largely unnoticed in the country’s approach to South America: going local to expand and strengthen its financial grip.

Instead of focusing on national leaders, China and its companies have built relationships from the ground up. In 2019 alone, at least eight Brazilian governors and four deputy governors traveled to China. In a September 2019 speech, Zou Xiaoli, China’s ambassador to Argentina, said his country’s infrastructure push was helping weave Latin America into the global marketplace. “China will lend strong support to Argentina’s economic and social development,” he said.

As Argentina’s Jujuy province illustrates, no region is too remote for China’s scrupulous attention. With perhaps a touch of hyperbole, Gabriel Márquez, chief executive officer of a Jujuy lithium research and development center, describes the effectiveness of the approach: “You have this poor governor from Argentina who has Xi Jinping’s phone number.”

Recently the U.S. has been trying to counter China, in part by stressing the risk of buying technology from state-controlled companies that can be used for both civilian and military purposes, such as espionage. In the southern Argentine region of Patagonia, for example, a Chinese company has built a space mission control center.

Juan Gonzalez, the U.S. National Security Council’s senior director for the Western Hemisphere, says China is seeking to expand its national security footprint. “Part of our engagement is to ensure governments are making the right decisions for their own security and development,” he says.

Cynthia Arnson, director of the Latin American program at Washington’s Wilson Center, says that kind of concern won’t discourage local governments. “We must provide some alternative,” she says. “Dollar for dollar, the U.S. will never be able to match the deep pockets of Chinese investment banks.”

Consider the enthusiasm in Jujuy’s capital of San Salvador, a city of about 300,000 where pedestrians seek shelter from the subtropical heat in the shade of magnolia and rosewood trees. “A lot of government officials told me that what we were talking about, a 300-megawatt solar park, was impossible,” says Pizarro, the energy secretary. “Today it’s no longer a dream but a reality.” Of increased solar and lithium production through Chinese investment, he adds, “The sky’s the limit.”

Latin America has long been a focus of great powers. In the 15th and 16th centuries, Spain and Portugal divided the region for colonial exploitation. After national revolutions in the 19th century created independent states, Washington promulgated the Monroe Doctrine, which required European powers to consider the Western Hemisphere the U.S. sphere of influence. Well into the 1980s, Washington supported coups and sent troops into sovereign neighbors to its south.

This interference inspired anti-American resentment, creating an opening for China. Over the past two decades, as the U.S. focused on wars in Afghanistan and Iraq, China moved into the Western Hemisphere with exceptional speed, as well as financial and political muscle. Much of China’s investment began at the start of the century during the so-called pink tide, when leftist parties rose to power in Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Ecuador, and Venezuela.

 

China has bought up so much copper, pork, and soy—and constructed so many roads, trains, power grids, and bridges—that it’s surpassed the U.S. as South America’s largest trade partner and is now the single biggest trader with Brazil, Chile, and Peru. A Chinese company is leading a group that’s building the metro in the Colombian capital of Bogotá. Energy giant State Grid Corp. of China owns the company that supplies electricity to more than 10 million Brazilian homes. In February, Argentina announced that China would finance about $24 billion in infrastructure projects. 

Since 2012, Chinese President Xi Jinping has visited Latin America 11 times. During his two terms, U.S. President Barack Obama was there 12; Donald Trump went once. Joe Biden didn’t visit in his first year in office.

China’s pitch: We’re here purely to do ­business—and to offer deals others won’t. When directed toward local officials, this approach seemed less interventionist and harder for the U.S. to counter.

The U.S. isn’t giving up. In 2019, Ivanka Trump traveled to Jujuy when she was a senior adviser to her father. A year ago the U.S. loaned Ecuador $3.5 billion to get out from under Chinese debt on the condition that it stop purchasing key technology from China. In September, Daleep Singh, a U.S. deputy national security adviser, visited Colombia, Ecuador, and Panama to promote an alternative to China’s global infrastructure-building “Belt and Road” initiative. The U.S. effort, called “Build Back Better World,” aims to offer infrastructure financing with competitive terms and in ways that promote sound environmental policy, good labor ­standards, and transparency.

An episode during the Trump administration shows why the U.S. will struggle to outflank China. In August 2019, just months into his tenure, São Paulo Governor João Doria, a former businessman, was looking to bring home jobs and development. So he opened his state’s first trade office abroad—in Shanghai.

Days before making a trip to China, Doria received a U.S. delegation in the governor’s mansion. Then-Secretary of Commerce Wilbur Ross implored him to shun Chinese investment, particularly in the 5G wireless network. Doria, a rival of Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro, a Trump ally and harsh China critic, was unimpressed. “I said to him the decision was local,” Doria says. “Not a national decision, not Bolsonaro’s decision.”

The Shanghai office would lead to a victory for São Paulo: a contract with China’s Sinovac Biotech Ltd. to produce its ­CoronaVac vaccine—Brazil’s first and, for months, most widely used shot against Covid-19.

In early 2021, with Covid spiraling out of control and those Chinese vaccines much needed, the Bolsonaro administration signaled it wouldn’t exclude the Chinese company Huawei Technologies Co. from the 5G competition. In the end the company didn’t participate, but Brazilian operators have relied on its technology for as much as 40% of their existing networks. Banning Huawei would’ve likely sent costs soaring.

Bolsonaro at first dismissed the CoronaVac vaccine and prevented his health ministry from purchasing a million doses in October 2020 while it was undergoing clinical trials in São Paulo. “The Brazilian people WON’T BE ANYONE’S GUINEA PIG,” he tweeted. Covid deaths forced an about-face. By January last year, Bolsonaro contacted the Chinese government requesting CoronaVac shots and materials to produce other vaccines. It obliged. “China’s position is: I don’t care if your president hates me or not,” says Thiago de Aragão, head of strategy at Brazilian political consulting firm Arko Advice. “It’s extremely pragmatic.”

Mauricio Claver-Carone, president of the Inter-American Development Bank, says that China offers cheaper credit and that companies from other countries often give up on competing. Claver-Carone, a former senior Trump adviser on Latin America, also warns of national security risks: “The last thing countries need is to become reliant on secretive contracts and nontransparent actors like Chinese state-owned companies.”

Such concerns are a “rich-world problem,” says Oliver Stuenkel, a professor of international relations at the Getulio Vargas Foundation in São Paulo. “You really can’t have the luxury of thinking about potential negative outcomes down the road if you have to face a very urgent problem right in front of you.”

When China began focusing on Latin America, Jujuy was ready. In the 1990s, Argentina had overhauled its constitution and granted provinces greater leeway to guide their economies and forge international ties. Jujuy, 900 miles from the Argentine capital of Buenos Aires, began to cut loose from the central government and sought to manage its own relations with neighbors in Argentina, as well as in Chile and Bolivia.

The region, about the size of West Virginia, remains one of Argentina’s poorest, known mostly for the tobacco and sugar farms dotting its hillsides. Yet Jujuy, which has a population of 770,000, has some key advantages. Miners can extract lithium from its bright-white, high-altitude salt flats more easily than in Bolivia or Chile. It’s also situated in a prime crossroads. The road that climbs up to the Chinese-built solar plant, Cauchari, continues west, crossing the Andes to Chile and reaching the Pacific coast. To the east, Jujuy links Argentina to Paraguay, and then to Brazil.

With initial help from Germany, Jujuy developed small solar projects in the early 2000s, around the time Chinese demand for lithium was starting to increase, according to Alejandro Safarov, dean of international relations at the Jujuy campus of the Catholic University of Santiago del Estero. “When China changed its geopolitics, Jujuy really began to open its mind up,” says Safarov over a lunch of fried beef empanadas and humitas, a corn dough boiled in the plant’s husks, a regional specialty.

By 2014, a year after Xi unveiled China’s “Belt and Road” initiative, Jujuy’s government opened its first foreign office. Two years later, Pizarro, the energy secretary, traveled to China with the delegation that negotiated a $330 million loan for Cauchari. China’s state import-export bank offered a rate of 3% when Western peers were demanding about 8%. The plant began producing electricity in 2020. Local leaders have an ambitious goal of ultimately tripling its capacity, to 1,000 megawatts, which would make it one of the world’s biggest solar plants.

Pizarro, like his regional governor, has been to China several times. A notary by training, Pizarro, who wears black-framed glasses and speaks with a distinct northern Argentine accent, likes to get things done. He’s using revenue from solar power to finance schools for Indigenous people while respecting what those groups call la Pachamama, or Mother Earth. 

It’s extraordinary that a province in Argentina can have ­international ambitions at all. In 2020 its federal government defaulted on the bonds it sold to Wall Street, and it still owes tens of billions of dollars to the International Monetary Fund. “Argentina’s economy is so calamitous that only adventurers like China can do business here,” says Carlos Oehler, who ran the provincial energy and mining company Jemse. He also met with five Chinese delegations interested in Jujuy’s lithium salt flats and magnesium deposits. “Jujuy is starting to dream of being an independent global player,” he says.

Jujuy is home to an Australian-Japanese venture that became Argentina’s second lithium producer in 2015. Minera Exar, ­majority-owned by giant Chinese battery company Ganfeng, is set to become the third this year as bidding wars heat up among China and other countries to develop lithium deposits found across northwestern Argentina.

The province is making sure it gets a return by taking an 8.5% ownership stake in lithium mines. Jemse is in talks for new projects with suitors from China, Australia, and Canada, says company President Felipe Albornoz. Provincial officials are also pushing companies such as Ganfeng to open battery-parts factories in Jujuy rather than ship materials to Asia.

The contrast between Jujuy’s past and present is striking. The province is building a hub to spur lithium-related manufacturing right outside San Salvador, in the dying steel town of Palpala. New, shiny warehouses sit on overgrown land, in the shadow of the rusting steelworks and its cracked cooling tower.

Back in the capital city, on a recent weekday, vendors hawked bric-a-brac out of stalls by an old bus terminal. The new foreign influence seemed to both bemuse and worry them. “At this rate we’re all going to become Chinese,” says Mirtha Ramos, a 49-year-old mother of three who was selling fake designer caps. Nancy Ortega, 31, working at the next stall, adds, “I have a friend up in the mines who said the Chinese are taking over everything.” —With Jennifer Jacobs and Eric Martin

Gilbert reports on commodities and energy in Buenos Aires, Rosati covers Brazil’s economy from Rio de Janeiro, and Bronner is a senior editor in New York.

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Manchin’s ‘No Decision’ Stand Keeps Doubts Swirling on Fed Slate

(Bloomberg) — Senator Joe Manchin said he remains undecided on President Joe Biden’s nominees for the Federal Reserve, including Sarah Bloom Raskin, the embattled pick for vice chair for supervision.   

“We had a conversation and we will have more conversations,” the West Virginia Democrat said of Raskin, who he met with earlier this week. “I made no decisions on anybody.”

Manchin’s vote in the 50-50 Senate will be particularly crucial for Raskin, who is facing stiff Republican opposition, including a GOP boycott of a Senate Banking Committee vote on the nominees earlier this week.

Manchin, who for months has been the sharpest Democratic critic of the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy amid soaring inflation, said he’s still reviewing the nominees.

“We’re just basically looking and reviewing everything and talking to my good friends here about all the different concerns people have,” he said, when asked about Republican opposition to Raskin.

Republicans led by Pat Toomey of Pennsylvania oppose Raskin because of her views on climate regulations, but have blocked a vote on her nomination in the Banking panel because they are unhappy with answers she and the Federal Reserve gave about her role as a director at Reserve Trust, a Colorado financial technology company that provides payment services that previously were only available by going to a traditional bank.

Toomey has focused on what he calls a “very obvious discrepancy” between Colorado and Kansas City Federal Reserve regulators in approving the master account for Reserve Trust. Toomey is demanding answers about Raskin’s involvement in Reserve Trust getting the valuable master account, which allows access to the central bank’s payment system.

The Kansas City Fed denied the request in 2017, then the firm changed its business model “and the Colorado Division of Banking reinterpreted the state’s law in a manner that meant RTC met the definition of a depository institution,” the Fed bank said in a Feb. 7 statement.

The Colorado regulator, however, disagreed with that wording. In a statement to CNBC earlier this week, the agency said the Kansas City Fed “misrepresented” its role and that it hadn’t reinterpreted state law. 

“We consider the statement that the division ‘reinterpreted’ state law as a misrepresentation of our practice,” the statement said. Officials with the Colorado agency didn’t return telephone calls and emails for comment.

“The Kansas City Fed really owes us an explanation, especially when their comment has been rejected by Colorado banking folks,” Toomey said in an interview at the Capitol. “It would be extremely helpful” in resolving the impasse over Raskin, he said.

Dennis Gingold, co-founder and former chairman of the Reserve Trust company said in a statement to Bloomberg News last week that Raskin had “no role whatsoever” in appealing the Kansas City Fed’s initial denial of the firm’s request for a master account. He said Raskin’s “conduct was appropriate, ethical and correct in every respect.”

Banking Chair Sherrod Brown of Ohio has refused to separate Raskin’s nomination from the rest of Biden’s Federal Reserve picks, including the renomination of Jerome Powell as chair. Democrats’ current strategy is to wait out the Republicans.

“I believe that the Republicans will understand that they can’t just continue boycotting committee hearings that they don’t like the results that are going to happen,” Minnesota Democratic Senator Tina Smith, a member of the committee, said Thursday on Bloomberg Television’s “Balance of Power With David Westin.”

Brown said he plans to try to hold a vote shortly after the Senate returns in March from a week-long recess.

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Billionaire Software Executive Tom Siebel Is Backing Canada’s Truck Convoy

(Bloomberg) — Tom Siebel, a billionaire Silicon Valley entrepreneur and the chief executive officer of C3.ai Inc., is one of the largest single donors to the trucker protests that have snarled Canada’s capital and throttled commerce at the nation’s border with the U.S.

The executive — who also founded Siebel Systems Inc., an early maker of sales software that was sold to Oracle Corp. in 2006 — extended $90,000 to the convoy through a crowdfunding platform, according to a leaked database of donations. A C3.ai spokeswoman also confirmed the information.

“I have a long record of providing substantial support to efforts to improve education, advance research, improve access to education, address homelessness, alleviate food scarcity, assure climate security, fund stem cell research, reduce substance abuse, assist the underprivileged and protect human rights,” Siebel said in the statement, which was sent by an outside representative of C3.ai. “These are personal initiatives and have nothing to do with the companies or organizations with which I am associated.”

Donations of more than $8 million were channeled toward the drivers, who have been fighting vaccine mandates, according to leaked data from the GiveSendGo platform, which helps groups raise funds online. The information, including Siebel’s donation, was previously reported by major Canadian news outlets such as broadcaster CTV News and newspaper chain Postmedia News. 

Siebel, 69, has a net worth of $3.4 billion, according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index. He founded C3.ai, an artificial-intelligence software provider, in 2009. The Redwood City, California-based company had its initial public offering in 2020 and is currently valued at $2.36 billion. 

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Risk-Off Mood Undervalues Tech Stocks Ark Owns, Cathie Wood Says

(Bloomberg) — Cathie Wood said she’s running a “deep-value” portfolio of technology stocks that are undervalued relative to their potential.

“It’s risk-off because of inflation, interest rates,” pushing investors to the relative safety of benchmark index companies, the head of Ark Investment Management said in an interview on CNBC Thursday. “If we’re right and the disruptive innovation that is evolving is going to disintermediate, disrupt the traditional world order, those benchmarks are where the risk is, not our portfolios.”

Ark’s funds have dropped as investors prepare for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates. The flagship ARK Innovation ETF (ticker ARKK) peaked on Feb. 16, 2021, and has fallen 56% since then.

Wood defended some of her individual tech bets, saying Roblox Corp. is one of the best ways to play the metaverse, the virtual universe that blends digital technologies ranging from video-conferencing to gaming, cryptocurrencies to virtual reality. She also said Roku Inc. will become “an advertiser of choice” and some advertising dollars will migrate from Facebook to Roku.

When asked why she sold shares of Twitter Inc. before the company reported earnings, Wood said her firm concentrates holdings toward its highest conviction names during down drafts and she doesn’t consider Twitter one of those names for the flagship fund. She added the firm’s confidence in the company “was nicked a bit as we saw some of the censorship issues and controversies” arising again.

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DOJ Is Amping Up Its Crypto Scrutiny, Naming Head of New Enforcement Team

(Bloomberg) — The Justice Department named a veteran cybersecurity prosecutor to lead a new team dedicated to investigating and prosecuting illicit cryptocurrency schemes carried out by cyber criminals and nation states including North Korea and Iran.

Eun Young Choi will be the first director of the National Cryptocurrency Enforcement Team, which will serve as the focal point for efforts to identify and dismantle the misuse of cryptocurrencies and other digital assets, Deputy Attorney General Lisa Monaco announced Thursday.

“If we’re going to see — as I think we will — cryptocurrency gaining more traction and gaining wider adoption, we’ve got to make sure that the ecosystem that they operate in can be trusted and, frankly, can be policed,” Monaco said in an interview. “We’re going to make it our business to go after them and get those proceeds back and make it clear to them that they can’t hide.”

The $2 trillion market for cryptocurrencies has boomed as companies and investors look to reap higher returns and get a foothold in a technology seen as still in its early days. 

Prosecutors and regulators are rushing to determine how to police that space — as well as the market for other digital assets such as nonfungible tokens — which has become a new frontier for criminals and rogue nations to steal and launder billions of dollars through anonymous avenues like blockchain transactions, encryption and digital wallets.

Read more: ‘Crocodile of Wall Street’ Arrested in $4.5 Billion Crypto Crime

Illicit transactions jumped almost 80% to $14 billion, an all-time high, in 2021, according to blockchain analytics firm Chainalysis. Still, crime made up a much smaller share of total crypto transaction volume, which increased drastically last year, the firm said.

One of the main focuses for the new team will be rooting out illegal activity on virtual currency exchanges as well as cryptocurrency tumbler, or mixing, services, which are used to obscure tainted funds, Choi said in an interview.

Known among her colleagues as “EYC,” Choi most recently served as senior counsel to Monaco on cybersecurity matters. The crypto team is housed within the department’s criminal division and has more than a dozen experienced prosecutors with plans to hire more personnel.

“We’re trying to centralize so that we’re a one-stop shop of all the subject matter experts within the department,” Choi, 41, said. 

Earlier: Crypto Crime Hits Highs as Thieves Track Buzz, Report Shows

When the creation of the crypto team was announced in October, Monaco said a key focus would be bringing cases against cryptocurrency exchanges and other entities that are found to be violating the law and assisting in the movement of illicit financing. The team would add support to current probes while pursuing new ones. 

Although Choi didn’t single out any exchanges by name, Bloomberg News previously reported that the Justice Department and the Internal Revenue Service are investigating whether Binance Holdings Ltd., the world’s biggest crypto trading platform, is a conduit for money laundering and tax evasion.

Choi said her team is reaching out to crypto companies that have robust anti-laundering policies and strong compliance programs, as well as blockchain analytics firms.

“The information they hold is crucial to rooting out the abuse of cryptocurrencies because they’re the ones who can see in their own systems suspicious activities that may be happening,” she said. 

In a sign of the scale of the challenge U.S. law enforcement faces, the Justice Department this month seized Bitcoin valued at about $3.6 billion that was stolen during a 2016 hack, the largest financial seizure ever. In addition, the U.S. Marshals Service — which is the primary custodian of seized assets for the department — was in possession of $919 million in 22 different cryptocurrencies at the end of 2021.

Experienced Prosecutor

Choi’s appointment comes after years spent chasing hacking and crypto attacks.

In one of her first major cases, she led the successful prosecution of the 2014 hack against JPMorgan Chase & Co., which saw hundreds of millions of dollars stolen by hackers and conspirators in more than a dozen countries. She also argued the appeal in the case against Ross Ulbricht, the founder and chief administrator of the now-shuttered Silk Road underground virtual drug bazaar.

“What her appointment shows is that cryptocurrency is really at the intersection of complex financial investigations, cybersecurity, anti-money laundering, narcotics trafficking and cross-border enforcement,” said Edward Imperatore, who was a colleague of Choi in the cybercrime unit of the U.S. attorney’s office in Manhattan. “She has experience in each one of these areas.”

As cryptocurrencies become more mainstream, the potential for wrongdoing has increased exponentially. Crypto fraud now cuts across a swath of activity including financial crimes, bribery, narcotics cases, ransomware attacks, hacking attacks, money laundering, terrorist financing and sanctions evasion, Choi said.

Yellen-White House Split Slows Arrival of Crypto Strategy 

Choi’s team will lead the department’s efforts to coordinate with U.S. and international law enforcement agencies, regulatory bodies and private industry. It also will enhance the criminal division’s existing efforts to provide support and training to federal, state, local and international law enforcement agencies.

The Federal Bureau of Investigation also plans to announce on Thursday the creation of a new virtual asset exploitation unit.

FBI Calls Crypto ‘Only Game in Town’ as Ramsonware Flourishes

“It is going to be important for us to have a united front in trying to determine what tools and authorities we’re all bringing to this approach on digital assets,” Choi said.

There’s some tension, however, between private companies dealing with crypto and what the department is doing.

Companies are concerned that Justice and regulatory agencies will take a heavy handed approach toward enforcement actions, according to a former federal prosecutor who asked to remain anonymous speaking about relations between private companies and the department.

U.S. agencies struggled for years to get companies to disclose hacking attacks and cyber vulnerabilities. Those private-sector victims feared such reporting would put them in the crosshairs of prosecutors or that there might be some regulatory blowback. But U.S. officials have expressed hope that they’ve turned a corner in recent years, especially with successful efforts to help companies recover stolen funds.

In addition to this month’s Bitcoin seizure in the Bitfinex hacking case, last year the U.S. recovered almost all the Bitcoin ransom paid to the perpetrators of a cyber attack on Colonial Pipeline Co. that sparked a fuel shortage along the U.S. east coast.

(Updates with comment from former colleague in 17th paragraph)

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U.S. Housing Starts Drop 4.1% in First Decline in Four Months

(Bloomberg) — New U.S. home construction fell in January for the first time in four months, indicating pandemic-related labor absences and winter weather tempered recent progress on building activity. Residential starts dropped 4.1% last month to a 1.64 million annualized rate, according to government data released Thursday. Still, applications to build rose to an annualized …

U.S. Housing Starts Drop 4.1% in First Decline in Four Months Read More »

U.S. Jobless Claims Rise, Concentrated in a Few States

(Bloomberg) — Applications for U.S. state unemployment insurance unexpectedly rose for the first time since mid-January, mainly concentrated in a few states in the South and Midwest, while most others declined. Initial unemployment claims increased by 23,000 to 248,000 in the week ended Feb. 12, Labor Department data showed Thursday. That time period is particularly …

U.S. Jobless Claims Rise, Concentrated in a Few States Read More »

Police Blockade Downtown Ottawa; NYC Anime Show: Virus Update

(Bloomberg) — Police in Canada’s capital city have begun blocking off the downtown core with barriers and fences, in a move against protesters who have occupied the streets for almost three weeks. 

A New York City anime convention held late last year likely wasn’t an omicron superspreader event, as many had feared, new reports show.

European Union drug regulators said they will discuss Merck & Co.’s antiviral pill next week amid a report that the drug faces potential rejection. 

Hong Kong has plans to mass-test the whole city for Covid with Beijing’s help. Japan is rolling back stringent border measures. 

Key Developments:

  • Virus Tracker: Cases pass 418.8 million; deaths top 5.8 million
  • Vaccine Tracker: More than 10.4 billion doses administered
  • Omicron has turned into a silver lining for the travel industry
  • Hospitals under siege show Hong Kong squandered its Covid edge
  • Oil’s spectacular Covid crash set the world up for $100 crude
  • What Africa is doing to tackle its coronavirus vaccination gap

Police Begin Fencing Off Downtown Ottawa (2:13 p.m. NY)

Police in Canada’s capital city have begun blocking off the downtown core with barriers and fences, in a move against protesters who have occupied the streets for nearly three weeks.

“Only those with lawful reason to enter the core, such as residents, businesses and others with lawful reasons, will be allowed in the area,” Ottawa Police Chief Steve Bell said on Twitter. “The unlawful protesters must leave the area and will not be provided access.” 

For a second consecutive day, Ottawa police handed out flyers warning of criminal charges and vehicle seizures for anyone who doesn’t leave the protest zone. The area has been declared a prohibited public assembly under emergency legislation invoked by Prime Minister Justin Trudeau on Monday. 

Meantime, Canada’s national police service is sending to banks the names of people involved in protests that have paralyzed the nation’s capital, a first concrete step in the financial crackdown on demonstrators. 

NYC Anime Show Not Omicron Superspreader (1:04 p.m. NY)

A New York City anime convention held late last year likely wasn’t an omicron superspreader event, as many had feared, new reports show.

One of the first confirmed U.S. cases of the omicron variant was found in early December in a Minnesota man who attended the convention, raising concerns about a mass outbreak at the gathering of some 53,000 fans of the film and TV animation style. Studies released Thursday by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention found no evidence of widespread transmission at the convention beyond a cluster of of the Minnesota participant’s close contacts.

Among results obtained for 4,560 attendees, 2.6% tested positive, according to the CDC. Of 20 specimens analyzed genetically, 15 cases were linked to delta, the dominant variant preceding omicron.

Colorado Ends Crisis Declaration (11:26 a.m. NY)

Colorado health officials Thursday ended a Covid-19 crisis declaration aimed at plugging hospital staffing shortages and allowing ambulance providers to impose stricter screening of 911 calls for assistance.

The “crisis standards of care” provided guidelines for allocating resources and “the decision to deactivate these standards is based on recent modeling and steadily declining cases and hospitalizations,” Eric France, the state’s chief medical officer, said in a printed statement.

Portugal to End Work-From-Home Guidance (9:13 a.m. NY)

Portugal plans to lift several restrictions in the coming days as the number of daily Covid-19 infections drops.

The government will no longer recommend that people work from home and the need to show a negative Covid-19 test to access sports venues, bars and nightclubs will be dropped, Presidency Minister Mariana Vieira da Silva said after a cabinet meeting on Thursday. The government plans to lift more restrictions as the number of deaths from Covid-19 declines, she said.

EU Regulator to Consider Merck Pill (8:22 a.m. NY)

European Union drug regulators said they will discuss Merck & Co.’s antiviral pill next week amid a report that the drug faces potential rejection.

A panel of the European Medicines Agency will consider the drug’s effectiveness at the meeting, Marco Cavaleri, the regulator’s head of biological health threats and vaccines strategy, said at a briefing on Thursday. He declined to comment on the robustness of the evidence to back the pill. 

The U.S. drugmaker has been developing molnupiravir with partner Ridgeback Biotherapeutics LP. The pill is only about 30% effective at preventing Covid deaths and hospitalizations among high-risk patients, compared with about 90% efficacy for Pfizer Inc.’s Paxlovid, studies have shown. 

Malaysia Targets ‘Fear Factor’ on Data (6:59 a.m. NY)

Malaysia will stop releasing standalone data on Covid-19 infections in order to reduce the “fear factor” about rapidly rising cases driven by the omicron surge, Health Minister Khairy Jamaluddin said.

Instead, the number will be announced the following day together with figures on hospital occupancy and usage of intensive care units. Daily cases hit a record 27,831 on Wednesday.

Dominican Republic Drops Restrictions (6:30 p.m. HK)

The Dominican Republic will drop all domestic restrictions imposed during the coronavirus pandemic after a successful vaccination campaign helped contain infection and death rates on the Caribbean island.

President Luis Abinader said that the required use of a face mask, social distancing measures and Covid passports to enter public places will all be dropped immediately.

Japan Eases Virus Entry Ban (6:29 p.m. HK)

Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida rolled back some of the developed world’s most stringent virus border measures as he seeks to tread a narrow path on pandemic policy that brought down his two predecessors.

Japan will end a ban on new entry by foreigners and ease quarantine rules, Kishida said at a news conference Thursday. From March 1, new foreign entrants except for tourists will be admitted, he said.

The move illustrates the premier’s attempts to balance the views of a public that wants to maintain strict Covid border controls and business groups that have lobbied for a relaxation of curbs to let in workers needed for their operations.

Yellen Calls for New Pandemic Fund (5:15 p.m. HK)

U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen urged her counterparts from leading industrialized countries to support the establishment of a new World Bank fund intended to prevent and prepare for future global health crises. 

A new “financial intermediary fund” under the auspices of the World Bank would help address gaps in preparedness, particularly among low-income countries, Yellen said, according to prepared remarks she’s scheduled to deliver virtually on Thursday to a meeting of finance ministers and central bank governors from Group of 20 countries.

Japan Lowers Economic Assessment (5:07 p.m. HK)

Japan lowered its overall assessment of the economy for the first time in five months as renewed restrictions to counter the spread of omicron weighed on consumers. 

While taking a gloomier view on the current state of the recovery, the government downgraded its view on consumer spending and housing construction, but raised its assessment of business investment, a change that suggests the economy could be in better shape over the longer term. 

Vietnam to Lift Curbs on International Tourists (2 p.m. HK)

Vietnam will lift most restrictions on international travelers arriving in the country beginning March 15, according to a post on the government’s website. 

International tourists must have proof of being vaccinated or recovery from COVID-19 with a negative test result ahead of departure under the current plan, the website reported. They would be required purchase Covid-19 medical insurance coverage worth $10,000

Hong Kong Plans to Mass-Test (11:30 a.m. HK)

Hong Kong is planning a testing blitz of the entire city, deploying a tactic used to root out Covid-19 cases on the mainland as the financial hub struggles to get control over its most challenging outbreak of the pandemic. 

Chinese medical experts will likely be brought in to assist in the effort, according to people familiar with the administration’s thinking, and government vans currently used for vaccinations will be converted to mete out tests, one of the people said. 

Officials are still deciding whether to make the mass testing compulsory, the people said, with Sing Tao Daily reporting those who refuse may be subject to a HK$10,000 ($1,280) fine. The push will begin in early March and be conducted over weeks, other local media said. 

Hong Kong reported 6,116 confirmed Covid-19 cases on Thursday as the city’s worst outbreak of the pandemic continues to spread. Public hospitals are in “major crisis,” Hospital Authority Chief Manager Sara Ho said.

China Gives Details on New Agency (10:30 a.m. HK)

China unveiled details for a newly formed agency with broader remit to monitor and handle infectious disease. 

The organ, called the National Disease Prevention and Control Bureau and part of the country’s top health regulator the National Health Commission, it will be charged with building a surveillance network for infectious disease and coordinating with other government organs to proactively respond to outbreaks, among other responsibilities, according to a statement published by the National Health Commission on Wednesday night. 

State media previously said Wang Hesheng, a deputy health minister who have been tasked to handle Covid response at the height of the initial Wuhan crisis, will take the helm at the new agency.

Australia’s Victoria State to Ease Restrictions (8:20 a.m. HK)

Australia’s second-most-populous state, Victoria, will scrap Covid-19 density restrictions on venues and reduced hotel quarantine periods, Premier Daniel Andrews announced on Thursday, as the number of hospitalizations and new infections fell.

From 6 p.m. on Feb. 18, density limits in hospitality and entertainment venues will be lifted, while indoor dance floors can re-open. QR code check-ins will no longer be required for retail venues, schools and for a large number of employees in the state.

Hotel quarantine periods for international visitors who aren’t fully vaccinated will also be reduced from 14 days to seven days, ending more than two years of the rigorous isolation program for overseas travelers arriving in Victoria.

Covid Mental-Health Scars Linger, Study Shows (7:40 a.m. HK)

Early Covid-19 survivors were at higher risk of anxiety, depression and a raft of other mental health problems up to a year after their infections, according to a large U.S. study that widens the scope of the pandemic’s economic and societal impact. Even patients who were never sick enough to be hospitalized for Covid were still 68% more likely than their noninfected counterparts to be diagnosed with a sleep disorder, 69% more likely to have an anxiety disorder, and 77% more likely to have a depressive disorder. 

The relative risk of developing the conditions was significantly higher still in patients hospitalized for Covid, and translates into dozens of additional mental health conditions for every 1,000 coronavirus cases.

More stories like this are available on bloomberg.com

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LGBTQ Representation on TV Hits Record High, Advocacy Group Says

(Bloomberg) — Representation of LGBTQ characters on television has hit a record high, according to a new report from GLAAD, an advocacy group.

Of the 775 main characters on broadcast scripted primetime TV shows in the 2021-2022 season, 12% are LGBTQ, according to the report released Thursday. That’s up from 9% last year and at the highest level since the group began tracking figures in 1996. For the first time, lesbians make up most of the LGBTQ characters on broadcast TV at 40%, up from 34% the year before, the report said.

On primetime scripted cable series, there were 87 regular LGBTQ characters and 51 recurring ones. That’s up from 81 and 37, respectively, last year. This season, there were also 42 regular and recurring transgender characters across broadcast, cable and streaming, up from 29 last year.

“The growing state of LGBTQ representation on television is a signal that Hollywood is truly starting to recognize the power of telling LGBTQ stories that audiences around the world connect with,” Sarah Kate Ellis, the chief executive officer of GLAAD, said in a statement. “At a time when anti-LGBTQ legislation and violence continues to increase, it is cultural institutions like television that take on the crucial role of changing hearts and minds through diverse and inclusive storytelling.”

The increase in representation onscreen comes as attempts to clamp down on discussions of gender identity and sexuality in schools pick up steam, and libraries face growing efforts to censor books on similar topics. More than 100 “educational gag order” bills have been introduced in the first six weeks of 2022.

Not all types of representation on the small screen have increased. Of the 138 LGBTQ characters on cable TV, 45% are people of color this season, down from 52% last season. The number depicted who were living with HIV fell to two, on Netflix’s “Dear White People” and NBC’s “Ordinary Joe,” from three the season before.

Out of the 775 regulars on broadcast scripted series, just 2.8% have a disability, down from 3.5% the year before. These include characters on NBC’s “New Amsterdam” and “This is Us.”

GLAAD also highlighted that, though representation has grown, many shows often only include one LGBTQ character — with only a handful like “Grey’s Anatomy” or “Batwoman” featuring multiple LGBTQ characters in their storylines. According to GLAAD, which advocates for positive portrayals of LGBTQ people in media, the networks Showtime, Freeform and FX account for nearly half the representation on cable. 

Though it’s “exciting to see quick progress” made with a record high number of LGBTQ characters on broadcast TV, “we continue to see that LGBTQ inclusion is often found in clusters from a concentrated number of creatives and networks who have prioritized telling our stories,” said Megan Townsend, GLAAD’s director of entertainment research and analysis, said in a statement.

More stories like this are available on bloomberg.com

©2022 Bloomberg L.P.

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